Matt D

[🕊️ @lichthauch]

Fear is the oldest narcotic known to man, older than opium, older than whatever rancid fermented sludge the first neolithic drunk poured down his throat. fear preceded them all and it outperforms them all, because fear doesn't even need ingestion. it manufactures itself inside you like some parasitic brewery operating out of your own nervous system, free of charge, endless supply. and the withdrawal is the strangest one. you quit fear and suddenly your life starts working, and you're standing there like some bewildered idiot watching everything arrange itself, wondering what the fuck was i holding onto this entire time

[Matt D @_mdellen]

@therealmcnair going w olive green. Godspeed send it to me in ten years don’t matter 🫡

[Matt D @_mdellen]

@kerrodgraygolf Boom

[ChimpZoo @ThinkingBitmex]

https://t.co/nLZKHG4RKD

[Adam Livingston @AdamBLiv]

Bullish Bitcoin signal: we are down to 48% of long-term holders being in profit.

This is the part of the cycle where people stop posting laser eyes, start writing 4,000-word surrender essays, and pretend they “always had concerns about Bitcoin’s long-term thesis.”

So I pulled every prior historical instance where LTH-in-Profit was sitting around this same 48% zone.

The dates:

22-Jun-2012
17-Sep-2014
17-Nov-2015
16-Nov-2018
15-Apr-2020
30-Sep-2022

Then I measured BTC forward returns from each date.

3 months. 6 months. 9 months. 12 months. 18 months.
24 months.

Here’s the carnage:

━━━━━━━━━━━━━━

22-Jun-2012

BTC Price: $6.60

3M: +84.8%
6M: +103.0%
9M: +959.1%
12M: +1,539.4%
18M: +9,589.4%
24M: +9,045.5%

━━━━━━━━━━━━━━

17-Sep-2014

BTC Price: $461.10

3M: -30.6%
6M: -38.1%
9M: -46.3%
12M: -49.5%
18M: -9.3%
24M: +31.7%

━━━━━━━━━━━━━━

17-Nov-2015

BTC Price: $333.90

3M: +24.9%
6M: +35.8%
9M: +71.4%
12M: +120.9%
18M: +439.5%
24M: +2,206.1%

━━━━━━━━━━━━━━

16-Nov-2018

BTC Price: $5,636.20

3M: -35.8%
6M: +39.7%
9M: +83.4%
12M: +50.8%
18M: +66.4%
24M: +196.6%

━━━━━━━━━━━━━━

15-Apr-2020

BTC Price: $6,629.10

3M: +38.8%
6M: +73.5%
9M: +455.8%
12M: +853.6%
18M: +830.3%
24M: +511.8%

━━━━━━━━━━━━━━

30-Sep-2022

BTC Price: $19,423.00

3M: -14.5%
6M: +44.3%
9M: +56.9%
12M: +38.8%
18M: +258.4%
24M: +226.1%

━━━━━━━━━━━━━━

Now here’s the part that should make the bears start chewing on drywall:

Median forward returns from this zone:

3M: +5.2%`
6M: +42.0%
9M: +77.4%
12M: +85.8%
18M: +348.9%
24M: +369.0%

━━━━━━━━━━━━━━

Win rate from this zone:

3M: 3/6 positive
6M: 5/6 positive
9M: 5/6 positive
12M: 5/6 positive
18M: 5/6 positive
24M: 6/6 positive

This is the cleanest buy signal there is.

Not financial advice.

[Wilfred Reilly @wil_da_beast630]

You can hate on Wayne all you want, but he gave us one of the great redes.

[conduct|r @conductr_]

According to the Stoics, you wake up with a set amount of energy every day. The whole game is noticing where it drains

Marcus Aurelius constantly reminded himself to stop pouring his into other people's opinions. Maybe the ones with the most energy aren't making more of it; they just stopped leaking it to the noise

[ol’ stocky ⛳️ @oldstocky]

The man who waits for the perfect shot will die with a full mag

[∩ @zachpogrob]

use your days in full

[Rob Wood @robwood]

One day you will ache for a season you are currently rushing through. You will look back like a man watching a ship vanish beyond the gray edge of the sea and realize the days you treated as obstacles were often the very days you would later give almost anything to enter again. That is the strange cruelty of time: it feels rather ordinary while it’s becoming sacred, like a bell tolling far off in the hills while everyone in the village keeps working as though nothing has changed.

This is why you must stop treating ordinary days like disposable things, as though they were scraps falling from the table of a better life that hasn’t yet arrived. Never despise the smallness of the life in front of you. I say that as a hypocrite that has lived long enough to experience the excruciating pain of doing just that.

[GRITCULT @GRITCULT]

this goes hard:

"if everything seems under control, you're not going fast enough."

- Mario Andretti

[Brian Halligan @bhalligan]

I don't remember where I found this, but its spot on.

[Adrian F. Pascal 🇻🇦 @deusimpera]

“Anxiety is the greatest evil that can befall a soul except sin. God commands you to pray, but He forbids you to worry.”  

— St. Francis de Sales

[Lisa Britton @LisaBritton]

Camille Paglia, the brilliant and fearless cultural critic who I’ve admired for years, put it bluntly: If civilization had been left in female hands we would still be living in grass huts. She wasn’t insulting women but stating a truth about our evolutionary paths. Women, on average, excel at nurturing, relationship-building, managing and sustaining communities. Men, on average, have driven the innovation, provision, risk-taking, and large-scale problem-solving that define our progress. Both are amazing and essential for humanity. Pretending otherwise doesn’t make us more enlightened; it makes us delusional.

We've spent decades treating male ambition not as a force that built civilization, but as a problem to be solved. It's time to stop.

Read my latest:
https://t.co/IZCX7FAOwt

[maneesha @ManeeshaSem]

your current brain state is a result of all the things you were told as you were growing up. and this program keeps running until you choose to disrupt it. that’s why you need to develop loving, uplifting and gentle self-talk and see yourself as a winner repeatedly until you create a new program

[Matt D @_mdellen]

@sweatystartup Ideas

[BasedBiohacker @BasedBiohacker]

some people find modafinil/ armodafinil gives them too much tunnel vision. the focus may be intense, but it's too rigid.

while this can be helpful for certain people (traders etc) and for certain tasks (analytical, anything that requires laser focus on a specific thing)

sometimes it can be limiting, too. that's when we utilize more pathways by stacking another compound to unlock the desired state of mind we need to excel.

- selank
- fasoracetam
- psilocybin
- bromantane
- even mexidol (emoxypine succinate)

experiment to find what works for you.