wallstreetjester

Opinions only. Not financial advice. Always searching for economic moats. Believe in somETHing. 🃏

[wallstreetjester @_wallstjester]

@Adrian_Smith12 @marcuslemonis I jinxed it didn’t I.

[wallstreetjester @_wallstjester]

Everyone loves berating @marcuslemonis when $BBBY stock is down, but radio silence when they’re marching away and up 25% in the past week.

[wallstreetjester @_wallstjester]

@Neon9819 @dotkrueger Hilarious.

[wallstreetjester @_wallstjester]

Probably one of the best takes on the state of Ethereum at the moment. $ETH

[BuyTheDiplo @BuyTheDiplo]

The uncomfortable truth about $ETH:

The market is not stupid for refusing to price it like “ultrasound money.”

ETH staking yields roughly 3%.

You can get similar or better yield in cash/T-bills with way less volatility.

So if the entire ETH bull case is “stake it and earn yield,” that’s not enough.

The real question is:

Where does ETH capture value?

There are 6 answers:

Staking yield
This is the bond-like component. Useful, but not enough by itself.
Burn yield
EIP-1559 is supposed to act like a buyback.

But the burn only matters when Ethereum blockspace is expensive.

Low gas = low burn.

Low burn = weak ultrasound money narrative.

Settlement demand
Ethereum is still the settlement layer for DeFi, stablecoins, RWAs, L2s, and tokenized finance.

That is real.

But the market wants to know how much of that activity actually flows back to ETH.

Collateral demand
ETH is one of the deepest collateral assets in crypto.

DeFi, lending, restaking, liquidity, structured products — all of it uses ETH.

But collateral value only matters when demand is growing.

Scarcity
A lot of ETH is staked.

But locked supply alone does not make price go up.

You still need demand.

Appreciation
This is the biggest one.

ETH is a call option on Ethereum becoming the global settlement layer for crypto finance.

But right now, the market is saying:

“Cool story. Show me the fees. Show me the burn. Show me the flows.”

And this is why ETH has been punished.

Ethereum scaled with L2s.

That was the correct technical move.

But cheaper L2s also crushed the old fee-burn model.

Great for users.
Great for adoption.
Bad for short-term ETH value capture.

That’s the entire debate.

Ethereum is not dead.

But ETH holders need proof that the ecosystem’s value accrues back to the asset.

My framework:

If ETH is just a 3% staking asset, it is not cheap.

If ETH becomes the reserve collateral + settlement asset for onchain finance, it is massively mispriced.

That is why I am not all-in chasing.

But I do think this is a long-term accumulation zone.

Not because the yield is amazing.

Because the market is pricing ETH like value capture is permanently broken.

If that turns out wrong, the repricing will be violent.

The signal I’m watching:

ETH/BTC bottoming
ETF flows improving
L1 + blob fees recovering
Burn > issuance again
Stablecoins/RWAs growing on Ethereum
L2 activity feeding back into ETH demand

Until then, ETH is not a yield trade.

It is a value-capture trade.

And the market is making Ethereum prove it.

[wallstreetjester @_wallstjester]

@OHare888 It was a dig at $ETH, since you need 32 Ethereum to be a validator.

[wallstreetjester @_wallstjester]

Bought more $BMNR today.
New cb=$15.64 (P/L: -14%)

[wallstreetjester @_wallstjester]

Brb, going overseas to sell a kidney for more $BMNR.

[wallstreetjester @_wallstjester]

He knows a major pump is coming before the “actual” market correction.

[unusual_whales @unusual_whales]

Michael Burry says he is no longer short Palantir, $PLTR, having covered his position.

[Stock PlayMaker 🌐 @stockplaymaker1]

$ORBS SWING IDEA HERE ; SL UNDER .79 (NFA)

Dan Ives chairman and Tom Lee is invested. It’s a treasury/holding company

@Actually416
ORBS - They manage a portfolio of $472M consisting of $90M in OpenAI, 283M worldcoin tokens and 16,278 Ethereum. Bottom line - they are a technology holding company focused on AI, crypto assets and digital identity

Needs massive PR for break to $1+

[wallstreetjester @_wallstjester]

@greepinn @DecodeMarkets More fuel.

[wallstreetjester @_wallstjester]

Starting to really like the $WU story, especially at current price.

Financials/Consumer Services have been undervalued since rates started rising in 2021. WU went from $5B in annual revenue to $4B but the stock dropped much more than that decline justifies.

Bears are sleeping on their 19-20% operating margins and how cheap they trade vs peers on a forward earnings multiple.

Yes Q1 was ugly, margins dropped from 20-22% to 10.9%. But management pre-flagged Q1 as the weak quarter. Overcorrection not a structural break.

Fintech competition is there but it’s easier for WU to cut OpEx and adapt than it is for a startup to build the trust and global infrastructure WU already has. Brand and trust matters when you’re sending large sums of money to your family overseas.

They’re not sitting still either. USDPT, their dollar-backed stablecoin on Solana, went live May 2026. Replacing SWIFT rails internally first, then rolling out a Stable Card across 40+ countries. Turning the fintech threat into their own product.

Board authorized a fresh $1B buyback in December 2024 with no expiration. They already bought back 24M shares. At current prices that’s ~26% of market cap. Management is buying.

11-13% dividend yield while you wait for a turnaround at historic lows. Sign me up.

[O’Hare Trade•Dude Diligence 🐢🏴‍☠️🇺🇸 @OHare888]

Western Union is a survivor, has been for over 175 years, Millard Fillmore was the US President, succeeding Zachary Taylor who died in office when $WU was founded. The company has innovated and recreated itself countless times, through the Civil War, countless global wars and two World Wars. They’ve outlived countless competitors over three centuries!They’re in the midst of yet another reincarnation, don’t sleep on it… @WesternUnion #WUArmy 🚀

[wallstreetjester @_wallstjester]

What kind of degenerates are @jpmorgan hiring over there?…

[Alex Cohen @anothercohen]

I’m assembling an elite team of former JP Morgan execs

[wallstreetjester @_wallstjester]

Not happening.

Markets like to break ATHs and records. We are early/mid bubble zone. Still a lot more upside to come. Schiller P/E is at the same level as Dot-com Bubble. It will exceed it considerably before popping.

[𝗰𝘆𝗰𝗹𝗼𝗽 @nobrainflip]

Tomorrow could be the worst dump in history.

[wallstreetjester @_wallstjester]

@ptremblay @runaway_vol You wouldn’t understand.

[wallstreetjester @_wallstjester]

@cmsinvests Dram! You cooked on this one.

[wallstreetjester @_wallstjester]

@StockSavvyShay @GreenMonsterah Thanks for stating the obvious Shay!

[wallstreetjester @_wallstjester]

So true. Opened an $ORBS today and it dropped -10% 😂.

[Prof @TheProfInvestor]

If you want something to dip for a cheaper entry,
buy an initial position.

Universe will make it drop within a week.

This is the Holy grail

[wallstreetjester @_wallstjester]

@FinXRob Rule of thumb: Never post these things.