Our experimental AIFS-extended forecast suggests Date Line equatorial easterlies return in mid Feb, more so than EC46. A last gasp for La Niña?
Not surprisingly, AIFS-Ext also has a robust rise in the AO/NAO. But of course the stratosphere may have something to say about that.
@SinopSudamerica@Csaryoel12 Disculpe y espero pueda responder mi pregunta, con respecto a la MJO ya se va alejando del continente? A notado que la extensión de agua cálida superficial en la zona del Niño 1+2 es más extensa que la anterior?
MJO strength peaks in March and can be a time of ENSO transition. It came and went with near-constant EWBs. La Niña is still in control atmospherically, and without an overbearing warm pool (such as 2023's), it seems El Niño this year is becoming increasingly unlikely
@Perupesquero Es típico de que haya gente que quiera llamar la atención con noticias alarmistas, las lluvias y calentamiento actual es por influencia de MJO