Kevin Akins

Partner at Impact Research. Numbers man from the South.
"But at least I'm enjoying the ride."

[Monica Venzke @monicavenzke]

My brother in Christ

[Hoodlum 🇺🇸 @NotHoodlum]

“The reflecting pool is open and everyone is having a wonderful time.”

[Gabby Birenbaum @birenbomb]

New Texas A&M Bush School / Siena Research #txsen poll

🔵Talarico: 47%
🔴Paxton: 44%

White: Paxton +10
Black: Talarico +57
Latino: Talarico +10

Talarico favorable: +6
Paxton favorable: -20
Trump approval: 44%

Generic House ballot:
49% R
43% D

6/1-6/4, n=807, MOE = +-4%

[Phil Williams @PhilNvestigates]

He raised nearly $25,000 from a GoFundMe for a child’s burial garden that was never built. Now Andy Ogles says that money did not actually come from the public.

[Phil Williams @PhilNvestigates]

It's a scandal involving a Tennessee congressman that just won't seem to go away because his stories keep changing. Now, multiple donors tell NewsChannel 5 they have one question for Andy Ogles: “What did you do with the money?”

[(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten]

Trump's numbers on inflation aren't just the worst for him ever. They're the worst I've seen for any president. They're worse than Biden's worst & worse than Carter's pre-1980 election.

On the cost of living, just 9% of indies & 39% (!) of the GOP say we're on the right track.

[Richard for Florida Senate @RichardLamondin]

The Governor called a special session. Not for your insurance. Not for your rent. Not for childcare. Not for $4 gas.

But to rig the midterm elections.

[Eric Holl @FrederickHoll]

#ncpol

[Richard for Florida Senate @RichardLamondin]

My name is Richard Lamondin.

I’m a dad, husband, business owner, and problem solver. I’m running for Florida’s Senate to lower costs, fix what's broken, and end Tallahassee's political corruption.

But I can’t do this alone. RT to help us spread the word: https://t.co/2XtmmHjvo8

[InteractivePolls @IAPolls2022]

CNN Poll: One-quarter of voters are "double haters" (dislike both parties). They currently prefer Democrats by 31 points in the midterms.
——
How double haters voted (CNN exit polls):

🔴 2016: Trump +17

🔵 2018: Dems +1

🔵 2020: Biden +15

🔴 2022: GOP +15

🔴 2024: Trump +23

[Team Talarico @TeamTalaricoHQ]

.@stephenasmith: You’re down in Texas and as a right-winger, you're about to go left because of what you're seeing?

Voter: I'm gonna vote for Mr. Talarico, man, 100%. I haven't voted Democratic since I was 20 years old. I am absolutely disgusted with the way things are going. James Talarico is a different deal. He speaks from the heart. I know some of the people he knows. The guy is the real deal, man.

[InteractivePolls @IAPolls2022]

Fox News Poll: Trump's approval trend among Hispanic Americans

🟡 Dec. 2025: 48-52% (-4)

🟤 Jan. 2026: 46-54% (-8)

🟤 Feb. 2026: 44-56% (-12)

🔴 Mar. 2026: 28-72% (-44)

[Dr. Annie Andrews @AnnieAndrewsMD]

🇺🇸 In a hypothetical head-to-head matchup with Andrews, Graham leads 47% to 42% of would-be voters.
🇺🇸Andrews closes the gap to just two points (44% to 46%) once voters are informed about each candidate's positions.
🇺🇸 Among independent voters, Graham trails Andrews by 19 points.

November is coming.

[Mike Madrid @madrid_mike]

50 point Latino shift

[(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten]

Trump & GOP have a big freaking problem!

Milestone: Trump's net approval has now been underwater for a year. He has the worst net approval with indies at this pt in term 2 of any prez this century.

The effect: Dems have a very real chance of winning the Senate, not just House.

[Richard for Florida Senate @RichardLamondin]

The biggest land scam in Florida history is complete.

Miami Dade College sold it for $10.

[Political Polls @PpollingNumbers]

New - Generic Ballot poll (Hispanic voters)

🔵 Democrats 41% (+18)
🔴 Republicans 23%

Last poll - 🔴 Republicans +2

Economist #B - A - 1/26

[CJ Warnke @cjwarnke]

NEW from @gelliottmorris:

Democrats hold an 8% LEAD on the generic ballot in the Jan 2026 Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll.

On top-ranked issues, voters trust Dems more than the GOP to handle ⤵️

Prices/Inflation
🔵44%
🔴37%

Health Care
🔵54%
🔴31%

Jobs/Economy
🔵43%
🔴40%

[Dave Wasserman @Redistrict]

NEW @CookPolitical House ratings show Dems as modest favorites for control, as Republicans would need to win two thirds of Toss Ups (67%) to keep the majority. https://t.co/mAdCOtLpRZ

Lean/Likely/Solid Dem: 211
Lean/Likely/Solid GOP: 206
Toss Up: 18

[Kevin Akins @akinsdem]

@JamieAgerNC can win in Western NC -- real deal candidate worth a follow and contribution.

[James Downs @jamesd0wns]

New poll from Jamie Ager in NC-11 shows him with a 1-point lead over Rep. Chuck Edwards

Ager 45
Edwards 44
Undecided 10

Dec 15-17; 500 LVs; +/-4.4%