Alexis Nshimiyimana

Where is liquidity?

[Alexis Nshimiyimana @aleno45]

The #10YR is officially above 5%👀👀
Institutions now have to ask themselves why put money in highly indebted, unprofitable companies, when the cost of capital is so high, when they can earn 5%, risk free by lending to the US gvnt.

[Alexis Nshimiyimana @aleno45]

Even better if we still alive you pay me $1M, if not I pay you $1T 🤣🤣

[Joscha Bach @Plinz]

If you think AI will lead to human extinction by 2030, I will take that bet. If we are still alive by Dec 31, 2030, you pay me 1M USD. If not, I will pay you 10M USD.

[Alexis Nshimiyimana @aleno45]

Long term returns = avg returns -1/2(volatility of returns)^2

Volatility drag.

[Alexis Nshimiyimana @aleno45]

A trader’s dual mandate: Capital protection and maximum long term expected returns.

[Alexis Nshimiyimana @aleno45]

@DeItaone As expected from an elite trading firm. This is actually good for short term flow. Since, huge supply overhang is removed.

[Alexis Nshimiyimana @aleno45]

The move in #Bitcoin over the last three days is absolutely historical. It’s days like these where elite traders bet 10, 100X the normal bet size, bc the setup was generational.

[Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb]

I enjoyed greatly the Odyssey (thought I am not used to watch moving images, which made some scenes feel more poignant).
The most gripping part was the siren episode which made me reread my own scene in #FooledbyRandomness (after almost 3 decades).

[Alexis Nshimiyimana @aleno45]

Another example why traders make money, is the market simply can't efficiently price short term volatility. $PLTR $162.5 calls expiring today were selling for $0.3. Bought them midday yesterday for about $0.35, and sold them today for $8.35. They went up as far as $11.

[Alexis Nshimiyimana @aleno45]

Even if the company has poor fundamentals, if the sentiment shifts to uber bullish, when the short trade was already super clouded, you get forced buying, bc a clouded trade is fundamentally unstable, bc you get short term excess that self corrects.

[Alexis Nshimiyimana @aleno45]

Why is $SPCX up despite the unlock. Maybe the unlock trade is what led to the 50% drop since It’s IPO highs. And so with the actual event taking place, the trade was already too clouded, as shown with huge short interest of 36%. Yes the unlock took place, doubling the float, but

[Alexis Nshimiyimana @aleno45]

but maybe there was no net seller after the event, not right away anyway. Maybe the would be insider sellers already got out via options, meaning, they hedges by selling calls, or buying puts, bc after all the stock had options.
Also sentiment is another factor as well.

[Alexis Nshimiyimana @aleno45]

Exactly why there was literally no bid off the open, $SNDK went down 13% in under 30minutes. They were offloading their inventory after acquiring it on discount from Leopold. They can’t leave it on their book for long

[Alex Turnbull @alexbhturnbull]

if you don't think Citadel isn't selling down 15-35% up from mids when it bought at a fat spread below (10-15%?) you do not understand block trading. They are not here to be "long AI" they are here to max sharpe.

[Alexis Nshimiyimana @aleno45]

Absolute madness🤯🤯🤯.
Risk management above all else

[zerohedge @zerohedge]

SITUATIONAL AWARENESS HAS EXITED ALL OF ITS PUBLIC EQUITY TRADES: CNBC

[Alexis Nshimiyimana @aleno45]

@TheOneLanceB @CathieDWood If risk of ruin is not actively mitigated at all times, long term expected value is total ruin. see Bill Huang.

[Alexis Nshimiyimana @aleno45]

Bulls in memory names capitulated today in a massive panic off the open. The recovery trade on the long side is now on. Went heavy long $SNDK, $QQQ $DRAM

[LeBron James @KingJames]

I thought I was done when the season ended. I wasn't ready to announce it, and I knew I needed some time to really decide, but I was pretty sure I played my last game. I was honest at that last press conference when I said I needed to look at myself and deicide if I still love

[Alexis Nshimiyimana @aleno45]

The market is having a referendum on #Elon ? $SPCX $TSLA

[Piers Morgan @piersmorgan]

All this fearful talk of ‘how will England stop Messi’ is ludicrous. The much more pertinent question is how will Argentina stop Bellingham?
He’s the real superstar of this World Cup.

[Garry Kasparov @Kasparov63]

Incredible Egyptian goal is disallowed because of a foul far away, then same situation a few minutes later and goal for Argentina not disallowed! No VAR, nothing? FIFA again looks like a corrupt joke, playing favorites for stars.