alexonecap @alexonecap - Twitter Profile

Pinned Tweet

7 months ago

Turned $2,123 into $9,221 on @Polymarket betting on Monad ICO. Sounds great, yeah? But what was it worth to me? Here is story behind scene, profit screens and other stuff. 5 days until the end of sale, I decided that there is inefficiency and opportunity on bet >600m, as then only in first day of launch we hit 120m$, what will be in the last day? Also we had much better market conditions, vibes after solomon perfomance(when despite CF crash during almost full day, we go from 15m to >100m commited during just last two hours). So for me and my infofield then it was like - why we should bother about kyc, blocks and bans of our money from CB, etc., when we can just dep on poly and get our bet. Lyrics... So I just buy >600m for around $2,500 at 55 cents, thinking about that I could not have time to bet on such price(artificial time limit conditions - casino). Next day I saw how my money easily go -50%, I just laughed and didnt believe to fud. Further I just watched my dep go into the abyss, hoping that they would still raise this amount. 36 hours till the end, I saw >300m at 35 cents(needed more 120m-140m to this goal), I decided to bet here $1,000 in order to get some part of initial dep, thinking about why this pessimistic goal costs so little. Again I did this bet before going to sleep, supposing that I can skip such sweet prices(casino)). Waking up, I have seen that my 1k$ was divided by 3 by stupid fuders from X, who think that getting +15-20% in only one day - bought tokens on sale for 0,025$, sold for 0,03$ - is dubious opportunity. It's insane, i dont understand how their mind works, anyway.. During the last day I again didnt believe to situation, considering that my bet and goal must be completed(gamble). 7 hours till the end, we made >210m, i still believe for hitting 300m, but I see like the last opportunity - >250m is trading at 44 cents, bought it immediately for $1,123 and go chilling. 3 hours till the end(hit 225m) I decided to check how is my last bet, I didnt believe that >250m is trading at 13-19 cents, it's insane - how it could exist, so I just finally laughed at dumb fuders and bought 6666 shares per 15 cents for $1,000. My avg price on >250m became 23 cents and 9223 shares amount. I even dont check and think how much will I get in case of win, because I could no longer perceive the situation due to lost strength and nerves. I just go to sleep and set the alarm 30 minutes before the end of sale, thinking that it would be miracle, if I get back only all my deps. But when I wake up to this alarm, I was shocked how much my poly portfolio is. To sum up, my "investing"(gambling) $5,600 -> $9,221, however I can say that nerves, which I lost during this happy MONAD week, maybe cost even more than the amount of profit I get. Survivor's mistake. Always remember that behind pretty pics, there are a lot of work done, nerves lost, tries and time spent. Everything has its price. Praise God for everything we have.

alexonecap's tweet photo. Turned $2,123 into $9,221 on @Polymarket betting on Monad ICO. Sounds great, yeah? But what was it worth to me? Here is story behind scene, profit screens and other stuff.

5 days until the end of sale, I decided that there is inefficiency and opportunity on bet >600m, as then only in first day of launch we hit 120m$, what will be in the last day? Also we had much better market conditions, vibes after solomon perfomance(when despite CF crash during almost full day, we go from 15m to >100m commited during just last two hours). So for me and my infofield then it was like - why we should bother about kyc, blocks and bans of our money from CB, etc., when we can just dep on poly and get our bet. Lyrics... So I just buy >600m for around $2,500 at 55 cents, thinking about that I could not have time to bet on such price(artificial time limit conditions - casino).
Next day I saw how my money easily go -50%, I just laughed and didnt believe to fud. Further I just watched my dep go into the abyss, hoping that they would still raise this amount.

36 hours till the end, I saw >300m at 35 cents(needed more 120m-140m to this goal), I decided to bet here $1,000 in order to get some part of initial dep, thinking about why this pessimistic goal costs so little. Again I did this bet before going to sleep, supposing that I can skip such sweet prices(casino)). Waking up, I have seen that my 1k$ was divided by 3 by stupid fuders from X, who think that getting +15-20% in only one day - bought tokens on sale for 0,025$, sold for 0,03$ - is dubious opportunity. It's insane, i dont understand how their mind works, anyway.. During the last day I again didnt believe to situation, considering that my bet and goal must be completed(gamble).

7 hours till the end, we made >210m, i still believe for hitting 300m, but I see like the last opportunity - >250m is trading at 44 cents, bought it immediately for $1,123 and go chilling. 3 hours till the end(hit 225m) I decided to check how is my last bet, I didnt believe that >250m is trading at 13-19 cents, it's insane - how it could exist, so I just finally laughed at dumb fuders and bought 6666 shares per 15 cents for $1,000. My avg price on >250m became 23 cents and 9223 shares amount. I even dont check and think how much will I get in case of win, because I could no longer perceive the situation due to lost strength and nerves. I just go to sleep and set the alarm 30 minutes before the end of sale, thinking that it would be miracle, if I get back only all my deps. But when I wake up to this alarm, I was shocked how much my poly portfolio is.

To sum up, my "investing"(gambling) $5,600 -> $9,221, however I can say that nerves, which I lost during this happy MONAD week, maybe cost even more than the amount of profit I get. Survivor's mistake.

Always remember that behind pretty pics, there are a lot of work done, nerves lost, tries and time spent. Everything has its price. Praise God for everything we have.

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alexonecap retweeted

BredoStrategy

@DoCryptoBred

about 2 months ago

Russian version audio podcast https://t.co/5nhBCqlQ97 comments here :)

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alexonecap retweeted

BredoStrategy

@DoCryptoBred

about 2 months ago

We probably should write this down: the Vault just crossed $1M in total PNL https://t.co/EZLT76VNeW It’s not something you see very often — earning $1M+ onchain for an audience. The most important part is choosing the right stage of the market. After that, the market does 90% of the work for you. I’m glad I was able to generate that much profit for subscribers fully onchain, without fake screenshots. A lot of this fast result was luck too. Personally, I made around 100% on my deposit in the Vault over these 82 days since launch. Another important point: Account Value is only around $1.6M, while total PNL is over $1M. To me, that’s a good sign — it means many of you are actually withdrawing profits, which is exactly what you should do. In other words, a big part of the profit has already been realized. I hope this Vault taught at least some people something useful in practice: how important it is to act rationally, reduce risk in some market phases, and increase it in others. It could have easily played out very differently — we might have spent several more months, or even a year+, chopping around the same entry levels or going slightly lower. That never changed the core idea from day one. I explained all along what I was doing and why, and I’m not planning to move away from that approach. As I wrote before, the closer BTC gets to $100K–$120K, the more I’ll be reducing risk and rotating not into BTC, but into stables. And once BTC makes new all-time highs, I’ll cut alt positions aggressively — I won’t care whether they’re up 5% or 5000%, I’ll mostly be locking gains into stables. And again, from the start I said the Vault was part of my RISK portfolio. In normal market conditions, my usual allocation is around: 40% BTC / 40% stables / 20% RISK I believe in portfolio management with weekly rebalancing. In average market conditions, I’m around 40/40/20. Near bull market highs, I’ll move toward something like 60% stables / 20% BTC / 20% RISK. And after brutal selloffs, I’m comfortable pushing RISK above 40%. Also, once again: people drawing lines on charts are either lying to themselves or to you. In my opinion, technical analysis is basically like astrology. You can always find “matches” the same way you can find personality traits for every zodiac sign. Nobody knows where price goes next, and nobody can know — except insiders. What really works is insider trading, fundamentals, and value. The whole retail trading education market is mostly one big scam. There are no magic traders. Sometimes there are inefficiencies, and some people exploit them, but they won’t teach you how. In my opinion, the only real edge an individual can have is to deeply understand a sector, evaluate the long-term potential of technologies, projects, and companies, invest gradually, and then wait, wait, wait — reassess, and wait again. Markets will always rise and then fall. That’s how they live. Once again, thank you — and congratulations. Don’t be greedy. Take profits. Diversify. Move step by step. This is only the beginning. #Bitcoin #BTC #Hyperliquid #Vault #Crypto #Investing #Onchain #PortfolioManagement #RiskManagement #BullMarket $BTC $HYPE

DoCryptoBred's tweet photo. We probably should write this down: the Vault just crossed $1M in total PNL
https://t.co/EZLT76VNeW
It’s not something you see very often — earning $1M+ onchain for an audience. The most important part is choosing the right stage of the market. After that, the market does 90% of the work for you.

I’m glad I was able to generate that much profit for subscribers fully onchain, without fake screenshots. A lot of this fast result was luck too. Personally, I made around 100% on my deposit in the Vault over these 82 days since launch.

Another important point: Account Value is only around $1.6M, while total PNL is over $1M. To me, that’s a good sign — it means many of you are actually withdrawing profits, which is exactly what you should do. In other words, a big part of the profit has already been realized.

I hope this Vault taught at least some people something useful in practice: how important it is to act rationally, reduce risk in some market phases, and increase it in others. It could have easily played out very differently — we might have spent several more months, or even a year+, chopping around the same entry levels or going slightly lower. That never changed the core idea from day one. I explained all along what I was doing and why, and I’m not planning to move away from that approach.

As I wrote before, the closer BTC gets to $100K–$120K, the more I’ll be reducing risk and rotating not into BTC, but into stables. And once BTC makes new all-time highs, I’ll cut alt positions aggressively — I won’t care whether they’re up 5% or 5000%, I’ll mostly be locking gains into stables.

And again, from the start I said the Vault was part of my RISK portfolio. In normal market conditions, my usual allocation is around:

40% BTC / 40% stables / 20% RISK

I believe in portfolio management with weekly rebalancing. In average market conditions, I’m around 40/40/20. Near bull market highs, I’ll move toward something like 60% stables / 20% BTC / 20% RISK. And after brutal selloffs, I’m comfortable pushing RISK above 40%.

Also, once again: people drawing lines on charts are either lying to themselves or to you. In my opinion, technical analysis is basically like astrology. You can always find “matches” the same way you can find personality traits for every zodiac sign. Nobody knows where price goes next, and nobody can know — except insiders. What really works is insider trading, fundamentals, and value. The whole retail trading education market is mostly one big scam.

There are no magic traders. Sometimes there are inefficiencies, and some people exploit them, but they won’t teach you how. In my opinion, the only real edge an individual can have is to deeply understand a sector, evaluate the long-term potential of technologies, projects, and companies, invest gradually, and then wait, wait, wait — reassess, and wait again.

Markets will always rise and then fall. That’s how they live.

Once again, thank you — and congratulations.

Don’t be greedy.
Take profits.
Diversify.
Move step by step.
This is only the beginning.

#Bitcoin #BTC #Hyperliquid #Vault #Crypto #Investing #Onchain #PortfolioManagement #RiskManagement #BullMarket $BTC $HYPE

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alexonecap retweeted

DCo @Decentralisedco

3 months ago

https://t.co/XvJfG9hix8

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alexonecap retweeted

Pavel Paramonov

@paramonoww

3 months ago

https://t.co/ZTqpgufg5i

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alexonecap retweeted

cryppi / perpdexlist

@cryppimagic

4 months ago

If you are not farming funding on perp DEXs you’ve already lost - perpdex1 - you long and get paid ~1000% - perpdex2 - you short and pay ~500% - the 500% delta is your net profit find opportunities across 27 perpDEXs on my site https://t.co/bnhbaxezyU

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alexonecap

@alexonecap

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