These people are incorrigible. How can you read RFK Jr's order to assess and take that to signal a "denial" of science?
It's the exact opposite: to assess is to practice science.
@JeffreyBenson12@CircaSports What do you mean it would mess up the yes price? Because you could earn interest on money tied up in “no” bets, you could offer something like +8000/-5000 on a long term bet. That would be very attractive to bettors.
@JeffreyBenson12@CircaSports Offering -10,000 or even -5,000 on a bet that’s -100,000 fair value would surely attract some action, no?
Would it be fair to say then, that estimating fair value from odds on a futures market would be more accurate devigging all the yes odds instead of the 2-sided market?
@JeffreyBenson12@CircaSports Wouldn’t it make sense for the Sportsbook to offer every no side for a future that’s 1 year out at -10,000 even if it’s -100,000 fair value if they can earn 3-5% in a savings account?