Nico G.

full time gambler

[LuxAlgo @LuxAlgo]

Bitcoin as soon as Saylor sells for a loss

[Math of Markets @math_markets]

Tendrías 1 MILLÓN DE EUROS si hubieras invertido 6M en Telefónica hace 20 años.

Además, todos los años recibirías 50.000€ limpios en dividendos.

Más de 4.000€ al mes limpios.

La magia del interés compuesto💸

[TheBronxViking @TheBronxViking]

There’s one every cycle…

[Thierry from arvy 🇨🇭 @ThierryBorgeat]

Here's the problem with SPCX, and no analysis can solve it.

There is no chart.

We have three rules for every IPO:
– Never buy on day one
– Wait for the "Good Chart" to form, enough price history to read trend, support, and the real level
– Ask whether you'd buy at this price if it were already listed

So look at how these stories usually trade. A pop as retail piles in. A long grinding melt as expectations meet reality, often down 50% or more. Then dead money, one to four years of nothing while the company grows into its valuation. And only then, the real move.

Amazon fell almost 90% after listing before it became Amazon. The class of 2021 was brutal: Robinhood -92%, Coinbase -92%, Rivian -95%, Oatly -97% from their day-one highs.

A great business and a great investment are not the same thing. The price you pay decides which one you get.

SpaceX may well be the most important company of the next fifty years.

Which is exactly why there's no rush to overpay on the first afternoon.

The rocket launches today.

The Good Chart launches later.

We'll wait for it.

Full breakdown in this week's Weekly by arvy.

Link via bio.

[Ted Zhang @TedHZhang]

Quote of the Day:

"Focus on tight ranges. Doesn't matter what time frame. Tight ranges is all you should focus on. Wide and loose is for losers and tight is for winners."

— @Qullamaggie

[Javier DV @Javieerdelvalle]

Por qué el momentum es también importante aunque compres un negocio a buen precio?

👇👇

[Nick Schmidt @NickSchmidt]

It’s super boring to hear but a reason I am profitable in the market is because I can be both extremely bullish $TSLA and also not want to own it until price says it’s time.

90% of traders can’t separate their bias & decisions.

[Ariel Hernandez @RealSimpleAriel]

You can almost hear the peaceful conversations through the computer screen!

[Watcher.Guru @WatcherGuru]

JUST IN: 🇺🇸 Fed Chair Jerome Powell warns US national debt is growing "substantially" faster than the economy and says it's not sustainable.

"It will not end well if we don't do something fairly soon."

[Connor Bates @ConnorJBates_]

A friendly reminder to check what stage your stocks are actually in.

Stage 4 doesn't care about your conviction. It doesn't care about your cost basis. It doesn't care that you "believe in the company."

Are you buying a dip or are you catching a falling knife in a Stage 4 downtrend?

[Nico G. @alpnw16]

Directo a los 38k, y nadie me baja de este barco

[*Walter Bloomberg @DeItaone]

BITCOIN BOTTOM IN, $MSTR HOLDS STRONG

Bernstein says Bitcoin has likely bottomed and is set to rise, keeping a $150K price target for 2026.

Despite a 50% drop from its peak, Strategy (MSTR) has remained resilient, now holding 3.6% of total Bitcoin supply (~$53.5B). The firm sees MSTR as a high-beta play on Bitcoin, backed by a strong balance sheet.

Instead of cutting exposure, Strategy added more Bitcoin at recent lows, raising $7.3B in 2026 to expand its holdings.

[Christian Flanders @CFlanders7]

I see a lot of leaders that have entered stage 3 tops but need 3-5 more months before their 200dmas would roll over. They could also potentially base out and form new stage 1 bases, though unlikely given how much they've rallied and for how long.

[Christian Flanders @CFlanders7]

“If you find yourself getting stopped out of your positions over and over, there can only be two things wrong: 1. Your stock selection criteria are flawed. 2. The general market environment is hostile.” - Mark Minervini

[Christian Flanders @CFlanders7]

If you struggle with over-trading in poor environments I would recommend physically removing yourself from your computer. Go for a walk, touch grass, reflect on what you are trying to achieve and if this is the correct environment to do it in.

[Mark Minervini @markminervini]

If you want to make real money in the market consistently, stop trying to call tops and bottoms and Monday-morning quarterbacking what you could have done.
Focus on managing risk relative to reward and turning over your edge. Then, your efforts will start producing profits instead of volatility and grief. 📈

[Elite Swing Traders @1ChartMaster]

"Life is only as good as your mindset. A negative mind will never give you a positive life."

[Christian Flanders @CFlanders7]

Position sizing is one of the three pillars of a winning trader. The other two, a system with an edge and the ability to control oneself.

[Midas @midascabal]

$DUOL was a generational buy at $540.

[Ameet Rai @AmeetRai]

No fundamental thesis matters when the markets in a downtrend.

The leaders of the last cycle were leaders then — in that market. Different liquidity, different risk appetite, different story.

Holding on to names that are now in stage 4 downtrends, under key moving averages or 50–60% off highs…that’s not conviction it’s just hope.

Things change and when the market shifts — when there’s no bid for growth, no interest in high-multiple stories — you either shift with it or you bleed slow.

If you want to grow your capital cycle over cycle, build real wealth, survive and thrive long term in this game — you have to adapt when cycles end. There’s no way around that.

No ifs. No buts.