@rationalaussie I love your posts but AGI isn't happening on what is basically von Neumann architecture, replete with it's memory-compute bottlenecks, anytime soon. The human brain integrates memory into compute. Read his book. It will happen eventually but the hardware will be unrecognisable
@eevblog@rationalaussie Neumann architecture or any vectorised version of it can't lead to AGI. AGI will come, assuming humans don't unalive ourselves first, but the hardware will be unrecognisable to 2026 experts.
"Napoleon once said to understand a man, understand his world when he was 20..."
I have been thinking about this quite a lot recently.
The theory I have come up with is that Gen Y was the last generation to:
- Experience or see broad based economic prosperity first hand
- Have parents buy homes with 1 income
- Have parents own their home outright and enjoy that freedom
- Briefly enjoy a better life than their predecessors
And then have it all come crashing down in less than a decade.
Household formation literally decimated.
Household consumption growth for under 45s going backwards.
Apartments replacing free-standing houses as achievable housing options.
Then I think about the Gen Z folks I know, those who know exactly what sort of s*** show they have been born into.
They have no first hand experience of how great things once were and like folks who lived through the Depression, they seem more likely to just get on with things in whatever way they decide is best and let's them sleep content at night.
@DrCameronMurray Why can't you have potential gains over time that crystalise when cashing in? The arithmetic works fine. What's the problem? Just apply the tax retrospectively based on the years cap gains were made taxed at the updated rate for that year.