Amurakis

[Opta Analyst @OptaAnalyst]

The World Cup knockout rounds are now set.

But what are each team's chances of progressing through each round?

Find out with the Opta supercomputer's bracket: https://t.co/gNLqW2Xxty

[Vivek Sen @Vivek4real_]

I'M REALLY SHOCKED THIS WORKED.

BUY BITCOIN 500 DAYS BEFORE THE HALVING.

SELL BITCOIN 500 DAYS AFTER THE HALVING.

HISTORY REPEATS...

[Axel Bitblaze 🪓 @Axel_bitblaze69]

1.7 billion free tokens per month.

A month ago i showed you how to route claude code through free providers.

someone just shipped the cleanest version of this setup yet…

it's called Freellmapi

13,400+ stars on github, MIT licensed, takes 2 minutes to install.

what it does:

stacks the free tiers of 16 different LLM providers behind one local API.

point claude code, codex, or cursor at that one endpoint, and it automatically routes your calls across all 16 free pools.

The 16 providers it covers:

Google, Groq, Cerebras, Mistral, OpenRouter, GitHub Models, Cloudflare, Cohere, https://t.co/zxHezMoNuQ, NVIDIA, HuggingFace, Ollama Cloud, Kilo, Pollinations, LLM7, OVH, and OpenCode Zen.

if you sign up to all 16 and add your free API keys, you get roughly 1.7 billion free tokens per month combined.

▫️ How to install (one command)

curl -fsSL https://t.co/Q8BMoVA0T2 | bash

this runs the whole thing locally on your machine through Docker.

once it's up, open http://localhost:3001, paste your provider keys on the Keys page, and grab the unified API key from the dashboard.

that's the key you point your apps at.

With this,

claude code stops hitting your monthly cap because every prompt routes through the 16 free pools instead of your paid plan.

and if one provider rate-limits mid-conversation, freellmapi falls over to the next one automatically so your session never breaks.

repo: https://t.co/gHfuMFy9XO

Free, MIT-licensed, runs on your laptop or a $5 VPS.

[Mario Nawfal @MarioNawfal]

🇪🇺 Europe go get some airconditioning oh my God!

Writer: Oliver

[Darkfost @Darkfost_Coc]

This correction was largely fueled by the rapid increase in BTC inflows to exchanges coming from STH.

💥 On a 24h sum, these inflows reached more than 55,000 BTC that flowed onto exchanges, of which 53,000 BTC were moved at a loss.

A real panic movement as BTC slipped below $60,000 for the 3rd time this year.

This is once again a consensual decision arriving late, driven by emotion. This isn’t surprising because STH, defined as BTC holders < 6 m, represent a cohort that is statistically more sensitive to market movements.

🔴 STH capitulation continues, and the slightest BTC movement is capable of creating very rapid panic moves like yesterday’s, which still represented a movement of ~$3.3B

[Andy @andyyy]

The most bullish chart in all of crypto right now is RWAs.

How ironic.

[Darkfost @Darkfost_Coc]

UTXO analysis indicates that investor capitulation is underway.

— 💡 For those unfamiliar, UTXOs (Unspent Transaction Output) are the mechanism that verifies a BTC has only been spent once on the blockchain.

To do this, several pieces of information are recorded within it such as the date, the purchase price, the total amount… —

This chart represents, as a ratio, the number of UTXOs spent in profit versus at a loss. When the ratio is high (🟣) it means profits are largely dominant, and we can see that this was the case during the tops BTC was able to reach.

👉 Today the UTXOs are telling us the opposite story. That is, the ratio has dropped to its lowest levels, which correspond to bear market phases.

💥 This is the first time this signal (🔵) has triggered since the start of the correction, demonstrating that the number of UTXOs spent at a loss is reaching significant levels, reflecting the start of a broader capitulation.

These periods have always been profitable for long-term investors.

🟢 They correspond to the moment when the majority gives up and loses interest.
It’s a process that takes time, we’re on a long timeframe, but now is the moment to pay attention to the market, not when a lot of profits are being realized.

[Joao Wedson @joao_wedson]

I am still waiting for extreme deleveraging zones in Bitcoin.

Only then should we close the short position with an Alpha-level degree of confidence.

I shared the entire history of this short since $97K, and holding it for this long was only possible because of the quality of the metrics and patience.

Nothing more than that.

[Darkfost @Darkfost_Coc]

🔴 LTH are starting to enter a capitulation phase.

Although it remains light for now, the LTH SOPR is increasingly moving into negative territory.

—💡SOPR (Spent Output Profit Ratio) is a metric used to gauge the profit currently realized on spent LTH UTXOs.

💥 The monthly average has gone from 1.03 at the start of the month to 0.87 today, meaning LTH have globally realized a 13% loss over the past 30 days.

It’s notably the drops below $60,000 that pushed some of them to realize a few losses.

📉 The yearly average is also continuing to decline, even though it remains positive. Over 2026, it has gone from 2.06 to 1.46 now, showing just how much LTH realized profits are dropping.

This dynamic should further reduce selling from these holders, who can sometimes hold sizable amounts of BTC purchased a long time ago.

👉 Historically, this phase has coincided with the end of bear markets, but it’s a lengthy process, and this sequence can last several months without issue.

[Messi out of Context @OutMessi_]

Más de 300 “asistencias” que NO terminaron en gol.

Es una locura de dato. Miren todo el video, hubiera habido goles MEMORABLES.

[Axel 💎🙌 Adler Jr @AxelAdlerJr]

BTC exchange outflows (purchases) no longer confirm spot demand. After rising in mid-June, outflow momentum turned lower and turned red: the 30D average exchange outflow is now 4.9% below its level from a month ago.

[Velo @velo_xyz]

@whalecalls Some traders don't have to imagine it.

[Bryan Johnson @bryan_johnson]

If you're under 55 and not healthly, read this:

People mistakenly think they can abuse their body when young and bounce back.

This study found that when your biological age is older than your chronological age, your risk of early cancer increases.

> for example, if you're 25 but your biological age is 35, you are at increased disease risk, not just someday, but before the age 55.

> for the widest age gaps, risk ran up to 57% higher for lung, 31% uterine, 17% GI

> this study used basic blood markers for 2 of the 3 tests to determine biological age

> people are getting older faster. People born 1965 to 1974 carried an age gap about 0.23 standard deviations larger than those born 1950 to 1954.

> counterintuitively, after the age of 55, the increased disease risk effect goes away

> so the risk is in the young

[Kakashi @kkashi_yt]

You made $1M, this is how much you keep after taxes

🇦🇪 UAE — $1,000,000
🇲🇨 Monaco — $1,000,000
🇰🇾 Cayman Islands — $1,000,000
🇭🇰 Hong Kong — $850,000
🇸🇬 Singapore — $780,000
🇺🇸 USA — $680,000
🇨🇭 Switzerland — $670,000
🇬🇧 United Kingdom — $575,000
🇦🇺 Australia — $565,000
🇩🇪 Germany — $555,000
🇨🇦 Canada — $540,000
🇪🇸 Spain — $535,000
🇳🇱 Netherlands — $520,000
🇦🇹 Austria — $500,000
🇫🇷 France — $495,000
🇯🇵 Japan — $490,000
🇧🇪 Belgium — $485,000
🇸🇪 Sweden — $480,000
🇫🇮 Finland — $475,000
🇩🇰 Denmark — $445,000

[dave the wave🌊🌓 @davthewave]

#btc prediction: price will be through the previous high in the 4th quarter of next year.

Each subsequent time span from price peak to recovering that peak is approx 7/8s of the one preceding it.

[🎯 Master @Moneytaur_]

Many key levels in many different altcoins reversed price to the upside during the last several weeks. Some by a lot, and some between 10 to 20%

If you go at it with a mindset of a trader, you'll take advantage of the short-term swings and profit from them.

The problem for many: if you go at it with the idea of catching a macro bottom on every purchase, you're getting stopped at BE or riding losses, every single time.

[David Sinclair @davidasinclair]

Latest episode of Lifespan is out!

I'm so proud of the team who worked &gt;300 hrs to make the most in-depth, 2-part episode covering:

1. The real facts about fasting
2. Why &amp; how it slows aspects of aging
3. Easy tricks to implement the practice 💪

https://t.co/I7yLbd6N0d

[Darkfost @Darkfost_Coc]

💥 STH realized losses keep piling up.

At every dip, emotion takes over and pushes the most nervous holders to sell at a loss.

In this chart, these losses are denominated in BTC rather than USD.
Comparing with the end of the previous cycle, the amounts were significantly larger, though this is hardly surprising given the difference in market capitalization since then, as STHs will hold progressively less BTC over time.

📊 Comparing STH realized loss peaks since the last ATH:

➤ November : 19,700 BTC sold at a loss
➤ February : 24,300 BTC
➤ June : 12,000 BTC (and figures have been climbing again in recent days.)

→ Comparing with the peak recorded in June 2022 during the Terra Luna episode, STHs realized 68,400 BTC in losses, equivalent to $1,36B. Yet with 24,300 BTC in realized losses, worth $1,45B.

We can say that February's event actually destroyed more capital in dollar terms than during 2022 bear market and the Terra Luna collapse.

STH realized losses are substantial. Make no mistake about it.