I plan to increase my India allocation now, you?
Disclosure: MIRA Money is the brand name of Noble Wealth Technologies Pvt. Ltd. We are AMFI Regd Mutual Fund Distributor (ARN- 247667) & APMI Regd PMS Distributors (APRN - 03838)
If it was 2024, market would have been up by 4% yesterday.
Our markets are sending a clear message.
They are more worried about economy than political stability.
Their concerns about oil & global recession far outweigh the joy of ruling party winning elections.
Thats why people are measured & watchful than exuberant.
This is exactly where investors can buy good companies at a reasonable price.
Of course there will be volatility due to external factors but if we can add new money here, one can expect reasonable returns over time.
Hopefully our ties with UAE will come in handy for some additional discounts.
By the way it doesn’t mean oil prices will start crashing tomorrow. Once the war is over, I expect some fighting in the Middle East for market share and that’s when things start falling apart for oil
Finally some good news for India after so many days.
UAE exits OPEC thanks to American pressure. In multiple ways it’s good news for India.
- UAE is now free to produce as much oil as it wants. This should help to keep a cap on the price. For Bharath,
that imports so much oil, lower prices are always welcome.
- the Emiratis can use the Port of Fujairah to export crude to India. The route presumably is much safer and shorter. This will help us to diversify supply away from the troubled strait of Hormuz.
Be patient, be prepared to see more red & invest only if you are supremely convinced. In the meanwhile don’t even think of stopping SIPs.
Remember history doesn’t repeat but it does rhyme.
Iran was attacked in February and so was Ukraine.
Russia attacked Ukraine in February 2022.
Russia & Iran have one thing in common – OIL.
While Russia exports 12% of global oil supply, 20% of world’s oil supply passed through Iran’s “Strait of Hormuz”.
If you are rushing into the market to buy the fall, don’t. The journey is not going to be smooth. These wars & war of words last longer than we all think and uncertainty is never good for equity.
As Ray Dalio famously said: "The most important thing you can have is a good strategic asset allocation mix."
Here is the simple 4-pillar framework we use to keep our clients calm when the headlines turn red:
https://t.co/zfMGB9G3TA
After managing ₹1,000 Crores for over 2 decades, I’ve realized that for most high-income professionals, the biggest risk isn't a market crash, it’s "stress"
I’ve seen 40-year-olds lose sleep over a 10% dip in a RSUs & the main reason is they don’t have a good wealth structure
Over the past few years, we stopped building portfolios for the "best-case scenario." Instead, we build Anti-Stress Portfolios.
This ideally means we don’t chase the highest return; we build the most resilient structure.
My wife was travelling to Phuket and I got a shock.
The exchange price of Thai Bhat to INR is up 15.72% in a year. Yes you heard it right, 16%!
This hurts a lot of us. Let me tell you why.
During the same time INR has depreciated a whopping 18% against Thai Bhat. Is there a direct link to the depreciation I don’t think so but this is one of the factors.