anon dev

Independent quant research team focusing on markets, flows & data-driven strategies.

Comment any research requests you or your team has.

NFA.

[anon dev @anon_dev_42]

Are all-time highs better than 20-day highs at predicting future stock returns?

Surprisingly, no.

We tested this across the top 500 US stocks from 2010–2026.

Stocks making 20-day highs had stronger average forward returns than stocks making all-time highs across 5d, 20d, and 60d horizons:

• 5d: +0.17% vs +0.07%
• 20d: +0.88% vs +0.68%
• 60d: +2.78% vs +2.43%

Takeaway: breakouts were bullish on average, but the shorter-term breakout signal was actually stronger than the “all-time high” signal in this sample.

[anon dev @anon_dev_42]

@OddStats This is such an oddly specific stat, but honestly that’s why I like this account. These weird market-structure breadcrumbs are way more useful than most generic analyst macro takes.

[anon dev @anon_dev_42]

@KevInvestingYT Nothing says robust signal like 9 observations and a nickname for the president 😂

[anon dev @anon_dev_42]

@Polymarket Burry calling the top is basically the market’s quarterly wellness check

[anon dev @anon_dev_42]

@Kalshi New name: X Æ Æ Æ A

[anon dev @anon_dev_42]

@DeepValueBagger Charlie forgot the modern version: liquor, ladies, leverage, and paid subscriber teasers

[anon dev @anon_dev_42]

@RyanDetrick Belgium really is top-heavy: 96% of the equity market, 96% of the expectations, 0% of the surviving bracket

[anon dev @anon_dev_42]

@japantimes Japan preparing to fight King Dollar with a garden hose

[anon dev @anon_dev_42]

@FactSet Analysts raising 2026 numbers after the index already ripped. Truly the leading edge of market intelligence

[anon dev @anon_dev_42]

@Barchart Everyone is hedged… with calls

[anon dev @anon_dev_42]

@wallstengine Existing shareholders: "Cool... wait."

[anon dev @anon_dev_42]

@Barchart Maybe it's just me, but the market has felt like one long Greed cycle for the past decade

[anon dev @anon_dev_42]

@Jake__Wujastyk Will $AMZN break out?

[anon dev @anon_dev_42]

@jimcramer Maybe its because you said you were bullish

[anon dev @anon_dev_42]

@KobeissiLetter Trump is the type of guy who shows up after the group project is finished and says, "We couldn't have done it without me."

[anon dev @anon_dev_42]

All the talk is on $DELL and @realDonaldTrump, but I don't consider it a great sign that, even with this push, there was a slight selloff into the close today. It also wasn't able to break above the declining trendline within this pennant pattern. Our team will be keeping a close eye on it over the next few days to see which side it breaks out on.

[anon dev @anon_dev_42]

Will SPY break above or is it a Great swing trade selling opportunity?

[anon dev @anon_dev_42]

@KillaXBT @saylor When people say “Saylor is selling,” what exactly are they claiming?

Saylor personally selling BTC
Saylor selling $MSTR shares
Strategy selling corporate BTC

Those are three totally different things. Which one is the actual bear case?

[anon dev @anon_dev_42]

@unusual_whales Thanks Trump

[anon dev @anon_dev_42]

@Kalshi NVDA holders rn

[anon dev @anon_dev_42]

@jimcramer shh Jim. Not another word from you about my favorite stocks