2026 Roadmap:
December – Accumulation phase
January – BTC takes the lead
February – Altseason
March – Bull trap forms
April – Markets break down
May – Full bear market
Take note, check back later
Zirveye Giden Yol Acıyla Başlar: Boğanın Ayak Sesleri
Dostlarım Altcoin piyasasında iki ay gibi kısa bir sürede büyük kazançlar elde etmek kesinlikle mümkün. Bunun örneklerini geçmişte defalarca gördük.
Boğa döngüsünü hiçbir kriz, savaş ya da politik olay durduramadı ve durduramayacak. Çünkü piyasa, insan psikolojisiyle çalışır. Zaman değişir, oyuncular değişir ama yatırımcı psikolojisi hep aynı kalır.
Eğer bu oyunda kazanmak istiyorsanız, yatırımcı psikolojisini anlamak zorundasınız.
Bugün geldiğimiz noktada altcoin yatırımcısının psikolojisi tükenmiş durumda. Herkes zararda, herkes umutsuz. Fakat tarih boyunca en büyük kazançlar tam da bu psikolojide, herkes pes ettiğinde yaşanmıştır.
Döngüye sadık kalan, sabırla bekleyen, bıçak kemiğe dayansa bile pozisyonunu koruyan yatırımcılar her zaman servet kazandı.
Bu süreç, tıpkı bir doğum süreci gibidir. Dokuz ay boyunca sancı, kaygı, uykusuzluk ve belirsizlikle geçer; ama doğum anı geldiğinde tüm yorgunluk unutulur. Piyasada da aynısı yaşanır: yükseliş gelmeden önce herkesin dayanma gücü test edilir, umut kırılır, sabır sınanır.
Ralli asla kimseye kolay verilmez.
Yatırımcıya acı çektirmeden, onu korkutmadan, inancını kırmadan, vadeli işlemlerde likide etmeden o büyük yükseliş gelmez. Tarih boyunca hep böyle oldu. Başarı hikâyelerinin arkasında mutlaka sancılı süreçler vardır.
Bir işletme açtığınızı düşünün. İlk günden kâr etme şansınız çok düşüktür. Aylarca çabalarsınız, zarar edersiniz ama sürdürülebilir hale getirmek için direnirsiniz. Yatırım da aynıdır; sabır, inanç ve süreklilik ister.
Evet, bazı projelerde zarardayız, bazı fırsatları erken veya geç yakaladık. Ancak bu, sonun başlangıcı değil.
Önümüzdeki iki ay, doğru projelere yatırım yapan ve sabredenler için hayatının fırsatı olabilir.
Altcoin sezonu başladığında, iki ay içinde servet kazanan sayılı örnek göreceğiz.
Dört yıllık döngünün en güçlü, en tatlı yerindeyiz.
Bu dönemde yaşanan tüm krizler, savaşlar ve belirsizlikler zaten piyasanın fiyatladığı unsurlar. Şimdi sıra inançta ve sabırda.
Kısa vadeli al-sat hislerinden uzak durun.
Süreç artık HODL edenlerin süreci.
Sadece odaklanın, sadece sabredin, sadece inanın.
Çünkü rüzgar tersine döndüğünde, kazanan siz olacaksınız.
Been trying to put the message across that there will be no bubble phase in this gold bull market. Because this time around, after the present final third bull move, the world will have a new monetary system backed by gold. This will pin gold at the highs value wise, meaning there is no bubble. And, that means this is not only a normal bull market, it is also a global monetary system reset. It is vital to grasp that this is not gold going up, it is mostly currencies depreciating. So for heaven's sake, do not miss it. #joinus
I think it needs explaining that although I see an elongated cycle it doesn't mean my analysis is right. The breadth and depth of macro/crypto analytics framework I've added since 2021 is massive and I'm happy with the probabilities currently but things can change...
At GMI we have done tremendous amounts of work on this all at the nexus of crypto and macro in The Everything Code. It comprised of over 4,000 charts (serious).
However, I am not a guru.
We all need to take lifestyle chips off the table to secure our own future.. I can't dictate that. In RV too we will do our best to help as many people as possible,
But we are not, and will not be, perfect.
This is your choice alone. Not mine.
Only you can actually protect your own future and thus limit regret if the market reverses or even it explodes higher.
I'm guessing I'll take 25% to 30% off into year end but I don't know yet. It's based on my own circumstances, not yours and its based on my p&l and not yours.
Also don't forget that your risk profile is different to mine...
I can afford to take outrageously concentrated risks like having 80%+ of my liquid stack in Sui.
But based on my work I think Sui it outperforms most others majors. I am not a maximalist and my portfolio can and will change but I will let you know if my analysis changes.
My job for myself is to maximise profits with best risk adjust returns.
For most, just buy BTC, ETH and SOL
My job for myself is to max profits with best risk adjust returns I think are available.
The Banana Zone won't fix your shitty asset allocation. If you have had a decent portfolio you will already be up 5x to 10x from the low.
If you are newer, don't chase gains, time in the market is vital, you should make money this cycle but here is more to play for over time,
You have 5 years or so to Unfuck your Future.
Please don't fuck it up.
This will be my pinned tweet so you can refer to it.
Just let it all play out and take profits on the way.
Good luck.
My work suggests the next 6 to 9 months can change all our lives but don't bet on it exclusively.
If you want to reduce risk and also play for higher prices consider selling some and buying longer dated calls in due course, where you can only lose your premium (as I did in 2021 with ETH and only risked 5% for a potential leg higher which failed).
I appreciate your attention in this matter.
🚨 BREAKING: FED OCTOBER RATE CUT CONFIRMED
US shutdown just killed new data.
Markets can only move on what’s clear:
– Cooling labor
– Inflation under control
– Bitcoin strong
History: shutdowns = chop → then explosive rallies.
This time the backdrop is even stronger.
Bookmark this tweet to compare later 🔖
My October prediction:
I think we are seeing a pump to make everyone believe PUMPtober is real and soon we can get a nasty drop where Bitcoin dumps closer to the $106k level and ETH dumps near $3800 or lower, and everyone will think Uptober is canceled.
This will happen to liquidate all the bulls and mainly the retail. This phase will happen until mid-Oct ( 15th-20th max).
When everyone is bearish, people think PUMPTOBER is canceled, shorts pile up, and bears are confident that’s when the market will bounce and start giving Q4 parabolic candles likely towards the last 10 days of October.
Then October monthly will close with a massive % gain, and the Q4 parabolic pump will start, which will send BTC to $150k-$180k, ETH to $8k-$12k, and the TRUE alt season will finally begin, sending alts 10x-50x in just 3-4 months.
I can be wrong, and we keep pumping from here. I’m 85% in the market, so I want it to pump from here, but the market always does the opposite, so I’m holding 15% cash to buy the dip/prepare for this scenario.
If it goes up, my 85% will profit.
If it goes down, I will use 15% to buy the dip.
To win in this market, you need to plan for both sides.
Overall, I’m giga bullish on Q4.
it like and repost if I should do more predictions like this.
Giving away 10,000 $XRP (~$31,000) to one lucky follower!
Sec ago I closed my $200K #XRP long and decided to share the profit
Simple like, retweet, and comment "done"
Random winner will be picked by Grok in 24h, must be following
Wow, what the hell is that 😳
🩸 $1.525B longs liquidated today
The Biggest Liquidation Even of the Year!
I'd say this must be the last shakeout before 🚀
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