Arun Srinivasan

He/Him 🏳️‍🌈 | Trying to multiclass as wizard 🔮 with the stats of a bard 🎵 | Ph.D. in Stats

[Ben Forstate @4st8]

At least this time I was prepared for Florida to be bad

[Arun Srinivasan @arasrini]

Who won the day? Not Politico :(

[Charlotte Klein @charlottetklein]

Reporters from Politico, Puck, and Axios get the ax from Trump's Election Night event over critical coverage: https://t.co/sLXYDrPaGn

[Colyn @colynelliott]

kamala preparing moo deng after reading this

[Arun Srinivasan @arasrini]

@ChiCyph80 Atlas making polls like an undergrad writing their final exam paper. Atlas-polls-final-FORREAL-finalV4.pdf

[James Medlock @jdcmedlock]

I can hear the heavy sighs from causal inference twitter from here

[Arun Srinivasan @arasrini]

… some… confounders… 😭

[Nate Silver @NateSilver538]

There are some confounders here, but the inflation thing is actually statistically significant! Each additional $100 of inflation in a state since January 2021 predicts a further 1.6 swing against Harris in our polling average vs. the Biden-Trump margin in 2020.

[Will Stancil @whstancil]

tomorrow NYT/Siena gonna release a 50/50 poll with Trump winning 47% of Gen Z and 36% of black voters

[Tim Miller @Timodc]

Elderly whites in Iowa: We are for They/Them.

[Ben Yahr @benyahr]

Me talking about Ann Selzer (who I found out exists one hour ago)

[Armand Domalewski @ArmandDoma]

me after seeing the Selzer poll

[Interested MKE Citizen @Citizen_MKE]

"Wauwatosa, a blue Milwaukee suburb"

Still crazy to see, when Obama only won by 2 points in 2012.

Evers won by 40 2 years ago

[Arun Srinivasan @arasrini]

@writcertiorari Should have picked Shapi— oops wrong side

[Arun Srinivasan @arasrini]

@NYinLA2121 Pompeii residents dismayed at overcast day

[Lakshya Jain @lxeagle17]

Just ridiculous that we keep sanewashing this completely insane nonsense because "lmao nothing matters and people don't care anyways"

[Arun Srinivasan @arasrini]

@jackisjake Dana Bash already has someone saying that Trump closed the deal

[Arun Srinivasan @arasrini]

@ElectProject “You can’t spell slaughter without laughter! Trump campaign adopts Harris mantra with new joy focused rhetoric!”

[Gene Park @GenePark]

“I thought it would conquer the world.” - Tim Walz on the Sega Dreamcast

[Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez @AOC]

You’re opening for Trump by calling Puerto Rico a floating pile of garbage. 4,000+ Puerto Ricans died under him.

This isn’t the comedy store. You’re using your set to boost neo-Nazis like MTG & stripping women’s rights to the Stone Age. Your “sense of humor” doesn’t change that.

[Arun Srinivasan @arasrini]

@writcertiorari Bring back that octopus that predicts World Cup winners