@DumpTrump_45@Kalshi She was down in the polls in 2020 worse and still won. more like the betting market is underestimating her because they don't have context and blindly follow polls.
@Kalshi Betting against Collins is risky. She was down in all the polls in 2020 and she still won. A lot of the pollsters are giving good results to Dems due to the young and hispanic vote... it doesn't apply well to an older very white Maine.
@Davithemoon@CParkwood81680@RedEaglePatriot He was by 4 points. Allred tied and lead in a couple of polls. Even on election night Claire McCaskill was saying keep an eye on Texas senate race.
@RobertRoge1r@RossKneeDeep Harris didn't even win the primary and Trump won because of his improvements with minority groups, mainly hispanic men and black men.
@Ax_Mako000@RedEaglePatriot Lol he hasn't said no sweat at all. If Michigan was a comfy race for Dems then Abdul wouldn't need Harris/Kelly to help him campaign or ask Schumer for a 10 million cash injection.
@RestEasyTink@KalshiPolitics@RitadeCSB Errr they just recently got Hong and Abdul primary races pretty damn wrong. They also had Trump with 18% to win the popular vote in 2024.