Aravindan Srinivasan

[Aravindan Srinivasan @arvi79]

@The_Tradesman1 How can I get in touch with you ?🙏🏽

[Aravind @aravind]

All knowledge already exists. Your mind is just a conduit. If you apply your mind and concentrate on a problem hard enough, the solution will appear. Or you can just meditate hard enough to access all knowledge, in Turiya. You can be Ramanjujan or the Buddha. The choice is yours.

[Veles @velesxbt]

Flip a coin. Heads, your account goes up 50 percent. Tails, it goes down 40 percent. Expected value is plus 5 percent a flip, so you take the bet a hundred times. Expected value says your $10,000 becomes $1.3 million. The most likely path leaves you with $52.

An MIT professor explains the entire gap in one sentence, in a free undergraduate lecture, then moves on like it was nothing.

His name is John Tsitsiklis. He teaches undergraduate probability at MIT. He also proved in 1994 that Q-learning converges, the result that says the algorithm under modern reinforcement learning does not merely happen to work, it has to. INFORMS gave him the von Neumann Theory Prize for that line of work in 2018.

He runs the lecture on the students for an hour.

First he takes the average apart. A random variable is not a number, it is a function. A bar graph of probabilities is a PMF. Expectation is the center of gravity of that bar graph, the single point where you slide a pen underneath and the thing balances. He is slow and patient about it. By minute 35 you trust the average completely.

Then he stops and says he wants to give "one general word of caution."

"The average of a function of a random variable, in general, is not the same as the function of the average... in general, you can not reason on the average."

Everything before that sentence was the trap.

Go back to the coin. Compounding is not addition. Up 50 then down 40 is not plus 10. It is 1.5 times 0.6, which is 0.9. You are down 10 percent. Do that 50 times each way and you have 0.9 to the fiftieth power. Fifty-two dollars.

So where did the $1.3 million go? It is real. It is parked at the very top of the distribution. Run the hundred flips and only about one path in seven finishes above where you started. Only about one in a hundred ever reaches that $1.3 million. Those few runs are gigantic, and they carry the average for everybody else. You will not be in them.

In February 2018 that trade had a ticker. XIV, short volatility, $1.9 billion in it. It had paid on the average day for seven years. On February 5 the VIX rose 115.6 percent, the biggest one-day jump ever recorded. XIV went from $115.55 to $4.22 overnight. Credit Suisse shut the note two weeks later. Nobody in it was wrong about the average. They were wrong about which path they were standing on.

The usable version: your compound return is your average return minus roughly half your variance. A system averaging 20 percent a year at 40 percent vol does not compound at 20. It compounds at 12. That missing 8 is not fees or slippage.

Tsitsiklis delivers the most expensive sentence in finance, finishes the variance section, and ends with "see you on Wednesday."

The lecture is free. The average is free. Knowing which path you are standing on is the trade.

[Lumen @lumenxbt]

https://t.co/3hWKMIBJcw

[Aravindan Srinivasan @arvi79]

@TA_Equity_India Too good TA Sir

[Aravindan Srinivasan @arvi79]

@markminervini Eagerly looking forward to your next book on trading 😊🙏

[Profitsinflows @profitsinflows]

Trading सिर्फ Charts देखने का नाम नहीं है, यह ज़िम्मेदारी निभाने का नाम है.

एक Pilot के सामने Flight Deck होता है।
एक Trader के सामने Trading Screen.

Pilot वही करता है जो उसके Instruments बताते हैं।
Trader भी वही करता है जो उसके Charts बताते हैं.

Pilot अगर Ego, डर या Overconfidence से Plane उड़ाए, तो एक छोटी सी गलती भी भारी पड़ सकती है।
Trading में भी यही सच है।

Market को आपकी राय, आपका Ego या आपकी उम्मीदों से कोई फर्क नहीं पड़ता।
वह सिर्फ वही करता है जो Price Action दिखाती है।

जिस दिन हर Trader खुद को सिर्फ Trader नहीं, बल्कि अपनी Family की Financial Flight का Pilot मान लेगा...

उस दिन फैसले Emotions से नहीं, Discipline से होंगे।

और वही Discipline आने वाली पीढ़ियों की Financial Journey पूरी तरह बदल सकता है.

✈️ Trade Like a Pilot.
📊 Follow the Screen.
🎯 Ignore the Ego.
💎 Build Generational Wealth.

[Aravindan Srinivasan @arvi79]

@rajorich7 Eagerly looking forward to 🙏👌

[Aravindan Srinivasan @arvi79]

@profitsinflows Happy Guru Purnima Tarun ji. Very grateful for all the knowledge you have shared and continue to in your endeavor. Pranam 🙏

[Aravindan Srinivasan @arvi79]

@rajorich7 Happy Guru Purnima Chetan ji. Thanks for all the knowledge and training you keep giving. Gratitude!!🙏

[Parimal @Fintech03]

Namaste, Ma'am...Aapko 1 story sunata hoon....

In the summer of 1980, a distraught 7th grade boy stood in the courtyard of a modest house in Mylapore, watching his father toss his cricket bat down a deep well. A fast bouncer had shattered the boy's spectacles during a local match & his father, a renowned Sanskrit logician, was terrified for his son's sight.

"Your cricket days are done," his father declared, handing him a violin. "If you want to master precision, master this."

The boy did not throw a tantrum. He directed his focus toward the strings, training until he was performing alongside musical legends, even taking direct corrections from Bharat Ratna M.S. Subbulakshmi.

5 yrs later, he suffered another blow: he failed to clear the IIT-JEE examination.

He did not give up. He enrolled in a regional engineering college, quietly mastering computer science logic gates. He eventually worked his way into IIT Madras as a postgrad researcher, earned a PhD, joined as a prof & eventually became the Director of the very institute that had once turned him away.

By 2011, while the world was building consumer mobile apps, this prof was looking at a hidden national vulnerability: every radar, fighter jet, banking server & defense system in India was running on foreign-designed microprocessors.

He had a single question in his mind: "We can test that a foreign chip does what we WANT it to do. But can we guarantee it does not do something we DO NOT want it to do when a war starts?"

He proposed building a completely indigenous, industrial-grade microprocessor from scratch. Global tech giants insisted it could not be done w/o billions of dollars in infrastructure & massive foreign patents.

He did not care. Working out of cramped labs on long shifts, he & his team adopted the open source RISC-V instruction set. They hand-coded logic gates, mapped silicon layouts & verified billions of instruction cycles.

In July 2018, a tiny 16mm² piece of silicon codenamed Risecreek arrived back at the lab. The team wired it up, flipped the switch & watched a flickering monitor as the Linux operating system booted on 100% Indian-designed silicon for the 1st time in history.

Today, his SHAKTI processor architecture powers everything from defense communications to space grade controllers built in collaboration with ISRO.

That young boy whose father threw his cricket bat down a well...

The student who missed the JEE list in 1985...

The violinist who turned down the official IIT Director's mansion to stay in his family home & protect his late father's Sanskrit library...

His name is Prof. Veezhinathan Kamakoti.

[News Algebra @NewsAlgebraIND]

"Sanskrit should be made National language of India"

- Sonam Wangchuk's wife Geetanjali Angmo

[TA @TA_Equity_India]

Everyone wants to become rich.

Very few are willing to become financially trustworthy first.

Wealth follows trust.

Money compounds.

But trust compounds faster.

Build that first....

[TA @TA_Equity_India]

If pharma companies cured you, they'd go bankrupt.

If banks helped you get out of debt, they'd collapse.

If politicians solved problems, nobody would elect them again.

If Tom kills Jerry, the show is over.

It's all just a big Fake show...

[Aravindan Srinivasan @arvi79]

@rajorich7 Now what Chetan ji, eager to hear from you on how you see future from here 🙏 (only for learning purpose)