Chairman & Chief Investment Officer at Barometer Capital Management-Barometer Manages Tactical, Multi-Asset portfolios for families, and financial advisors
The correction in #gold and #precious metals have largely run its course...but it also may mean the recent moonshot rally in $QQQ is maturing.
Giant IPOs can often mark near term highs.
Have a plan.
Now getting close.
In each of the two great bull markets in #preciousmetals, the first major correction was down approximately 35%, lasted about 140 trading days and retested the original low. (one slight undercut).
This should ultimately serve to clear the table for the next leg higher.
$GDX $GDXJ $SGDM $SGDJ $GLD
Let's be careful out there. Outside weekly reversal.
The tech trade has been extremely gappy, is very crowded and lots of leverage has been deployed.
As I have been saying, weak breadth conditions into a cluster of mega IPOs can set up the possibility of a quick selloff.
Understand your risk budget and have discipline around your selling strategy. It's really important to stick to your plan. $QQQ
FRIDAY CLOSING LOSS RULE
My trading policy is to liquidate any trade that shows a loss on a Friday for two reasons
1. Enjoy a weekend without sweating a loser
2. Friday losses often get worse the following week
Rules rule
#preciousmetals continue to consolidate from extended on a relative basis before the second leg of the bull market gets going.
The retracememt is getting close to done but no evidence it is there yet.
Corrections come as a combination of time and price.
#Silver vs. $QQQ
$PSLV $SLV $PHYS $GLD $GDX $SIL $SGDM $SILJ
As mega IPOs loom, equity markets continue to be a collection of haves and have nots. This week we discussed opportunities in inflation hedged themes and our positioning headed into a historically challenged seasonal period.
Join us today at 4:00PM for our Barometer Readings Webcast. We’ll share our latest read on the markets, the leadership we’re watching, and the key signals helping guide our portfolio decisions. https://t.co/8flFHsR6rc
Could this be an early sign of funding stress?
There is tremendous pending demand for capital to fund the largest IPOs in history and jumbo capital raises ($GOOGL)
Many of the same investors own #bitcoin.
Thoughts?
The correction in #gold and #precious metals have largely run its course...but it also may mean the recent moonshot rally in $QQQ is maturing.
Giant IPOs can often mark near term highs.
Have a plan.