Bull Confirmation / Range Breakout: A decisive weekly close above the $83,307 to $84,569 liquidity node, accompanied by sustained ETF and over-the-counter demand.
Trend Support Test: The market's ability to hold the 200-day moving average (now at $69,080) on any retracement. A failure to hold this level reverts the market entirely back to the middle-ground basing accumulation phase.
Bear Confirmation / Range Breakdown: A sustained breakdown below $60,000 accompanied by rising exchange reserves and cascading long liquidations.
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