Introducing the Stripe Economics of AI Fellowship:
The economics of AI remains surprisingly understudied. The fellowship aims to help fill that gap, by supporting grad students and early-career researchers with $, data, a conference, and community –
real labor-share expert @ZMazlish informs me Gutiérrez and Piton (2020) already argues exactly this, see discussion here https://t.co/znQS23EC88
image QT below for archiving purposes
https://t.co/VnDhyTHlyq collected ~1k matched questions from real-money prediction markets vs. non-market platforms: skin in the game seems to still matter, at least some?
these are relative not absolute brier scores though; and I am somewhat posting this tweet with the hope people will dig through all these charts more carefully and i won't have to 😌
@GuiveAssadi@trevposts good q, I think it's harder because of classification issues ("programmers" vs. "software developers") but let's see https://t.co/E2xnyxjVVB
@MaxNadeau_ you have reminded me thanks that I didn't actually post this graph -- *relative* wages -- last time, bc the percentiles are weird object here: "90th percentile translator wages divided by 90th percentile agg wage"
"Trying to escape the permanent underclass" is like an Incan trying to save enough money to escape Pizarro, sorry --
Either the political system works (and there is nothing to escape) or you're just screwed ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
The "permanent underclass" meme is primarily bad futurism, where people admit AGI massively changes one domain, but somehow everything else stays roughly 2025. Not impossible, but small slice of futures