Ben Koren

[Ben Koren @benkoren]

https://t.co/ot3OaKlivY

[Ben Koren @benkoren]

“AGI is here!” “AGI is a few years away!” “AGI is decades away…” 

Lots of talk about AGI. But here’s the problem: nobody arguing about AGI timelines can tell you what the G stands for. The whole debate runs on a vibe: AGI is when the models get scary good.

But “scary good” is what we already have. I’ve been playing with Anthropic’s Fable 5 model (released yesterday), and, yes, it’s amazing. But if “generality” just means performing well across many domains, AGI happened a while ago and the debate is over.

It isn’t over, because that’s not what GENERAL intelligence is.

I wrote recently about @DavidDeutschOxf ‘s idea of explanatory knowledge: humans don’t just predict what happens next, we construct theories about why. Conjecture, refutation, better theory. Every capability we lump under “general intelligence” (creativity, judgment, taste) flows from that one capacity. It’s general precisely because explanations reach beyond the data that produced them. Newton's equations covered apples as well as comets and planets he never saw.

LLMs are prediction engines. That’s not an insult, it’s the design. They generate plausible continuations of patterns, and they’re now better at it than we (humans) are. But prediction interpolates. It doesn’t explain. Scale that up a thousandfold and you get something extraordinary that is still, categorically, not the thing.

So here’s my view: AGI arrives when an AI generates explanatory knowledge. That will likely require a different architecture entirely. Nobody knows. Which means every confident timeline you’ve heard is a prediction about something its predictor can’t define.

The people building these models are the best in the world at prediction. Maybe that’s why they keep mistaking it for the whole of intelligence.

[Sharbel @sharbel]

Ladies and gentlemen, we reached AGI.

[Ben Koren @benkoren]

Want to know what @DavidDeutschOxf has to do with framing pictures? Read on

[Ben Koren @benkoren]

https://t.co/ot3OaKlivY

[Ben Koren @benkoren]

@jspujji GA

[Ben Koren @benkoren]

@BillDA @memdotai Mem it

[Ben Koren @benkoren]

@stockspinoffss @memdotai Mem it

[Ben Koren @benkoren]

@markbrooks @memdotai mem it

[Ben Koren @benkoren]

@agarwal__gaurav @memdotai mem it

[Ben Koren @benkoren]

@SievaKozinsky @Readwiseio save thred

[Ben Koren @benkoren]

@balajis Social Network

[Alex Smolokoff @ASmolokoff]

I recorded a podcast (from home!) with @gobigenergy co-CEO and co-founder @benkoren about how his business is working and adjusting due to #COVID19 and how they’re giving back to the community. Really insightful interview:

https://t.co/diFxDdzDda

[Ben Koren @benkoren]

@getrecharge @bold_commerce Thank you. Haven’t gotten an email yet, but it seems to be working now.

[Ben Koren @benkoren]

@getrecharge your plugin is not working from what seems from your FAQ to be a known issue on your end, and your customer service is not responding. It’s approaching 48 hours now. Very frustrating and disappointing. Should we switch to @bold_commerce ?

[Ben Koren @benkoren]

@getrecharge @bold_commerce If they are on top of it why does nobody respond? Not happy. I need a timeframe.

[Ben Koren @benkoren]

@bold_commerce @getrecharge Thank you. It’s very troubling that @getrecharge hasn’t responded to our emails about a critical issue in over 24 hours.

[Ben Koren @benkoren]

@DustinNemos @getrecharge Did it really take them 8 days to address your issue? They’re also not taking care of a critical issue for us.

[Ben Koren @benkoren]

@gobigenergy's natural energy shot is live on @ProductHunt! Ask us anything, get some free shots, be healthy, and do more. Better energy, real ingredients... https://t.co/bNid5wpHFn

[Ben Koren @benkoren]

It's that time of year again: https://t.co/VNalrldbBU

[Ben Koren @benkoren]

@Filepicker your service is down and so is your customer service line. come on guys. this is the 2nd time this month.

[Ben Koren @benkoren]

@ArchDigest loves @FrameologyNYC http://t.co/EGV0DnhzjX