1/9
I lost ~$55K gambling.
Then I put ~$330K into $ETH.
In June, with $ETH around $1,504, my portfolio was worth roughly $150K.
Today I hold 12,893 $BMNR.
Here’s how I got here. 🧵
@CastilloTrading This kind of compression usually gets interesting fast once the range finally breaks. If $ETH can hold this zone as support and clear $2.6K with volume, I’d expect the move to accelerate pretty quickly. 👀
@Ellaweb_3 $2,560 feels like the real decision level here. If $ETH gets a clean daily close above it, how much of the current resistance do you think turns into support instead of another fakeout? 👀
@cryptocupra If this really rhymes with 2025, $ETH doesn’t even need $10K for $BMNR to get very interesting. A clean break of the old highs alone changes the NAV picture fast. 👀
@ProffEtherPrint That first-mover advantage is the part people underestimate. If $ETH gets materially more expensive, recreating a 5% treasury at scale becomes a completely different game.
@Darkminer71 That $11.36 effective entry is the part I like 👀 If you’re already bullish on $ETH and wouldn’t mind owning $BMNR lower, getting paid while you wait is a pretty interesting setup.
@Ceni_Capital Yeah, that could be a really interesting use of staking rewards. Especially if $ETH is strong and $BMNR is trading below or near NAV — buybacks could become very accretive.
I think one of the most misunderstood parts of the $BMNR thesis is the flywheel.
If $ETH rises, NAV rises.
If $BMNR starts trading at a meaningful premium to NAV, raising capital above NAV can become accretive. That capital can buy more $ETH.
More ETH can increase NAV/share and staking income. And if the market keeps rewarding that growth, the cycle can repeat.
That’s why I don’t look at $BMNR as simply “leveraged ETH.”
The premium itself can become part of the growth engine.
@PDphillyPhil Fair point. I’m not saying equity-only is the most capital-efficient structure. My point is that a premium to NAV still creates an accretive funding lever without adding balance-sheet leverage. Debt could improve efficiency, but it also changes the risk profile.
$BMNR is already one of the most actively traded stocks in America.
According to Fundstrat, its 5-day average dollar volume reached $1.36B.
That ranks $BMNR #62 out of 5,704 U.S.-listed stocks.
Right behind Texas Instruments.
Right ahead of UnitedHealth.
For an $ETH treasury company that only started this strategy in mid-2025, that level of liquidity is pretty wild.
$BMNR isn’t trading like a niche treasury stock anymore. 👀
$BMNR is getting really close to the 5% $ETH goal.
BitMine holds 5.90M $ETH right now.
With current ETH supply around 122.11M, the 5% target comes out to roughly 6.11M ETH.
So the remaining gap is only about 204K ETH.
At current prices, that’s roughly $508M versus $541M in reported cash + marketable securities.
Pretty simple: the 5% goal is now very close. 👀
Daily $BMNR update 👀
$BMNR: $25.58
$ETH: $2,488
mNAV: 1.01x
Position: 12,893 shares / ~$329K
What I like here is that BMNR is basically sitting around NAV again. No crazy premium, no obvious hype priced in yet.
If $ETH keeps moving higher while $BMNR eventually starts getting a stronger premium to NAV, that’s where things can get interesting fast.
For now, nothing complicated. Same position. Same thesis. Road to $1M. 🤝
@Lucelex And with the 5% target almost reached, this is exactly why I’m curious what comes next. If the next phase relies more on staking and cash flow and less on ATM, that would be a much stronger setup for common holders.
@Lucelex That’s the real risk. I’m fine with issuing above NAV if it’s actually accretive to NAV/share and ETH/share. But if ATM just keeps capping the premium without improving value per share, then the flywheel stops working for common holders. That’s what I’m watching.
@Cointelegraph Only ~200K $ETH left. At this point, 5% feels less like the finish line and more like the start of the next phase. What BitMine does after reaching it is what I’m watching most.
@Pathto21 The best way I’ve found is to estimate $BMNR’s NAV/share at different $ETH prices, then apply a range of possible mNAV multiples. It won’t give an exact price because share count, staking, cash, buybacks/ATM and other assets can change, but it gives a pretty useful framework.
Here’s a crazy way to look at $BMNR’s exposure to Ethereum:
BitMine now holds ~5.9M $ETH.
Every $100 move in ETH changes the value of that treasury by roughly $590 million.
+$500 ETH = +$2.95B
+$1,000 ETH = +$5.9B
And that’s before factoring in staking income, future ETH accumulation or any change in mNAV.
At this scale, even relatively small moves in $ETH can have a massive impact on $BMNR’s underlying treasury value.