Catlover

Cats are superior to dogs

[Catlover @bracadabroh]

@stoicsavage Wait for the gold vol index to breakdown, bid when that gets crushed & gold price is choppy sideways

[molson 🧠⚙️ @Molson_Hart]

In order for this to happen:

1. 10.5% returns over 34 years when market is at crazy valuations and USA averaged 7% over its peak years

2. No change in tax code - the USA govt will let young people keep their 401ks when pension hungry boomers are majority and vote at 70%+ rates

3. No broker or bank default

4. No personal need for the cash whose distributions are tax penalized

5. No civil war, communist revolution, invasion in the US

6. No change in management behavior around fiduciary duty

7. No major inflation in cost of living wiping out nominal gains

You may think one or two of these are unlikely but in aggregate, the idea that this person will turn $100k into $3 mm without doing anything (because this idea has been heavily marketed to us) is abject fantasy.

[Catlover @bracadabroh]

@rubicon59 Don’t forget TSMC!

[Catlover @bracadabroh]

@krugermacro @timmolendijk So the short to medium-term trade is figuring out what the next correlation will be

[Magoo PhD @HodlMagoo]

Okay good, now tell them I’m changing my name to Michael Seller.

[🐧 @Pentosh1]

every day is the same as the last

asian stocks limit up, US stocks hit new all time highs, trump says Iran wants a deal so badly, the dumbest person you know is up another 10x on some "bottleneck" stock that his LLM told him to buy

[🐧 @Pentosh1]

I don't net short with leverage. Nothing against people who do it well, and there are some that do and are very talented. It's just not my strength and not my style. If I'm bearish I go to cash, or hedge spot a little bit. You will see me disappear during those times bc I'm just not trading.

The math is why. Longs can go to infinity, they are uncapped on upside where as shorts are capped. Essentially best case it goes to 0 and you make a 2x.

SNDK did 60x or so in the past year. 50% fall pays you 50% whether you nailed a parabolic top or shorted something like ETH which has already been cut in half if it fell in half now. The short doesn't care how extended the move was. People who've been trying to call tops with levered shorts, well, it's typically an ego thing. More often than not. it's better to short the thing that has been performing like crap anyways. idk what the obsession is with shorting strength repeatedly

Then in equities you have other things that go against you. It's carry. Shorts bleed, you pay the borrow, pay the dividend, fighting stock buybacks, inflation, etc. The timing has to be pretty precise. And then there are naked shorts, where you end up shorting something and end up losing 3-4x the amount you invested. Short MU at $250, it goes to 1k. It happens all the time.

It is so much better to just have a few good plays, and then every once in awhile you find a high conviction bet to really just push to the max. Even for me, most trades I take are pretty consistent, and once a year I hit a trade that makes up like 70% of my years gains bc I knew it was the one. But that's just my style.

[Bit Paine ⚡️ @BitPaine]

Idk man I’ve been hearing about how we’ve only got like two weeks of Hormuz closure before oil is $10,000 per barrel and the entire world economy goes tits up for three months now and while I’m open to the possibility that the panicans will eventually be right I’m beginning to suspect they just don’t know what the fuck they’re talking about

[Catlover @bracadabroh]

@CL207 Navier-Stokesmaxxing

[10Δ @_10delta_]

Every past crypto cycle was defined by a distinct technological breakthrough & speculative narrative that drove the broader market megatrend.

2009-2013: BTC -> PoW Chains

2015-2017: ETH/ERC-20s-> ICOs

2019-2021: COMP/UNI -> DeFi

2023-2024: SOL/RLB/UNIBOT -> Memes & Finanancial Nihilism

It clearly seems, that AI & utility-driven infra will be the defining themes that characterize the years to come.

As expected, the market is maturing, & this time “smart money” is allocating to tech with real PMF.

[Route 2 FI @Route2FI]

Waiting decades for retirement feels insane once you’ve lived through a crypto bull run and seen how your entire life can change in a few months instead of 20–30 years.

[Catlover @bracadabroh]

@thedefivillain If you're a gambling man (aka a total degen):

Long CRWV ahead of earnings tonight
Short WTI ahead of some more re-opening news

Holding time: not more than 5 days

[Catlover @bracadabroh]

@CL207 What if David Hunter was right all along?

Watch and learn

[10Δ @_10delta_]

Earnings drive markets.

Oil is one, of many, variables in the earnings function.

Do not confuse the map for the territory.

[Catlover @bracadabroh]

@plur_daddy

[Catlover @bracadabroh]

@BenKizemchuk Because it’s in a mid to late bear market?

Seems pretty straightforward, this isn’t the first time such a situation happens…

[Alex Krüger @krugermacro]

This serves as definitive evidence of capital rotation from crypto into equities.

[Jet Ski Bandit @fulovitboss]

#BREAKING

Dramatic scenes in the Strait of Hormuz of ships coming under fire as they transit the waterway..

[_Checkmate 🟠🔑⚡☢️🛢️ @_Checkmatey_]

The great irony is the ROI from just hacking poorly designed code is so much higher than spending billions to maybe build a quantum computer that may or may not work at stealing coins.

[Catlover @bracadabroh]

@LeafiestParapet It's not a hedge. It's a worthy sacrifice 🫡