JUST IN: The IRGC Navy just added a second lock to the gate.
Hours after the ceasefire was supposed to reopen Hormuz, the IRGC issued an official directive requiring all commercial vessels to use two alternative corridors near Larak Island to avoid sea mines deployed during the war. Inbound traffic north of Larak. Outbound traffic south of Larak. All ships must coordinate with the IRGC Navy before entering. Until further notice.
The mines are real. Iran laid them during the February to April campaign as a defensive measure against the US Fifth Fleet. They are in the standard shipping lanes. The alternative routes bypass the minefields but funnel every vessel through a narrow channel inside Iranian territorial waters, past the same Larak Island where the IRGC toll booth already operates and the patrol boats already escort ships one at a time after verifying clearance codes paid for in yuan or cryptocurrency.
This is not a safety measure. It is infrastructure. The mines create the problem. The alternative routes create the solution. The solution requires coordination with the IRGC. The coordination requires toll payment. The toll requires yuan. Each layer reinforces the previous one until the Strait of Hormuz is no longer a waterway governed by international maritime law but a managed corridor operated by a theocratic military force collecting revenue in a currency that is not the dollar.
The sequence now runs as follows. A vessel operator contacts IRGC-linked intermediaries. Submits IMO number, ownership chain, cargo manifest, crew list, and destination. The IRGC’s Hormozgan Provincial Command screens for sanctions alignment and assigns a friendliness tier. The toll is calculated at approximately one dollar per barrel for oil tankers, paid in yuan through CIPS or in stablecoins through the Qeshm Island crypto exchange window. If approved, the vessel receives a clearance code and route instructions for the Larak corridors. Upon approach, VHF radio hail, AIS verification, and a patrol boat escort through the minefield-free alternative channel. One ship at a time.
Fifteen to twenty ships completed this process in the first 24 hours. The pre-war average was 138 per day. Four hundred vessels are reportedly waiting outside the strait. The Gulf states have declared the toll illegal and refuse to pay. Japan’s prime minister called the strait an international public good. Oman’s transport minister said international agreements prohibit fees. None of this has stopped the IRGC from operating the corridor, collecting the revenue, and turning back tankers that attempt passage without a code.
Trump claimed a complete opening of the strait. The strait is not completely open. It is completely controlled. The difference between closed and controlled is that a closed strait generates no revenue and invites military intervention. A controlled strait generates reconstruction funding in yuan, establishes a precedent for non-dollar energy settlement, and operates under the legal fiction of a safety directive that blames wartime mines for the necessity of IRGC coordination.
The mines will take months to clear. The alternative routes will become permanent. The toll will become normalised. And by the time Islamabad concludes, the infrastructure of a post-dollar energy chokepoint will have been stress-tested, revenue-generating, and operationally embedded for two weeks under the protection of a ceasefire that was supposed to dismantle it.
Full analysis https://t.co/0fIdGsM5qH
UN IDP map: Aleppo and Northeast Escalation Subdistrict-Level IDP Figures | 21 January 2026 (IDP movements) (a total of 165,000 IDPs since beginning of this month). Seems most IDPs went to Hasakah and not Kobani (probably expecting it would be besieged).
The Syrian Government begins its second phase of its war against the Kurdish People.
Moussa al-Omar, a STG individual who belongs to the inner circle of Jolani is holding tribal councils across Raqqah and Deirezzor and explains to tribal leaders that Kurds are not native to Syria.
This is precisely what we have warned about when we stated that a presidential decree is meaningless and can be revoked at any time.
When the Syrian Government holds tribal meetings to align the tribes of Syria with the narrative that Kurds are not native to Syria - then this is why we do not trust the Syrian Government and why we can not simply trust the rhetoric of Jolani.
Allegedly under 18 children held in one of the ISIS prisons in eastern Syria : One hopes there will be a full accounting of what happened in these prions, there was no good reason to imprison all these kids; if they are 17 or 15 now then weren’t they 11 or 9 when ISIS was vanquished in 2019?
The fact is that these detainees deserved rights. I know it’s hard for some people to accept, but alleged ISIS members also deserve due process and a speedy trial; and victims deserved justice. What was the reason for holding the kids?
What was the point of fighting ISIS if we didn’t also try to win the peace and give these kids a chance?
The problem with dumping all these detainees in eastern Syria is the knowledge that no international law prevailed there.
The Erbil-based Barzani Charity Foundation (BCF) is set to send 16 more trucks of humanitarian aid to Rojava (northeast Syria) on Sunday, with at least 67 others already dispatched
More and more Ala Rengin sightings lately. Apoci 20th c revolutionary ideas which allocated expansive symbolic energies to brotherhood of nations and the creation of a New Kurd within it are giving way, not quite to throwback tribalism but to a new 21st c popular nationalism.
ISIS also led the 2014 attack on Kobani, commanded by a Kurd from Halabja named Abu al-Khatab. It’s doubtful that Azad Sha’bo is actually leading the SAA offensive on Kobani.
🇸🇾 #Syria: Footage shows hundreds of people mobilised in the city of Derik in support of the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF).
(via @vvanwilgenburg on X)
مدير #المرصد_السوري : الحل يجب أن يكون سياسياً برعاية جهات تريد تقريب وجهات النظر ،لا أحد يستطيع تحمل فاتورة الحل العسكري لأنه سيكون صراع وجود وليس صراعاً سياسياً ،على الدول التي لم تلوث أيديها بالـ ـد م السوري أن تساهم بإنهاء هذا الملف لأنه وصل إلى مرحلة مخيفة .
https://t.co/bKuULJuRHa
Someone took this photo in Kobani, 2014. That’s me on the left. As an Italian international volunteer, I crossed the Turkish border under the cover of night, cutting through barbed wire alongside young Kurds from all four corners of Kurdistan. I remember the propaganda videos; John Cantlie announcing a Mujahideen victory with the city skyline behind him, punctuated by the rattle of small-arms fire. He claimed they were just 'clearing out the last of the PKK rats.'
I was one of those 'rats.' We fought while being reinforced daily by a sea of Kurdish volunteers pouring over the border. The Kurdish nation had awakened, and that spirit was unbreakable. The Islamic State might have claimed they took Kobani two times over, but every time a rifle fell, it was reclaimed before it even hit the floor.
I had only four days of training before I was sent to the front to replace the martyrs and wounded. That is what broke the Caliphate.
They took streets. We took them back. Again and again, until their “victory” turned into a graveyard.
Neither their tanks, their heavy artillery, nor their veteran Chechen divisions could break that collective will.
It was a will that moved the world and brought it to the streets of Kobani. The Caliphate found itself facing not just a thousand Kurdish fighters, but the unbreakable spirit of Kurdistan and a world that couldn’t look away anymore.
A thousand-strong, battle-hardened SDF division previously trapped in Raqqa's al-Aqtan Prison has finally arrived in Kobane. They will now join the defense of the city under siege.
The scales have tipped.
The Christian/#Assyrian belt along the #KhaburValley (west Hasakah) – map by @LCarabinier 2015
These militias (like #SMC) allied with YPG/SDF against ISIS for survival back then
Now, with the Syrian gov’s rapid advances vs SDF
What happens next for this ancient community? #Syria
If the Russians are moving out as claimed that means they are ceding control of Qamishlo airport to the central government. Will Turkey move in to "rehabilitate" the airport if so? Mind spinning developments. Senior Kurdish official Eldar Xalil told me in an interview in November that the Russians had told the SDF they would leave only if told to do so by Damascus.