₿rett

Faith ✝️ Family & Freedom 🇺🇸
₿itcoin since 2013 | Data & AI nerd | Investor not Trader | Stocks & macro enthusiast
Old username: Brett_ETH

[₿rett @brettmacro]

#Bitcoin Cycles Timeline. I don't make the rules.

2016-2020
Halving to Peak: 525 days
Peak to Bottom: 364 days
Bottom to Halving 518 days

2020-2024
Halving to Peak: 532 days
Peak to Bottom: 371 days
Bottom to Halving: 532 Days

The next halving date is March 26, 2028. Look how accurately the above timeline would put us at the halving...

Will the pattern continue?

[₿rett @brettmacro]

@cryptorover “Claude, draw me a line and make sure it doesn’t hit the candles. Make no mistakes.”

[₿rett @brettmacro]

This weekly Bitcoin candle is awesome.

This is going to make some amazing long term buys.

[₿rett @brettmacro]

@WatsonsOptions @fundstrat

[₿rett @brettmacro]

Someone check on @fundstrat. $ETH is now sub $1,800.

[₿rett @brettmacro]

@MisterSpread @fundstrat

[₿rett @brettmacro]

@mikeeluzz I would look at this as a price chart. This is a timing chart. It would put the timing of the bottom in Q4.

[₿rett @brettmacro]

This Bitcoin chart originally made in 2024 is still so clean when looking at the timing of top and potential bottom.

[₿rett @brettmacro]

312 days ago I posted the chart below. I estimated that the Bitcoin top could be 76 weeks after the halving (pending we stick to the 4-year cycle). This has remained my pinned tweet.

Bitcoins current ATH hit exactly 76 weeks after the Bitcoin halving. Perfectly in line with my chart from 2024.

Is the cycle complete? I don't think we can honestly say until we get 2 clean weekly closes under the 50w SMA (sitting around $101k).

Is this chart complete? I think so. It's served its purpose, and been pretty fun to watch so far.

Cheers!

[₿rett @brettmacro]

CT influencers who have continued to call Bitcoin bottoms all the way down, are now shifting to alts again. This will age like milk.

[₿rett @brettmacro]

@Dispropoganda One of these is not like the others.

[₿rett @brettmacro]

@DeItaone Do people know when Labor Day is? 🤣

[₿rett @brettmacro]

@pow2chain Of MSTR?

[₿rett @brettmacro]

Since December 2024, I've been showing the correlation between $MSTR and Bitcoin.

I showed how MSTR topped 274 days before Bitcoin last cycle. This is one of the variables that guided me to believe we see a Bitcoin top in early October 2025.

MSTR also bottomed approximately 190 days before Bitcoin last cycle.

Similar to last cycle, MSTR had a major wick down to form its bottom (red circle), followed by a large rally (green circle). Then it double bottomed. This is when Bitcoin found its bottom.

A similar pattern is playing out again.

Bitcoin only has to decline 13% to create a new cycle low. MSTR would need to decline 28% to make a new low.

[₿rett @brettmacro]

In December 2024, I started charting $MSTR vs Bitcoin.

I showed how MSTR topped 274 days before Bitcoin last cycle. This is one of the variables that guided me to believe we see a Bitcoin top in early October 2025.

MSTR also bottomed about 193 days before Bitcoin last cycle.

It started with a major wick down (red circles) and then chopped sideways, forming its base. The major wick down, coincidentally came at the same time that Bitcoin made its lower low (same as last week).

During that time, Bitcoin chopped sideways/down until it found its bottom 193 days later.

Do you think MSTR has found its floor? Or more blood to go?

[₿rett @brettmacro]

@JoshuaBarzon @official_flo @FLAGALine @Floridaman @nbc6 @RonDeSantis @SunSentinel @FloridaTourism @FlaPanthers @FloridaGators D. There’s a reason it gets more expensive the further south you go in Florida.

[₿rett @brettmacro]

@DeFi_initiate Yes, the thread above. I've been posting about it for 1.5 years. This is how I got within a few days of the October top. MSTR tops first, Bitcoin follows. MSTR bottom first, Bitcoin follows.

[₿rett @brettmacro]

@DeFi_initiate Well...its happening and has been happening for years lol.

[₿rett @brettmacro]

@zeroXhope “Not a single positive return” is false. Many midterm years closed positive.

[₿rett @brettmacro]

@MarioNawfal Haven’t you been bragging about being right about the war ending numerous times?

[₿rett @brettmacro]

@KobeissiLetter Does the IRGC know...?

[₿rett @brettmacro]

@elvin488878 @EricSpracklen Or English...

[₿rett @brettmacro]

@KobeissiLetter