bright

futures trader

[bright @bright_nq]

@jules_levlhq i can't message you, mind checking DMs?

[bright @bright_nq]

@JowlUnleashed @yaseeen76 based on his claims, he never exceeded 10k risk in a single trade.

this CONSERVATIVE model never exceeds a position risk of 3k, not even half of the advertised sizing.

if anything, i underestimated.

simply, this is larp or survivorship bias. nothing here is “repeatable”.

[bright @bright_nq]

@jules_levlhq check your DMS :)

[bright @bright_nq]

@yaseeen76 Is every single one of the trades executed live? These results are highly unrealistic given you are claiming a 3400% MEDIAN return over 2 years is “worse” than your actual p&l.

on what world is a 3400% return even realistic lol

[bright @bright_nq]

@itsjjsimon suggesting that it’s possible the realize an edge with a trading sample < 10 trades is simply disingenuous….

most trading “edge” will play out precisely like a coin flip until the sample size plays out.

edge does not make it faster, it makes it probable.

[bright @bright_nq]

@MrZincx keep larping brother 😹😹

[bright @bright_nq]

@rpxtrades i rebuilt the entire topstepx/tradeovate api pipeline to get access to the account/position websockets, no 30$/mo headache (project x).

built my own terminal that loads all my accounts, strategies, health checks and such.

[bright @bright_nq]

@dotjosh is there a timeout for these challenges? once a challenge is purchased, what happens after 90 days since activation?

[bright @bright_nq]

IB Recap 7/20/2026:

Finally back at it again, been too busy to look at the charts but had a nice +1R targeting IB lows today on NQ.

[bright @bright_nq]

@ProbableChris thanks for the free alpha ™️

[bright @bright_nq]

@ProbableChris @AdamWTrades What’s your process for regime classification? It seems like you’re always ahead of the curve when determining that market conditions have shifted

[bright @bright_nq]

@MrZincx doubt what stats? the 30% chance lows are taken first?

@ProbableChris lol

[bright @bright_nq]

When IB Hi/Lo formation and 50% Close disagree, the Close wins ~69% by noon.

If the High breaks first but the Close stays bearish, the Close is right 75.8% of the time.

Clearly invalidates "1:1 IB 50 logic" long term without additional filters. Trade the live price.

@NQStats

[bright @bright_nq]

@AaronBaner @VClouette this is london's entire range coming into NY session. not the "IB" or opening hour of london.

in other words, these stats are the expectancy for a breakout based on a 6 hour range for both Asia and London.

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@AaronBaner @VClouette yes, similar stats are also true for London if you apply the range to the entire session:

[bright @bright_nq]

@AaronBaner @VClouette 8 PM EST (20:00) - 2 AM EST (2:00)

Stats below.

[bright @bright_nq]

@AaronBaner @VClouette If you mean the concept of “London IB”, the expectancy based on a recent sample:

65 days from today: 54.5%
250 days from today: 52%

Roughly the same as the stats for Globex IB. This doesn’t make the strategy unviable, it simply requires higher risk-reward parameters.

[bright @bright_nq]

@AaronBaner @VClouette this is a breakout tendency that typically occurs during London session.

[bright @bright_nq]

@AaronBaner @VClouette There is a stat I occasionally look for concerning the Asia range, which approximates ~70% expectancy for highs and 65% for lows based on High/Low first criteria. I don’t have the exact numbers here but it has a similar expectancy to NY IB.