bryan o’c

CIO, BREAKINGWATERS Capital

[Ronit Pereira @CAronitpereira]

Warren Buffett on Charlie Munger’s hearing problem

“I stood across the room and said - Charlie, we should buy General Motors at $35. No reaction.”

“Got closer and repeated it. Not a flicker.”

“Finally I shouted in his ear and Charlie replied - For the 3rd time, Yes.” 😂

[bryan o’c @bryanocarroll]

@AdamSinger It's not accurate either, adjusted for inflation output is about the same, @paulkrugman has written about this as have I (linked below). Debt is also not factored in and US has risen to excessive levels while EU is relatively contained.
https://t.co/RvdMz4NrUv

[bryan o’c @bryanocarroll]

@patrick_oshag Bubbles occur more regularly than one might think, I will be hosting a 30min discussion and open Q&A tomorrow at 9:30am EST with the @FT Book of the Year Winning authors of Boom and Bust: Global History of Financial Bubbles for anyone who wants to join: https://t.co/rtBBAFswSF

[bryan o’c @bryanocarroll]

Part 1 of my conversation with Alyx Wood, CIO Kernow UK L/S fund is up now

Website: https://t.co/K2DvACugO4
YouTube: https://t.co/ItXoWfspct
Spotify: https://t.co/X58pwh8I8x

Part 2 coming soon!

Get notified straight to your inbox at https://t.co/K2DvACugO4

[bryan o’c @bryanocarroll]

Check out the full How the Week Broke | North America and Europe reports at https://t.co/K2DvACugO4

[bryan o’c @bryanocarroll]

How the Week Broke | North America (Apr 13-17)

Major U.S. indices recorded gains this week as investors showed resilience ahead of key Federal Reserve announcements and driven by the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, which eased energy supply concerns and stagflation fears.

[bryan o’c @bryanocarroll]

Most sectors rallied as a U.S.-Iran ceasefire and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz eased geopolitical tensions. Tech surged 6.0% on AI enthusiasm and strong earnings upgrades. Conversely, Energy fell 3.7% as oil dropped roughly 9% with the removal of the risk premium.

[bryan o’c @bryanocarroll]

If you have global equity exposure constructed correctly, you should be sleeping soundly this weekend.

Stop hugging the tape.

I break down the full thesis and the numbers here: 🔗 https://t.co/PlsLGuuafp

$SPY $QQQ #FinTwit #Investing #Gold #Silver #Crypto #Tech #SellOff

[bryan o’c @bryanocarroll]

Everyone is panic-selling this week.

Gold. Crypto. Big Tech. Silver. All correlating. All down. 📉

But if you look at the "boring" middle of the market, you see something else entirely: Quiet, steady 30% returns.

Here is why I’m getting greedy while others are fearful 🧵👇

[bryan o’c @bryanocarroll]

I’m looking at one specific US Tech name right now:

• Down ~50% (trading at 2022 prices)
• Revenue UP 60% since then
• 20% of Market Cap is purely CASH 💰
• Trading at ~9x EV/FCF

This isn't a "crash." It's a mispricing.

[bryan o’c @bryanocarroll]

In defence of stupid, European losers, like myself.

https://t.co/NxCwYX1vAN

America is a wonderful country with lots of wonderful people, but it’s fair to say, Europe has been getting a bad rap of late from its closest ally in trade, defence, and most importantly, values.

[bryan o’c @bryanocarroll]

🔎 What to watch this week? 📷

Is the US consumer healthy?
Is reshoring happening?
Is China manufacturing picking up?
Is AI bubbly?

🏭 Reshoring will be coming under the spotlight,
as will 🤖 AI and semi's demand and a look at 🇨🇳 and 🇯🇵 also on the cards.

[bryan o’c @bryanocarroll]

🔎 What to watch this week? 📅

Is the US consumer healthy?
Is reshoring happening?
Is China manufacturing picking up?
Is AI bubbly?

🏭 Reshoring will be coming under the spotlight,
as will 🤖 AI and semi's demand
with a look at progress in 🇨🇳 and 🇯🇵 also on the cards.

[bryan o’c @bryanocarroll]

#FinancialHistory #StockMarket #1929Crash #Equities #JohnBrooks #LessonsLearned #WallStreet #Golconda #BookClub

[bryan o’c @bryanocarroll]

"Golconda, now a ruin, was a city in Southeastern India where, according to legend, everyone who passed through got rich." Its riches faded, its fine buildings collapsed, and its glories disappeared, never to return."

-Richard Lambert, @FinancialTimes

[bryan o’c @bryanocarroll]

...dramatic rise and fall of the era's financial titans.
Nearly 100 years on I'm keen to explore what has changed in the world of finance and the people who occupy it and what hasn't.

I am really looking forward to this one.