Before @vercel shipped its first command line, Guillermo Rauch @rauchg designed it in a canvas
FIRST OF KIND, Season 3 premieres Thu 10/22
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loved foursquare a ton but this an example of death by capital stack.
- more than 1x liquidation stacks
- $400M+ raised including debt
acquisition price is not high debt gets paid first, nothing left so preferred gets canceled, common gets canceled.
the danger of over-raising, not just the latest valuation you have the clear, but the size capital stack you're creating along the way
Linear is profitable and the assets are more than we have raised. At this point if shut down the company investors would actually make money just from the cash assets.
$81/month - that’s the median AI spend per employee at venture-backed companies, according to @tryramp’s AI Index. That’s at least 10x everyone else!
When you spend every day surrounded by founders building with AI, it’s easy to assume the rest of the economy spends the way their companies do. Ramp’s data says otherwise.
Of course, PE-backed and traditional companies are moving too. Their spend more than 2x’d over the past year. But they’re starting from a few dollars a month, about the price of a large cup of coffee.
Those of us in venture work inside a bubble of early adopters. For anyone selling into the token path, that’s good news: most of the market hasn’t started spending in earnest.
Many (most?) investors disagree with me on this, but they are wrong. Gross margins on token spend, *at full utilization,* is the single most important metric for AI application companies. It's the purest measure of your value-add on underlying intelligence. 2/
@humangallardo False dichotomy. Angels are exactly for building and proving. Unless the terms are egregious or you have reservations about them individually…
@bryce Also destroys outcomes for many founders who build big successful companies and who also over raised, leaving themselves underwater on their cap table
Invest in founders with a level of ambition that makes you uncomfortable.
I’ve sat at the table with a number of entrepreneurs who are raising seemingly back-to-back mega rounds every 3 months in the last year.
I’m an extraordinarily aggressive risk-taker, but in all these meetings I’ve felt physically uncomfortable.
To the point when I noticed I was gripping the chair in a meeting with a founder.
This is what it takes to win big and be truly venture-backable today.