Nicholas P. Buis

Partner @ The Messina Group. Views are my own.

[Aaron Rupar @atrupar]

here's Barack Obama's entire speech commemorating the Obama Presidential Center. He reflected on his administration's successes and failures, critiqued the moral rot of contemporary America, and outlined a positive vision of the future -- all without ever mentioning Trump

[Kyle Kondik @kkondik]

NEW Crystal Ball Senate Rating Changes

Alaska Leans R to Toss-up
NC Toss-up to Leans D
Ohio Leans R to Toss-up

GOP still favored because they only need one of the four Toss-ups, while Ds need all four

[Burgess Everett @burgessev]

Wow - Cassidy signs onto brief stating, in part: "The Anti-Weaponization Fund presents an immediate and dire threat to our constitutional order and the authority of Congress. Indeed, among other purposes, the Fund is designed to compensate the insurrectionists who stormed the U.S. Capitol on January 6th. The existence of the Fund strikes at the core of Congressional authority and our Constitutional order"

[Pete Buttigieg @PeteButtigieg]

You could start by walking down the hall. See why your boss keeps pardoning people convicted of money laundering, wire fraud, tax evasion, and securities fraud.

[Mike Smith @mikesmith_DC]

HMF is proud to have been the largest backer of the “YES” campaign—contributing nearly $40 million—and working closely with @FairnessProject and @FairElectionsVA to combat the tens of millions the GOP put in to mislead voters.

We're taking back the House in November

[Kyle Kondik @kkondik]

CRYSTAL BALL HOUSE RATING CHANGES IN VIRGINIA

Four R seats move into the Dem column

House topline now 217 Safe/Likely/Leans Democratic, 205 Safe/Likely/Leans Republican, and 13 Toss-ups

There is still the possibility that the VA Supreme Court will intervene on process grounds

[Aaron Rupar @atrupar]

Joe Kernen comes close to having a coronary on air as Pete Buttigieg dogwalks him all over the Squawk Box studio about Trump's economic mismanagement and inflation

[Eric Koch @EricDKoch]

🚨New poll in Alaska shows Mary Pelota up 5 points. 🚨

[Jim Messina @Messina2012]

Been talking to anyone who will listen to me about what happened with young men in 2024.

Trump was +5 with men ages 18-45 in '24. Today? Net approval is -19.

On cost of living, Trump was +10 with men of all ages in '24. Net approval now -30.

BIG econ anvil for GOP in November.

[(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten]

This is the most troublesome sign I've seen for Trump & the GOP.

Trump's now a record low 41 pts underwater on the cost of living per Yahoo/YouGov.

He's 60 pts underwater on the issue with indies!!

Wave adios to the House & maybe Senate cause you can't win with these numbers.

[Pat Dennis @patdennis]

R+7 through r+9 places getting interesting

[Jake Sherman @JakeSherman]

🚨 STEVE DAINES is retiring

[Jim Messina @Messina2012]

64% of Americans, including 72% of independents, disapprove of Trump’s handling of tariffs.

The avg. American household paid $1,700 in these Trump taxes between Feb 2025 and Jan 2026.

Doubling down on these taxes on American consumers and companies is quite a choice.

[Adam Schefter @AdamSchefter]

Asked today how he would evaluate a reunion with free-agent WR Tyreek Hill, Andy Reid told reporters: “I don’t even know if Tyreek (Hill) is healthy right now to do anything. I’m sure he’s (Tyreek Hill) working hard on that part of it (and) trying to get all that straightened out. We talk about everything so there’s nothing happening there, but we know what you know and he’s out there cranking away trying to get himself back to where he can play, period.”

[Cardi B @iamcardib]

If we talking about drugs let’s talk about Epstein and friends drugging underage girls to rape them. Why yall don’t wanna talk about the Epstein files?

[Nicholas P. Buis @buisnick]

@richluchette How many did you buy

[Tyrese Haliburton @Hali]

Alex Pretti was murdered.

[David Weigel @daveweigel]

InfoWars becoming the Trust The Government And Its Brave Agents show, one of the more entertaining sidebars.

[Shams Charania @ShamsCharania]

The Timberwolves-Warriors game in Minneapolis has been postponed by the NBA, sources tell ESPN, in wake of a man shot and killed Saturday in a confrontation with federal agents in the city. It's the second shooting there in a week, third this month, involving a federal officer.