Waqas Khan

Theologian| Writer| Philanthropist

[Waqas Khan @careboy449]

@Rusia_HD Yes, of course

[Waqas Khan @careboy449]

This tells how a conflict thousands of miles away can change the dynamics ofyour household...

[Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡ @shanaka86]

Right now, in barns and equipment sheds across the American Midwest, farmers are making the most consequential decision of this war. Not generals. Not senators. Farmers.

At $683 per ton urea, corn economics have collapsed. Nitrogen is the single largest input cost for corn production. At pre-war prices a farmer could justify 180 pounds per acre and expect a margin. At $683 the math breaks. Soybeans fix their own nitrogen from the atmosphere through root bacteria. They do not need the molecule trapped behind the Strait of Hormuz. The seed decision is being made this week across roughly 90 million acres of American cropland. Once the planter rolls into the field, the choice is irreversible. Corn seed in the ground stays corn. Soy seed stays soy. The acreage allocation locks in.

USDA Prospective Plantings reports March 31. That report will tell the world how American agriculture responded to the Hormuz blockade. But the decisions it captures are being made now, in conversations between farmers and agronomists and seed dealers who are looking at nitrogen prices and making the rational economic choice: plant the crop that does not need the input you cannot afford.

Every acre that shifts from corn to soybeans tightens the corn balance sheet for the rest of the year. Corn feeds livestock. Corn feeds ethanol. The Renewable Fuel Standard mandates 15 billion gallons of corn ethanol annually, consuming roughly 43 percent of the US corn crop regardless of price. That demand is inelastic. If acres shift and production falls while the mandate holds, corn prices spike. Feed costs spike. The protein cascade reverses. The US cattle herd sits at 86.2 million head, a 75-year low. Poultry and pork margins that were benefiting from cheap feed compress when corn crosses $5 per bushel.

This is how a naval blockade 7,000 miles from Iowa reaches the American grocery shelf. Not through oil. Not through shipping. Through nitrogen. The farmer cannot afford the molecule. The molecule cannot transit the strait. The farmer plants soy instead. The corn supply tightens. The ethanol mandate consumes its fixed share. The remaining corn reprices. The feed reprices. The meat reprices. The grocery bill reprices.

The decision is not political. It is arithmetic performed on a kitchen table by a person who needs to plant in three weeks and cannot wait for a ceasefire, an escort convoy, or an insurance normalisation that the Red Sea precedent says takes years.

The deepest penetrator in the American arsenal cannot reach a sealed Iranian doctrinal packet. But the fertiliser price it failed to resolve is reaching every planting decision on 90 million acres of the most productive farmland on Earth.

The war’s most irreversible consequence is not happening in a bunker. It is happening in a barn. And by the time USDA publishes the data on March 31, the seeds will already be in the ground.

Full analysis in the link.
https://t.co/iFmUcarGdV

[Waqas Khan @careboy449]

@surrakimuhammad سول سروسز والوں سے بڑا نالائق ان کا بڑا آفیسر ہی ہوتا ہے دوسرا کوئی نہیں

[Waqas Khan @careboy449]

@IsraelMFA And over 150 girls that are brutally murdered by Israeli forces weren't civilians?

[Waqas Khan @careboy449]

Do you remember when you joined X? I do! #MyXAnniversary

[Waqas Khan @careboy449]

@sadmuazzam 🖐️

[Waqas Khan @careboy449]

@grok @historydefined Thank you

[Waqas Khan @careboy449]

@historydefined @grok can you tell me something valuable about this photo?

[Sabookh Syed | Journalist @SaboohSyed]

گذشتہ روز احمد نورانی صاحب نے خبر دی ہے کہ کس طرح یہ ایمان نامی لڑکی ہنی ٹریپنگ کے ذریعے بلاسفیمی بزنس سے پیسہ کما رہی تھی ۔ اس کے ذریعے 450 افراد کو نشانہ بنایا گیا اور اس دوران 5 افراد کو قتل بھی کیا گیا ۔

#StopBlasphemyBusiness
@VictimsofB_Gang @Ahmad_Noorani

[Waqas Khan @careboy449]

@vonderleyen @Isaac_Herzog If Israel has the right to defend itself by attacking a sovereign country then what's wrong with Russia's right to defend itself by attacking Ukraine?

[Waqas Khan @careboy449]

@IDF Israel started this war not Iran. What did you expect in return of an illegitimate aggression against a sovereign county?

[Umar Saif @umarsaif]

The purpose of today’s retaliation was to demonstrate that we can pick any target of our choice and strike it with success …

… and we didn’t miss a single target!

I am not sure what India was expecting before this escalation, but I really hope that better sense prevails soon and we both stop.

The next step from here will lead to civilian loss of life.

[Waqas Khan @careboy449]

This is unlawful and disgusting

[shinza nawaz @shinza_nawaz]

میرے خاوند @awaheedmurad کو رات کو 2 بجے نقاب پوش افراد اٹھا کر لے گئے ہیں۔وہ بار بار یہ پوچھ رہے تھے کہ اسکی بیوی کہاں ہے۔ میری والدہ بھی گھر تھیں۔ انکے ساتھ بھی بدتمیزی کی ہے۔ دھکا دیا ہے۔ والدہ دل کی مریضہ ہیں۔ میری والدہ کا فون ، وحید کے دونوں فون اور کچھ پیپرز لے گئے ہیں۔

[Waqas Khan @careboy449]

@stats_feed Russia, so I could roam around different time zones and cultures without having my passport in my pocket

[Waqas Khan @careboy449]

پراکسی جنگوں کے جھوٹے ہیرو سفارتی پردوں کے پیچھے کیسے ذلیل ہوتے ہیں، یہ جاننا اور سمجھنا چاہیں تو وہ دیکھیں جو میڈیا کے ساتھ سوال جواب کی نشست میں یوکرین کے صدر زیلینسکی کے ساتھ ہوا ہے۔۔

#pathetic #Zelensky
#Trump

[Waqas Khan @careboy449]

انسان جب تک جیتا ہے، حسن خیال کا اسیر رہتا ہے۔
#life #beauty

[Waqas Khan @careboy449]

@MichaelKugelman Pakistan doesn't have POLITICAL UNREST because of Imran Khan's imprisonment. People in our country are suffering from a bad economy and terrorism.
BTW, why don't the PTI government do what IK would presumably do for the betterment of people in KP province?

[Waqas Khan @careboy449]

@Ahmad_Noorani سندھ آزاد ملک بن جانا، بہت بڑی اور غیر حقیقی بات ہے۔ ہاں یہ ضرور ہے کہ بلوچستان کی طرح سندھ بھی ایک نہ ختم ہونے والے عذاب میں مبتلا ہو جاتا

[Waqas Khan @careboy449]

@stats_feed Carrying a spot face. People should be smiling more in public.

[Waqas Khan @careboy449]

کامران طفیل

[Waqas Khan @careboy449]

پاکستان میں دو شرپسند گروہوں کا مقابلہ ہے۔ دونوں اس ملک کو برباد کر رہے تھے پہلے مل کر اور اب علیحدہ علیحدہ

#نومبر24_یوم_انقلاب