Greeks Series Part 2: Gamma 📚📸
Option Traders & Beginners, this is for you!
-Defined Functionality
-How it relates to Delta
-How to Calculate
-GEX Profiles/Open Interest Levels
-Delta Hedging
-Positive vs. Negative
$Spy
Greeks Series Part 2: Gamma 📚📸
Option Traders & Beginners, this is for you!
-Defined Functionality
-How it relates to Delta
-How to Calculate
-GEX Profiles/Open Interest Levels
-Delta Hedging
-Positive vs. Negative
$Spy
In the coming days, Donald Trump will declare a National Emergency. Temporary Marshall law, unfortunately and ALL elections will be void. We will all suffer for a short while but it was necessary. What do you think? And for for democrat friends, how does this make you feel?
BANK OF AMERICA WARNS FED COULD DELIVER 50BPS HIKE IN DECEMBER
Bank of America says October's hot CPI report virtually guarantees a December Fed rate hike — and opens the door to a larger 50bps move.
Headline CPI rose 0.4%, while core CPI climbed 0.3%, marking a third consecutive upside inflation surprise. BofA now estimates core PCE inflation at 3.3% YoY.
Price pressures are spreading across goods and services, with electronics, airfares and hotels driving increases.
BofA still expects 25bps in December, but sees growing risk of another hike in January rather than March.
The bank warns the Fed is falling behind inflation and calls October's decision to hold rates a potential policy mistake.
“I've never seen an NBA team with its top three players being white deliver a championship. It's never happened, and I'm here to tell you, I don't think it's gonna happen this year.”
- Stephen A. on the Lakers
(h/t @TheNBABase )
This is not 1980... don't sell your gold
US Treasury yields have surged over 600% since 2020... Yet gold has soared more than 250% over the same period.
We are constantly told that higher rates are bearish for gold.
And that might be true under normal circumstances...
But it depends on where we are in the long-term debt cycle.
Historically, governments go through two major cycles:
1. Debt accumulation cycle: Governments accumulate debt until it becomes increasingly unsustainable.
2. Debt inflation cycle: Governments suppress interest rates and allow inflation to erode the real value of their debt, bringing debt to GDP back down.
Following WWII, the US entered a debt inflation cycle, reducing debt to GDP from ~120% to ~30% by the early 1980s.
By then, the US had reached the end of that cycle.
This gave Volcker the room to aggressively hike rates and crush inflation.
And marked the beginning of another debt accumulation cycle.
Now US debt to GDP is back above 120%, deficits are running at $2T, and interest expenses are exploding.
We are now approaching the peak of the debt accumulation cycle.
Higher rates are no longer sustainable because they accelerate the deterioration of the government's finances.
Eventually, the Fed will be forced to suppress rates, allowing inflation to run hot and lower the debt burden.
In other words, we are approaching another debt inflation cycle.
And the rules for gold are completely different depending on which part of the cycle we are in.
At the bottom of the debt inflation cycle, governments can afford to crush inflation with high interest rates.
But at the peak of the debt accumulation cycle, they cannot.
That's why gold has been soaring despite rising Treasury yields.
We are heading toward an era of financial repression, negative real rates, and persistent inflation.
We don't own enough gold for what's coming.
#Inflation breadth is worsening: share of CPI components rising faster than 2% m/m annualized (blue) jumped to 76.3%; share rising faster than 3% (orange) moved up to 54.5%; share above 5y average (white) rose to 32.2%
@unusual_whales And Trump went on TV repeatedly telling us how great things are in America and how smart he is.
If this is great...I would hate to see what "not great" looks like.
"Filling up a Ford F-150 truck now costs about $100, up $30 from a year ago. Mortgage rates have jumped to levels that have depressed home sales. And for the past 12 months, consumer prices have risen faster than paychecks, making the average family poorer," per WaPo
SOFTBANK SIGNALS AI INVESTMENT SLOWDOWN AFTER $7 BILLION LOSS
SoftBank is considering pulling back from aggressive AI spending after swinging to a $7 billion quarterly loss.
CFO Yoshimitsu Goto acknowledged a shift toward caution:
“It is only natural that there is some discussion now about waiting and seeing how things play out for a little while.”
The comments signal a potential pause in SoftBank's AI investment spree, including its exposure to OpenAI, as the AI trade comes under pressure.
One of AI's biggest backers is signaling that even aggressive investors may need to slow down.
Baron Capital: Yearly Conference review!
🧵Lengthy Thread: Happy to be invited, this is roughly the 40th financial conference I've been to in my career.
I was invited by the ex Head of FX Trading at Lloyds Bank London, the current head of sales at 360T, and one of the portfolio managers for Baron's risk wing.
📊Barron's has $63bln in assets under mgmt. They run 26 strategies (7 ETF's). A majority of these are value based plays with 5-25% returns. Each fund has it's own strategy & benchmark. They recently added risk ETF's to capitalize on the AI growth sectors.
‼️Lincoln Center has multiple halls, over 7,000 people attended & not all of us were able to see the speakers in person continuously. I'll break down the most important segments of the conference. I hope you enjoy Elon's segment & Kelly Clarkson's performance, she was amazing!
I know nobody likes losing money but damn, this market has been running on bullshit for too long and I’m happy to see all those hedge fund wonder kids shown to be just as much a dumbass as the guy buying Melania coin in Jan 2025.