Daily

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[Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT 🍖 @MikeZaccardi]

The Atlanta Fed’s Wage Growth Tracker slowed...

3.9% Wage Growth Tracker (3-month overall unweighted, September 2026)

[Gunjan Banerji @GunjanJS]

"If bond yields are here because of AI... then someone has to walk me through the logic of why yields should come down absent a wobble in the AI narrative. The only conclusion I can come to is that investors hope bond yields go lower because the very trade that the economy, and market, relies on ultimately needs to be financed"

[Daily @ChartandStocks]

Guggenheim Securities 10/7 note on $TEM:

[Jay Kaeppel @jaykaeppel]

Everyone is trying to position for "the inevitable rebound rally." Alternative scenario: Lower until the bottom pickers puke (mid-November?), THEN a bounce. @sentimentrader

[talmon joseph smith @talmonsmith]

wow. Hyperscaler bonds as a percentage of net new Treasury borrowing

FCF imploding and blue chip IG issuance competing with the risk free rate.

who had that on their bingo card in 2023

[Claudia Sahm @Claudia_Sahm]

It’s the prices, stupid.

(Michigan Survey, prelim October)

[OddStats @OddStats]

The only two times in history where
▪ The US 10Y closed at a 250d high while
▪ EUR dropped $0.05 vs USD within 29 days

❶ June 1999
❷ This week

[Michael J. Kramer @MichaelMOTTCM]

The forward PE continues to contract as the yields rise

[Jim Cramer @jimcramer]

my lock-up watch

[Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT 🍖 @MikeZaccardi]

Bank earnings, CPI, Retail Sales on tap next week

[Bluekurtic Market Insights @Bluekurtic]

Wow, @RenMacLLC blocked us for respectfully asking a question. We never even claimed their data was wrong (or is it?).

If anyone knows someone on their team, please tag them. Not sure what triggered them to block us but we’d love to sort this out like adults.

Wish more people can have healthy arguments here. Seriously, does anyone think our comment was rude?

[Maria Curi @m_ccuri]

Scoop: Top execs at Anthropic, OpenAI and other AI companies are privately gaming out scenarios for "the day after" an inevitable catastrophic AI event in the next 6-12 months. They assume Democrats in power will try -- and fail -- to shut down AI through bans, pauses or kill switches.

https://t.co/bWV5dJSBMt

[zerohedge @zerohedge]

Iran Goes Offensive: Strikes LPG Tanker in Strait Of Hormuz, Threatens 'Punishment' For All Violators, Oil Rises & Futures Fall https://t.co/cBeaQXAKNv

[Barchart @Barchart]

Asset Managers have built the largest short $VIX Futures position in AT LEAST a decade 🚨

[Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT 🍖 @MikeZaccardi]

GS: The Generic Congressional Ballot Has Increasingly Favored Democrats

[Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT 🍖 @MikeZaccardi]

GS: Prediction Markets Imply a Democratic Sweep Is Most Likely, and Near Certainty That Democrats Will Win the House

[Finom Group @GroupFinom]

Larry Williams $SPX Cycle Forecast

We have arrived at the October dip, whereby investors will get a final 2026 opportunity to buy as November cycle's to a new S&P 500 high, into 2027.

S&P has but 1 more year until 2028 proves a meaningful downturn, based on Cycle Forecast

$SPY $ES_F $QQQ $NYA $DIA $IWM $BTC $TLT $UPRO

[Daily @ChartandStocks]

@PegasusFund but…

[Daily @ChartandStocks]

Hawkish Fed speak has managed to contain inflation expectations:

[LiveSquawk @LiveSquawk]

US 10Y Treasury Yields Risk Hitting 6% For First Time Since 2000, Pimco Says – FT

https://t.co/45XTcApvmS

[WALL ST JESUS (FZN) @WallStJesus]

$SPX vs SPX-ex AI DIVERGENCE (GS)