Core CPI +0.62% MoM, biggest jump since 1991. Half of the increase came from just 6 categories that combine for 12% of the total index. MV insurance +9.3% MoM. ‘Cyclical 5’ still down 4.3% YoY. More upside to come?
Treasury ramps up issuance to fund massive COVID-19 programs but leaves TIPS issuance alone. If inflation is the answer to solving the growing debt problem, it makes sense to limit their liability. (Also makes sense to increase your inflation protection)
https://t.co/yrH4MalaoC
Mediocre growth, low inflation, still high USD net long positioning, and the FOMC forecast in line with market pricing could mean a tailwind for carry-related fixed income strategies for now.
Ellen Safir participated in Labaton Sucharow’s Women’s Initiative conference which convened outstanding women entrepreneurs in the investment industry and major allocators. The managers highlighted their experiences and challenges in growing their businesses. #investment#women
Question from the audience: When can decisions about #geneediting be made locally & when do they need to be made globally? @ #CRISPRcon2019 Farmer Roundtable side event
A Fed re-pivot is clearly a big risk for markets. Back in 4Q'18, the equity market sell-off tightened financial conditions significantly, and the Fed was forced to reverse course. Can Powell risk being hawkish and expect a different outcome? #FederalReserve#Rates
@zerohedge Fed pivot not seen in breakevens. 3.43% is just 30 days of April 2019 TIPS carry extrapolated ->1yr. Not a Fed/mkt view. 1y CPI Swap also bounced but much less so (and driven by oil). Better gauge is Fed’s 5y5y Fwd BEI. Off Jan 3rd lows but meh. #Fed#Inflation