cloverash

[cloverash @cloverash2]

@QuintenFrancois last cycle, people waited for < 10k, so hard to predict bottom , I think it reahed the price range for DCA now

[The Economist @TheEconomist]

Confidence is a big part of why people are chosen for bigger jobs within companies. But positive thinking can go too far in business https://t.co/ClxdUZabag

[Louis Vuitton @LouisVuitton]

Cannes International Film Festival 2026. Louis Vuitton dressed House Ambassadors Hoyeon and Alicia Vikander, alongside friend of the House Hwang Jung-min, all starring in “Hope,” in custom creations by Nicolas Ghesquière and @pharrell.

#Hoyeon #AliciaVikander #HwangJungMin #Cannes2026 #NicolasGhesquiere #PharrellWilliams #LouisVuitton

[铁柱 @TiezhuCrypto]

接这个话题，多聊一下为什么中国外汇管制越来越严格和谨慎。

基本上读过经济学/金融学相关的本科，都知道蒙代尔不可能三角，央行货币政策独立性、相对稳定的汇率、资本自由流动三者不可兼得。

CN在这三角里，最看重的是政策独立性，而且能明显看到近几年以来，在发力堵上一些口子之后，管制力度越来越紧。这个有一定的历史惯性。

历史上经过94汇改、05和15汇改对央行最大的一个启发在于，资本跨境流动管理不是一个简单的边缘性、临时性的危机管理工具，它应该放在整个宏观管理，作为日常管理的一个重要工具。特别是97年亚洲金融危机带来的冲击。让央行意识到资本账户的开放，的确会放大外部冲击。

如果更深层次去看，这跟经济体的结构也有关系。

一个是中国储蓄率很高（企业和个人），那么对应的就是资产配置的需求也很高。如果资本账户放开，自然会去找海外资产配置渠道，很容易形成单边冲击，资本外流的速度会非常快。
不是因为没钱，恰恰是因为钱很多。恰恰是没钱的穷国家，根本不需要外汇管制。

另一个则是我国当前金融体系是以间接融资为主，也就是银行为主，围绕银行的则是房地产、城投债、企业债务等。客观来说，承压能力非常一般。很容易会被汇率打穿。资本管制本质就是为了切断自我贬值的预期。

代价自然也是有的。一方面人民币国际化，或者受控下的人民币国家化进度是非常慢的；另一部分导致国内金融市场的市场效率极低，过分依赖间接融资。

那么资本市场比如说A股，国内资产定价很难完全由全球资本共同参与形成。再叠加政策干预、产业导向和投资者结构不成熟，A 股在一定程度上会出现价格信号扭曲和资源配置能力不足的问题。这就是为什么A股某些情况下会跟融资市非常像，而不是投资市。

不是说A股不值得投资，而是一个企业能不能获得融资、估值能不能抬高，并不完全取决于长期盈利能力，也和政策方向、产业导向、监管高度相关。

此外更为积重难返的问题则是，金融资源的流向问题，天然会去到抵押品充分、政府信用极强的政府部门，高增长阶段是没问题的，但是经济一旦进入低增长，债务沉淀和资产负债表的压力也会急速增长。

这些年央行反复去讲提高金融配置效率，本质原因也是在此，但这也不是没有问题。因为监管很容易既要又要，风险回报的基本判断会扭曲成对监管指标的达成。

于是产业周期和轮动的速度会显著加快，阶段性的反复过热，今天是新能源，明天是半导体，后天是Ai。

市场不能够持续惩罚低效公司，那么高质量的企业也很难拔尖。同时也会让监管难度急剧上升。

所以，从一个经济学的视角出发，在低增长阶段，结构和配置效率会比总量分析更有价值。这也就是路径的代价吧。

[MAGA Voice @MAGAVoice]

BREAKING: At 3:25 AM in Beijing, President Trump posts this EPIC Video. Trump truly NEVER sleeps

America is RESPECTED again

[PANews丨APP全面升级 @PANewsCN]

机器人赛道真正的“金矿”藏在这9个方向！

当所有人都在热议机器人量产时，聪明的投资者已经开始看向更深的供应链：

🧠 大脑层（软件+计算）：
基础模型、数据分析、仿真视觉……已被巨头卡位

💪 身体层（硬件+工业系统）：
执行器、传感器、功率半导体、连接器、制造设备……才是规模化落地的关键

市场已定价芯片，目前真正机会是：执行器、传感器、连接器、功率半导体。

[westerosies @westerosies]

Henry Ashton (Prince Daeron Targaryen) and Tom Glynn-Carney (King Aegon II Targaryen) together in a new photo.

[cloverash @cloverash2]

@Murphychen888 @Kingno3z 振动幅度变小多了，如果参考历史轮次，126k不算暴涨。 BTC变成大类资产的必然趋势吧。

[Tulip King 🌷 @tulipking]

https://t.co/QwOFNAFy9R

[Perfect Guidance 🧭 @PerfectGuide_]

Don't be afraid to start over again.

[Naval @naval]

Introducing USVC - a single basket of high-growth venture capital, for everyone.

No accreditation required, SEC-registered, and a very low $500 minimum.

Includes OpenAI, Anthropic, xAI, Sierra, Crusoe, Legora, and Vercel. As USVC adds more companies, investors will own a piece of that too.

Liquidity typically comes when companies exit, but we’re aiming to let investors redeem up to 5% of the fund every quarter. This isn’t guaranteed, but if we can make it work, you won’t be locked up like in a traditional venture fund.

It runs on AngelList, which already supports $125 billion of investor capital.

And I’ve joined USVC as the Chairman of its Investment Committee.
—

Go back to the 1500s, you set sail for the new world to find tons of gold - that was adventure capital.

Early-stage technology is the modern version. It says we are going to create something new, and it’s risky. It’s daring.

But ordinary people can’t invest until it’s old, until it’s no longer interesting, until everybody has access to it. By the time a stock IPOs, most of the alpha is gone. The adventure is gone. Public market investors are literally last in line.

This problem has become farcical in the last decade. Startups are reaching trillion dollar valuations in the private markets while ordinary investors have their noses up to the glass, wondering when they’ll be let in.

Investing in private markets isn’t easy. You need feet on the ground. You need judgment built over years. Most people don’t have the patience to wait ten or twenty years for an investment to come to fruition.

But there is no more productive, harder-working way to deploy a dollar than in true venture capital.

USVC enables you to invest in venture capital in a broad, accessible, professionally-managed way, through a single basket of innovation, focused on high-growth startups, at all stages.

It is how you bet on the future of tech: the smartest young people in the world, working insane hours, leveraged to the max, with code, hardware, capital, media, and community. Your dollar doesn’t work harder anywhere.

There is an old line - in the future, either you are telling a computer what to do, or a computer is telling you what to do. You don’t want to be on the wrong side of that transaction.

USVC lets you buy the future, but you buy it now. Then you wait, and if you are right, you get paid.

Get access here:

https://t.co/pAj1sqUsG0

[cloverash @cloverash2]

@market_beggar 6w附近挂的单子都没成交，随缘了，这几个都是定投的筹码，我就拿住吧。

[cloverash @cloverash2]

@PANews 。。。。。

[Peter Girnus 🦅 @gothburz]

I am a Web3 Ambassador at World Liberty Financial.

There are 12 of us on the team page. 4 are named Trump. 3 are named Witkoff. The page calls us "the passionate minds shaping the future of finance."

600,000 wallets bought our memecoin. They lost $3.87 billion. The family collected $350 million in trading fees. It launched 3 days before the inauguration. 80% of the supply went to CIC Digital LLC and Fight Fight Fight LLC. I did not choose the names. I designed the allocation, the vesting, the timing, and the distance between the product and the President.

The distance is my best work.

I am the reason these events are unrelated.

World Liberty Financial sends 75 cents of every dollar to DT Marks DEFI LLC. That is the family entity. Zero capital contributed. Zero liability assumed. I wrote this into the Gold Paper. Page 14. The lawyers bound it in white leather. The binding cost more than the due diligence.

Justin Sun invested $75 million. He was facing SEC fraud charges. The SEC dropped the case. He is now our advisor. These events are unrelated.

Changpeng Zhao pleaded guilty to federal money laundering violations. He received a presidential pardon. The SEC dropped its lawsuit against his exchange the same week we listed our stablecoin. Then the exchange settled a $2 billion deal entirely in that stablecoin. These events are unrelated.

Arthur Hayes, Benjamin Delo, and Samuel Reed of BitMEX pleaded guilty to Bank Secrecy Act violations. All 3 received presidential pardons. Then the company itself was pardoned. $100 million in fines. Gone. An American first. These events are unrelated.

Sheikh Tahnoun of Abu Dhabi paid $500 million for a 49% stake that was never publicly disclosed. Then the administration approved semiconductor exports to his companies over national security objections. These events are unrelated.

Everything is unrelated. I track the unrelatedness on a dashboard I built. The dashboard has 7 columns now. I am proud of the dashboard.

On May 22nd, 220 people paid a combined $148 million to eat dinner with the America First president. Over half were foreign nationals. Justin Sun paid $18.5 million for the first seat. He visited the Executive Office Building the day before. I designed the seating chart. I put it on the Investor Confidence page. That page is doing well.

The team page lists 3 Witkoffs. All 3 are Co-Founders.

Steven Witkoff is the President's Middle East envoy. He testified as a character witness at the President's fraud trial.

His son Zach runs the crypto operation. His son Alex is also a Co-Founder. I have not been told what Alex co-founded.

The father runs the diplomacy. The sons run the platform. The family runs both. That is organizational efficiency.

Barron is 19. His title is Web3 Ambassador. The same as mine. Donald Jr. called the conflicts of interest "complete nonsense." Eric launched a Bitcoin mining company called American Bitcoin. America First. The mining partner is Hut 8. Hut 8 was founded in Canada. America First means the name.

On March 6th, the President signed Executive Order 14233 creating a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve. The order directs the government to hold Bitcoin. The President's family holds billions in Bitcoin. The executive order appreciates the President's assets by presidential decree. I did not write the executive order. I made sure it looked unrelated to the portfolio.

Trump Media put $2 billion of Bitcoin on its balance sheet. The ticker symbol is DJT. His initials. The press secretary said it is absurd to insinuate the President profits off the presidency. Forbes calculated his crypto holdings exceed the combined value of Mar-a-Lago and Trump Tower. I would call that absurd too. That is my job.

600,000 wallets bought in. 1 of them asked why she could not withdraw her funds. I told her the protocol was experiencing dynamic market conditions. She asked what that meant. I sent her the Gold Paper. She said she had read the Gold Paper. I muted her channel. Dynamic means the conditions change. The condition that changed was her access.

A congressman called us the world's most corrupt crypto startup operation. We put it on a coffee mug. Ironic merchandise. $45. The revenue split on the mug is also 75/25.

My own tokens vest on a different schedule. I wrote that schedule. That is not in the Gold Paper.

The memecoin funds the family. The family funds the platform. The platform funds the stablecoin. The stablecoin funds the deals. The deals require the pardons. The pardons free the partners. The partners fund the platform. The President signs the executive orders. The executive orders inflate the assets. The assets fund the family.

I am the reason these events are unrelated.

[こまこ🎨 @komako_o]

We're going home
#ProjectHailMary

[こまこ🎨 @komako_o]

あと何回劇場で2人に会えるかな
#ProjectHailMary
#プロジェクト・ヘイル・メアリー

[maali / phm & wha brainrot @maalidoesart]

unusual heros #ProjectHailMary

[泠韵 @galllisto]

you gave me everything #ProjectHailMary