@kroger I bought some chicken from your store in Flowery Branch, GA and noticed that it was definitely not cooked. My family spends a lot of money at your store and this was disappointing. I get making mistakes, but something like this should not happen.
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Donovan Mitchell O 42.5 PRA (2units)
Top Points Projection + Smash Play
Reasoning⬇️ Like if tailing
Bucks play drop coverage in PnR which allow a lot of uncontested pull-up jumpers, something that Don does at one of the most FGA in the NBA
The coaching change may lead to some concern over a new defensive switch, however, they were like that with their old coach and reportedly one of the things the team didn't like about the coach is that he wanted them to drop LESS. So... if anything they will only drop even more
Don just had this matchup and took like a million shots. Only issue was he didn't make many of them. But we can only bet on volume
TOP POINTS PROJECTION📈
Shai O 32.5 Points
-120 FanDuel | 1.5u
I found this system at the end of last season, and it applies today
Top Points Projection Record: 40-26🔥
Like if tailing | Write-Up Below❤️
Here is the system:
Teams that are bottom half of the NBA in FRe Throw Frequency allowed in PnR and Transition
Last season, he hit his points prop in every game, this season, with his points line a bit more inflated, the hit rate is not as high, but the safety of the floor is. Here are the teams that qualify:
Detroit: 32 Points
Spurs: 28 Points (28 minutes)
Houston: 33 Points
Utah: 30 Points (28 minutes)
Washington: 32 Points
Orlando: 37 Points
Utah: 31 Points
Now, not all of these games hit that 33 mark of course, but we are being given a floor of 30 points for a 32.5 line. That is really nice to start
Outside of this FT System, this is a really nice matchup too. SAS are 6th worst and 3rd worst vs PnR Ball-Handler and ISO, 2 playtypes that Shai is 20th percentile or better in both in efficiency and 7th or better in Possessions per game across the NBA
To dive even deeper, we knwo that Shai is one of the few high-usage guards that does not rely on the 3-ball much if at all. The reason this is important is because San Antonio ranks 13th and 3rd worst in Pull-Up 2 FGA and FGA within 10 feet respectively, these 2 types consist of 82.5% of SGA's FGA
Now, blowout potential could be a concern, but, this is the NBA, thats a concern for every game. On top of that, of SAS's 16 home losses, only 3 of them have been blowouts, with only 1 of them coming in the last month.
Lottery Card of the Day🎰
Bog might take every shot without Cade
Ivey will pass it to him a bunch
Brunson has been Rondo 2.0
Jerami Grant is the AP Special
No reason this misses
Like if tailing❤️