Muthu Ashraff

Strategy Adviser

Navigating Strategy Amid Geoeconomics

[Muthu Ashraff @cosmicgems]

German Chancellor Friedrich Merz was partially right when he stated that Germany is losing 300 to 500 jobs every day as companies are shuttering their doors. But the full weight that he ignored is, over the falling price & cost competitiveness.

https://t.co/mkJ0dVI1Bc

[Muthu Ashraff @cosmicgems]

The most remarkable characteristic of the “Iron chancellor” Otto Von Bismarck is his mastering of, what we now call as “Realpolitik”. Indeed he was the only German in history who demoed the art of the possible. Yet he hated acquiring colonies. Why?

https://t.co/7p5csb9LO8

[Muthu Ashraff @cosmicgems]

https://t.co/4W4VqbZNBn

Germany is on fast track in considering the so far bitter pill of leaving the European Union often called as “Dexit”.

[Muthu Ashraff @cosmicgems]

China went overdrive on priority sectors such as roads, railways, township development both in urban & rural areas. Her industrial base was basically in a narrower land mass. This resulted in “banana conundrum”..

https://t.co/hppap9UDOl

[Muthu Ashraff @cosmicgems]

Iran has been threatening for sometimes that if hostilities begin with USA, she would close the Hormuz Strait for commercial shipping. The writing on the wall is clear. Yet Germany ignored. Why?
https://t.co/skKIXzWXCG

[Muthu Ashraff @cosmicgems]

https://t.co/qfVlyDWdBI
The Fuhrer must be turning in his grave. The German power he built over a period has vanished into thin air. Let alone European nations, the countries in the Global South have abandoned her.....

[Muthu Ashraff @cosmicgems]

Although Friedrich Merz was re-elected as Chairman of CDU on 20/2/2026 securing 91.17% votes cast at the party's national convention held in Stuttgart his honeymoon was over within the span of few months.
https://t.co/yjFdzbQUEF

[Muthu Ashraff @cosmicgems]

https://t.co/1b6tISDzWI
The purpose of NATO was summed up as "to keep the Soviet Union out, the Americans in, and the Germans down," by lord Hastings Lionel Ismay who functioned as the First Secretary General of NATO during 1952-57.

[Muthu Ashraff @cosmicgems]

Increasingly German political parties are resorting to a system known as co-leader in German language ‘doppelspitze.’ Typically, a man and woman combination to share leadership such that the entire populace...

https://t.co/xsZCcyIybL

[Muthu Ashraff @cosmicgems]

https://t.co/XtP9wizlBf
n the recent summit between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping a path-finding concept was introduced by the latter. Xi called it "constructive strategic stability" a sort of framework designed to guide long-term US-China relations...

[Muthu Ashraff @cosmicgems]

@SprinterPress I have lots of regards for Serbs, except that they treated Muslims badly.

[Muthu Ashraff @cosmicgems]

In geoeconomics spectrum, food security is a vital pole. Therein lies food, fuel and feedstock matrix. This relates to how a country balances between competing needs such as human consumption, energy and animal feeds.
https://t.co/HyuOdbcF2h

[Muthu Ashraff @cosmicgems]

Peace through strength is the present day mantra in America. This concept has made US Dollar a global currency and her military industrial complex as propeller of both domestic economic growth and global geoeconomics status. What Germany must do?
https://t.co/ptmbuYMYbI

[Muthu Ashraff @cosmicgems]

In a press interview, Vladimir Putin emphasized that Russia had built its relations with Europe on the basis of mutual respect and suggested former Chancellor Gerhard Schroder as a preferred negotiator in talks between Germany and Russia.
https://t.co/T1moLxljxy

[Muthu Ashraff @cosmicgems]

Today geoeconomics is the arbiter for both domestic and foreign policy. Synchronizing these policies gives optimum results. Germany and Russia have varying parameters in order to sustain their geoeconomics momentum.
https://t.co/lg4gPSgy7n

[Muthu Ashraff @cosmicgems]

The world implicitly recognizes that Iran has sovereignty in the Persian Strait. China together with Russia is acknowledging this by implication. Most European countries are fairly silent on this issue but tend to go with China Russia duo. Germany is not.
https://t.co/Bgfj5AgInZ

[Muthu Ashraff @cosmicgems]

https://t.co/bcAzjBHATY
No one can challenge SWIFT. It is the most ubiquitous messaging system globally. In 2025 alone SWIFT recorded the highest volume of daily messages over 68 million in a single day. Average daily messages transferred last year amounted to about 53 million.

[Muthu Ashraff @cosmicgems]

Obediently, if not slavishly Germany has gone along with sanctions against Iran oil. So with Russian oil too. Yet the globe is changing. Sanctions regime against both these countries is falling apart. Interestingly Germany has taken a front seat...
https://t.co/5q9kSF8TIP

[Muthu Ashraff @cosmicgems]

On the first sight, it would appear Germany is taking the lion share of benefits arising out of her relationship with European Union as a whole. But deep analysis indicates both are driving benefits quantitatively, qualitatively as members of the Union.
https://t.co/RPsirhHYpq

[Muthu Ashraff @cosmicgems]

Today, Germany is facing a big dilemma: whether to concentrate on defence or develop the country so as to move on from the current Middle Level State to a Great Level State and to be recognised as such globally. Here are the brass stacks:
https://t.co/7PlwwawH0y