@BowTiedLobster@LobsterFinance So youโre basically admitting that your own forecast is so statistically asinine that no one in their right mind would price it fairly ๐คฃ๐คฃ
A digital option is literally just a binary bet on an outcome which is exactly what I offered you. If youโre as profitable as you claim youโd know that pricing left-tail risks at 3000 is the easiest way to collect a premium. If you truly believe it's going to happen why do you care about the odds? It's free money for you.