cryptomicrobe

[cryptomicrobe @cryptomicrobe]

@thomas_wealth btw, 4 years ago people like you were saying the same thing when I bought my first Bitcoin for $208. In 20 years time, people will be saying the same thing when each Bitcoin is worth $50,000+. Supply & demand. There will only ever be 21M Bitcoin.

[cryptomicrobe @cryptomicrobe]

@KobeissiLetter

[cryptomicrobe @cryptomicrobe]

@nikitabier 100%

[cryptomicrobe @cryptomicrobe]

@IncomeSharks The world consumes 104+ million barrels PER day. Hormuz closure removes 20% of that.

[WLFI @worldlibertyfi]

The proposal to make $WLFI tradable is now live for voting 🗳️

After receiving overwhelming support on the forum, it’s clear: the community is ready.

Let freedom ring — and bring crypto home. 🇺🇸 🦅

Vote now:
https://t.co/5ekBjB6uoS

[WLFI @worldlibertyfi]

You asked to make $WLFI transferable — we heard you.

The team is working behind the scenes to make it happen.

Big news coming soon.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION TO THIS MATTER.

[cryptomicrobe @cryptomicrobe]

Can you believe it? Just two years ago, FTX was going up in flames, and I don’t think anyone could have predicted that Bitcoin would be smashing past $100,000 today! 🎉 Huge congrats to all the HODLers out there! 🥳🚀 #Bitcoin #BTC #HODL

[cryptomicrobe @cryptomicrobe]

When CZ makes these calls, it's wise to listen. 💯 hit rate!

[CZ 🔶 BNB @cz_binance]

Which key is available on Windows and Linux, but not on Mac?

[cryptomicrobe @cryptomicrobe]

Early data showing a Trump landslide victory is on the horizon! Get ready for Bitcoin soaring past $100K and a wild altcoin bullrun in 2025! 🚀

[cryptomicrobe @cryptomicrobe]

Notice the crypto market cycle?📈
Jan 2017: Trump’s inauguration
💥 2017: Massive 12-month bull run! 🚀
Jan 2021: Biden’s inauguration
💥 2021: Epic 11-month bull run, amidst the worst financial conditions ever! 🚀
Jan 2025: Harris/Trump’s inauguration
💥 2025: Get ready! 🚀

[cryptomicrobe @cryptomicrobe]

@Batman_1966_ See you at $70k+

[cryptomicrobe @cryptomicrobe]

Can you say #CompoundInterestMagic? 🎩✨ Invested $5 million in the S&P 500 50 years ago? Now you'd be chilling with $1.05 billion! 😲💰 Average yearly return? A sweet 11.3%! 📈🚀 #StockMarketFacts #InvestSmart
https://t.co/rFDsUeSr3L

[cryptomicrobe @cryptomicrobe]

Did you know? 🤔 More than half of the S&P 500's all-time highs 🚀 happened in December! 🎄
Sell in December and go away?
#StockMarketFacts #SP500 #DecemberSurprises
*Image: DataTrek, The Compound

[Nick Colas & Jessica Rabe (DataTrek) @DataTrekMB]

Fun fact most people don't know: the stock market historically peaks for the year in either January or Q4 81% of the time!

Watch our discussion on it with @Downtown on @TheCompoundNews below!

Did the Stock Market Top in March? https://t.co/dSV2oTMX9M via @YouTube

[Metaquant @QuantMeta]

Not everyone will make it this cycle.

You need to shift your mindset and detach from the crowd.

Coinbase app ranking will not tell you when the top is in.

Start thinking differently.

“When a measure becomes a target, it ceases to be a good measure.”

In other words, when we set one specific goal, people will tend to optimize for that objective regardless of the consequences. This leads to ignoring other equally important factors of a situation.

Furthermore, let me tell you that most of the top signals mentioned on CT won't work this time.

What was an obvious top signal in 2017 wasn't in 2021, and the same goes for 2024-25.

We’re moving towards the right curve of the adoption rate, and now all retail knows about crypto - some heard about it in 2017, and then almost everyone heard about it in 2021.

Don't mix the signs of adoption with top signals. Don’t let the PTSD ruin your fun.

Another point to address is the shift of influence - BlackRock & Co. controls Bitcoin now.

They are the major ETF providers and own shares of each other. So, they control the sentiment around BTC now.

And they also own all the media platforms. They can literally shape the narrative as they want.

Let me re-phrase it like this:

If most of this run-up is driven by institutional bids, why would retail indicators be relevant?

The indicator for this cycle will come from the people who haven’t been onboarded yet.

Yes, It can be retail who still haven't touched crypto - "late majority" and "laggards" - but you gotta think on a bigger scale.

Sovereign Wealth Funds

Think of those countries with a sovereign wealth fund starting to diversify in $BTC. Some already invest in stocks, so it might be possible to see this scenario.

• Saudi Arabia - $400 billion
• Abu Dhabi - $800 billion
• China - $1 trillion
• Norway - $1 trillion
• Australia - $150 billion
• Qatar - $300 billion
• Singapore - $500 billion

Corporate Treasuries

We have already seen this in 2021 with Tesla purchasing $BTC and, more recently, with Reddit disclosing some of its crypto holdings.

The trend is just starting. Once you see daily headlines of companies diversifying their assets into
,it might be rational to start derisking.

Stock Market IPOs

Coinbase IPO in 2021 was the first major crypto company to be listed in the stock market. We might see this time tens of crypto companies doing their IPOs, and at some point, one listing will mark the top.

Over-Leveraging

Big hedge funds, companies, and maybe even small countries over-leveraging in the final stages of the bull run and getting rekt could be another scenario we might see this cycle.

Rehypothecation Crisis

The next Luna-type of collapse might come from the restaking sector and kickstart the bear market. It seems like everyone is overlooking the huge consequences of a depeg or slashing event in this sector.

Gold Reserves

The ultimate ultra top signal could be governments diversifying a small % of their gold reserves into Bitcoin - the "digital gold".

Some additional minor signals

Low-Income Countries Workers Shortage

Another big signal is when low-income countries will have a shortage of workers because these are making $300 to $600 a month mapping the roads with hivemapper or other DePIN projects and earning a higher salary than what they'd normally get.

Happened at a small scale last cycle with Axie and StepN. Will happen at a larger scale this cycle.

Las Vegas Sphere

Time Square was full of shit memecoins in 2021. The Las Vegas Sphere with crypto ads running on it for weeks straight will be the version of this cycle.

Funding Rounds

A pretty secure signal again will be checking the volumes of VC investments. Funding rounds skyrocketing and, maybe overpassing tradFi ones might be the indicator again to start exiting.

“The financial markets generally are unpredictable. So that one has to have different scenarios... The idea that you can actually predict what's going to happen contradicts my way of looking at the market.

- George Soros.

[cryptomicrobe @cryptomicrobe]

Wow, I got this one right. Looking back, we bottomed in November 2022 (BTC $15.7k). Bull market all the way to 2025 with mid cycle top in between. 🚀🚀

[cryptomicrobe @cryptomicrobe]

In the last run, BTC bottomed around 12 months after bullrun finished, so if we expect similar results, market should bottom around November 2022 this year, go sideways for a few months then start rising all the way up to May 03, 2024 halving event.

[Coinbase 🛡️ @coinbase]

The numbers don't lie.

[cryptomicrobe @cryptomicrobe]

@RichardHeartWin 👍👍👍 The next 50-100x play

[cryptomicrobe @cryptomicrobe]

@RichardHeartWin lfg!! Good to see after years of waiting. 8)

[cryptomicrobe @cryptomicrobe]

Check out how long bear markets have lasted. Average: 388 days. 3-4 more months of pain left?

[cryptomicrobe @cryptomicrobe]

In the last run, BTC bottomed around 12 months after bullrun finished, so if we expect similar results, market should bottom around November 2022 this year, go sideways for a few months then start rising all the way up to May 03, 2024 halving event.

[cryptomicrobe @cryptomicrobe]

Bitcoin halving dates:
- July 9, 2016 - BTC was $650 on this day. Bullrun lasted till Dec 19 2017 at $19.4k. (528 days) (29.8x ROI)
- May 11, 2020 - BTC was $8500 on this day. Bull run lasted till Nov 9 2021 at $67,600. (547 days) (7.9x ROI)

[cryptomicrobe @cryptomicrobe]

- Next halving date: May 03, 2024. If we expect similar run, BTC should top out around October 15, 2025.