The headline on the official SEC press release is some heinous political, dark pattern bullshit.
These NFTs may have been unregistered securities, but there is NO such thing as “an unregistered offering of NFTs”
There is no *registration* to sell NFTs that aren’t securities.
🚨 FTX wallets on the move🚨
Over $1.5B worth of $SOL, SPL tokens, and Wrapped #Bitcoin in FTX's Solana addresses are shifting‼️
Looks like they're gearing up for potential sell-offs.
Keep an eye on this, especially the ~$200M in #Solana Wrapped $BTC.
#crypto#bitcoin …
🚨🚨🚨 #FTX likely to get approval to liquidate it's assets on 13th Sept.
Big sell pressure if that happens:
$SOL $650m+
$FTT $500m+
$BTC $268m
$ETH $90m
$APT $67m
$DOGE $42m
$MATIC $39m
Have you heard of Steve's 5.3 #Bitcoin Theory?
This says that returns are diminishing by 5.3x from bottom to top each cycle.
If this is true, the next cycle top will be about $77,000...
I've done a ton of math, so you don't have to! Let's see if this is the real deal.
After measuring returns from cycle bottoms to tops on the daily time frame as precisely as possible, the returns from cycle tops to bottoms are not 5.3. They are as follows:
1. 5.34x
2. 4.96x
3. 5.63x
But there is merit to the 5.3, the average of these numbers is 5.31. However, we cannot say for sure that this will be the returns if this is just an average.
Instead, it gives us a range. Here are the real numbers so far from lowest to highest:
Lowest Cycle Top: $73,522
Average Cycle Top: $77, 122
Highest Cycle Top: $81,675
Now, none of these numbers are ones people would want to hear. So, let's see what it would take to reach a slightly more optimistic target:
$100,000 = 3.84x diminish.
This means Bitcoin would need to set in a drastically lower diminishing return rate to reach that target this cycle.
Bitcoin has never not hit a Fibonacci extension level at a cycle top, if $77,000 is the target, this would break that.
The cycles hit these Fibonacci extensions:
1. 58.764
2. 19.764
3. 3.618
The lowest Fibonacci extension for this cycle measured from Weekly candle bodies is the 1.618. This would mean a price of $104,000 which takes a 3.7x diminish from last cycle.
Many believe that ETFs will bring the power it takes to break models and numbers.
Returns are clearly diminishing, but do you think the 5.31 ($77,122) average return will be the top this cycle? Let me know!
#Bitcoin - Have done well buying the bottom of this massive channel, and selling near the top. Not going to change that strategy. Unloaded half of what I bought at $25k today at $30k (channel resistance), will unload some more closer to the top of the channel (resistance).
1/5
Ripple case, here is the good and the bad.
But it is mostly *VERY* good for all alts, and a surprisingly big win for XRP.
First Judge did decide institutional sales/fundraising was securities.