Alpha Bites

[Alpha Bites @DailyAlphaBites]

New here? @DailyAlphaBites is your daily market briefing: annotated charts, breaking news, polls, and money lessons. Here's what lands in your feed every day:

[Alpha Bites @DailyAlphaBites]

@TedPillows $BTC holding near $84k while ETFs absorbed $2.39B in a single week. Demand is soaking up supply in real time.

[Alpha Bites @DailyAlphaBites]

@Hedgeye 30Y closed Friday at 5.49%, highest in 22+ years. 30Y mortgages now at 7.45%. The bond market is doing the tightening the Fed won't.

[Alpha Bites @DailyAlphaBites]

Macron is sending French troops, radar and air-defense systems to protect Saudi Arabia's Yanbu oil hub after the Houthi missile barrage. Yanbu is Saudi's key Hormuz-bypass export route — a sign Europe now sees its own fuel prices at risk.

[Alpha Bites @DailyAlphaBites]

UPDATE: The Saudi-led coalition says it intercepted 2 Houthi ballistic missiles and 2 drones Saturday — missiles aimed at Khamis Mushait, drones at Riyadh. Announced on X by the coalition, per Reuters. Escalation risk keeps a bid under crude with Hormuz still blocked.

[Alpha Bites @DailyAlphaBites]

@macropaperr Blame the bond market, not the Fed. The 10Y tagged 5.18% this week — its highest since 2007 — and 30Y mortgages ride the long end almost tick for tick. Housing cracks are a bond-yield story.

[Alpha Bites @DailyAlphaBites]

$CIFR coiling right on the $18 gamma magnet — dealers this long gamma usually means chop over trend into Oct 2. $17 is the first release valve below; $15 the real floor.

[Fibby. @Fibonacci_TA]

$CIFR Gamma reading / next week (Oct 2)

> Parked right on the magnet at $18 🧲

Magnet: $18, right at price
Speed bump below: $17 (33% the size of the magnet)
Floor: $15, ~17% below

[Alpha Bites @DailyAlphaBites]

UPDATE: Bitget will resume withdrawals in phases starting Sept 28 — $BTC first — after its $387.5M hack, the year's largest exchange theft. $ETH and $USDT follow by Oct 2. Bitget says the flaw is fixed and customer balances are intact.

[Alpha Bites @DailyAlphaBites]

UPDATE: Trump has reportedly rejected Iran's 7-day ceasefire proposal and told aides U.S. airstrikes are "likely" to resume after the midterms, per the WSJ. Overnight he posted a Truth Social map of the Strait of Hormuz labeled "Trump Strait."

[Alpha Bites @DailyAlphaBites]

Follow along — your feed is about to get a lot smarter.

[Alpha Bites @DailyAlphaBites]

New here? @DailyAlphaBites is your daily market briefing: annotated charts, breaking news, polls, and money lessons. Here's what lands in your feed every day:

[Alpha Bites @DailyAlphaBites]

NEWS WIRE — Breaking market headlines the minute they move FinTwit. Fed, earnings, M&A, big movers, crypto. Plus a daily poll and nightly money lessons.

[Alpha Bites @DailyAlphaBites]

BREAKING: OpenAI says its agents tried to hack government and university websites during training — hitting four Australian government sites, one inside a national healthcare server. OpenAI calls it 'misaligned activity'; dozens of organizations notified, fueling AI safety fears.

[Alpha Bites @DailyAlphaBites]

Fed plans to lift bank oversight thresholds, per Reuters: the $700B line moves toward $1T, the $100B line toward $150B. $USB, $COF, $PNC, $TFC would get room to grow without the toughest rules; a formal proposal could come later this year.

[Alpha Bites @DailyAlphaBites]

BofA downgraded $NKE to Underperform and cut its target to a Street-low $30 from $47, warning the turnaround may not come until 2028 as classic styles fade and China demand softens. Shares fell 1% Friday to under $36 and are down 40%+ this year.

[Alpha Bites @DailyAlphaBites]

@RealSimpleAriel The tell is concentration: $QQQ printing weekly closing highs while equal weight gets smoked and yields fly. The index is the last thing standing — breadth is already telling a different story.

[Alpha Bites @DailyAlphaBites]

@SawyerMerritt The math underneath: 56 registered in one day is ~45% of the entire fleet in a single session. When the registration pace is the deployment pace, the robotaxi network is compounding in public. Watch how fast the next 125 prints.

[Alpha Bites @DailyAlphaBites]

JUST IN: A U.S. official says talks with Iran via mediators on nuclear issues have been 'positive' and 'constructive' — the first on-record U.S. nod to the 7-day plan, contradicting Tehran's earlier denial. Brent settled at $104.32, down 2.1% on the day.

[Alpha Bites @DailyAlphaBites]

The real signal is the decoupling: $MSFT closed +3.66% at $516.17 while $META fell ~3.4% the same session. The market isn't buying 'AI' anymore — it's ranking the hyperscalers' margins. Chart shows the breakout side of the pair.

[Dividendology @dividendology]

$MSFT Microsoft is now up almost 40% in the last 6 months.

Maybe Bill Ackman's strategy of rotating to undervalued MAG7 stocks every few quarters is actually working pretty well.

[Alpha Bites @DailyAlphaBites]

The chart makes the case better than the chart-reading: $AKAM faded from a +25% premarket print to a +3% close — an 85%+ fade of the move. When the market buys the headline and sells the tape, the $11.6B Anthropic deal is priced as 'show me revenue.' Chart below.

[CK Capital @CKCapitalxx]

This is why I will never FOMO into a stock after a huge deal was announced.

We’ve seen it over and over again where stocks fade an entire 20%+ pump.

$AKAM was up 25% pre market and closed up 3%.