Goldhardcash

Vibe Coder. Stock Enthusiast. Former professional Sports Bettor. Follow along to grow together

[Goldhardcash @DanielDrewGold]

@DeepValueBagger What did you do for access to the private capital investments?

[Goldhardcash @DanielDrewGold]

OXXO trading at a Couche-Tard multiple (~10x) and will likely rerate toward faster unit grower Casey's as the US expansion, TAM, cadence, and receptivity to the offering in the US are recognized.
- A long-term unit growth target in the US is the major milestone.

[Goldhardcash @DanielDrewGold]

FMX Research Findings

Likely beneficiary of record World Cup viewership
- Hosting matches in its major cities
- Driving increased beverage/beer and snack consumption from its OXXO convenience stores

1/2

[Goldhardcash @DanielDrewGold]

@pennycheck @__Max__S__ As a former professional sports bettor it checks out, if they putting up that liquidity way before game times / lineups they are def getting picked off on soft line prices

[Goldhardcash @DanielDrewGold]

$DRAM so clearly the best investment in the market

[The Transcript @TheTranscript_]

$MU CEO: "Humanoid robots carry 10X the amount of memory as an average L2+ vehicle, and we expect a sustained, substantial multi-decade memory demand cycle to begin in the latter part of this decade"

[Goldhardcash @DanielDrewGold]

Intellectually we are trying to build computers to operate like humans. LLM memory noticably lacking relevative to human memory anecdotally as a power user

[Shay Boloor @StockSavvyShay]

$MU ABSOLUTELY CRUSHED THEIR EARNINGS

• Revenue $41.5B vs Est. $35.5B
• EPS $25.11 vs Est. $20.39
• Net Income $33.7B vs Est. $23.9B
• Gross Margin 85% vs Est. 82%

Q4 Guide
• Revenue $50B vs Est. $43B
• EPS $31.00 vs Est. $25.07
• Gross Margin 85% vs Est. 84%

[Goldhardcash @DanielDrewGold]

What a print

[Goldhardcash @DanielDrewGold]

Anticipating a really impressive print from micron $MU tonight hopefully gives the market some additional juice. My chips are on the table.

[Goldhardcash @DanielDrewGold]

Anticipating a really impressive print from micron $MU tonight hopefully gives the market some additional juice. My chips are on the table.

[Goldhardcash @DanielDrewGold]

Completely agree with this and while got good returns on $ONON, closed the trade given these dynamics present in retail apparel

[Chris @StonkChris]

I’ll continue to say it until the day I die: retail apparel is one of the worst long-term investment categories out there.

There’s virtually no moat. Consumer preferences can shift overnight, and the “must-have” brand today can easily become yesterday’s news when the next shiny object comes along.

Just look at $GAP. Decades in business, a well-known brand, and yet shareholders have largely gotten a whole lot of nothing to show for it over the long run.

Fashion trends change. Brand loyalty fades. That’s a tough foundation to build a long-term investment thesis on. In fact, you can’t.

[Goldhardcash @DanielDrewGold]

@StockSavvyShay @fiscal_ai I barely watch tv on their anymore anecdotally fwiw

[Goldhardcash @DanielDrewGold]

Wow $spcx at $220 now, $3 trillion dollar valuation. Def can see a crazy move happening b4 all those unlocks I layed out

[Goldhardcash @DanielDrewGold]

$SPCX feels like another Elon co at shockingly high multiples. Not shorting. Calls live tmrw. High IV, low SI, not durable on gamma squeeze.

Per @aleabitoreddit, US inv pay thru nose for futuristic tech stocks.

[Goldhardcash @DanielDrewGold]

Aug 11: 30% float unlocked (10% Elon if >$175.50, assume protected) + Elon trillionaire milestone.

7% releases: 8/21,9/10,9/25,10/10,10/25.

Nov 4: 28%.

Dec 9: 17%.

Elon final 42% Jun 27.

[Goldhardcash @DanielDrewGold]

$SPCX feels like another Elon co at shockingly high multiples. Not shorting. Calls live tmrw. High IV, low SI, not durable on gamma squeeze.

Per @aleabitoreddit, US inv pay thru nose for futuristic tech stocks.

[Goldhardcash @DanielDrewGold]

Timelines: IPO'd Fri Jun 12 @ $130.
4.2% float trading +20% in broker holds.
1st trade: Fidelity Jun 29; RH/SoFi/E*TRADE Jul 12; Schwab mixed.
Insider unlocks pending.

[Goldhardcash @DanielDrewGold]

And additional further out catalysts:
- 2027 memory price contract that hit aug-Nov @jukan05 prob will help there
- next sweep of earnings and same things to watch for there

[Goldhardcash @DanielDrewGold]

There’s a lot of volatility and chatter in the market and in Semis $SOXX rn around if the top is in. I think no one knows yet no matter what data they quote, the big catalysts to watch are:

[Goldhardcash @DanielDrewGold]

- $MU 6/24 Wednesday night
- memory prices - 2nd half / end of month - first sequential decline ends the shortage narrative
- hyperscaler er 7/22, 7/29 & 7/30 - language around capex
- if crowding data starts dropping - sell side research surveys that publish mid-month