Danny

Trader, IT Professional, Project Manager and Cyber Security Specialist

[Sunil Gurjar, CFTe @sunilgurjar01]

When to sell a trading position.👇📊

Bookmark it. 🔖

#trading

[Founder Mode @Founder_Mode_]

This 40-minute Peter Thiel lecture will teach you more about business than a 2-year MBA program:

Summary:

• Value Creation and Capture:

A valuable company must both create value (X dollars) for the world and capture a percentage (Y%) of that value.

X (total value created) and Y (share captured) are independent variables; a company can succeed with either a large X and small Y or vice versa.

• Monopoly vs Perfect Competition:

Monopolies are stable, profitable, and create long-term value, unlike perfectly competitive industries where profits are eroded away.

The airline industry exemplifies a highly competitive market with very low profit margins despite large revenues, contrasted with Google’s search business that is smaller in revenue but much more profitable due to monopoly power.

Thiel argues there are only two types of businesses: monopolies and perfectly competitive firms, with very few in between.

• Market Size and Perception Lies:

Companies distort their market descriptions depending on their position.

Monopolists exaggerate market size by describing their market as a vast union of many different sectors to avoid regulatory scrutiny.

Non-monopolists minimize market size, describing it narrowly to appear unique and attract investment.

Example: A restaurant owner might claim to serve a tiny niche market (e.g., British food in Palo Alto) to claim uniqueness, while Google describes itself broadly as a technology or advertising company to dilute monopoly perception.

Successful startups begin by dominating a small market and then expand outward.

Examples include Amazon starting as an online bookstore, PayPal targeting eBay power sellers, and Facebook launching initially at Harvard.

Starting with a large, broad market is often a sign of misunderstanding the market and leads to intense competition and failure (e.g., many clean tech companies).

• Last Mover Advantage:

The greatest value lies in being the company that dominates a market long-term, not necessarily the first mover.

Most of the value of tech companies comes from future cash flows many years ahead, emphasizing durability over short-term growth.

• Historical Perspective on Innovation and Value Capture:

Throughout history, many scientific and technological breakthroughs created large societal value (X), but the innovators rarely captured substantial financial value (Y close to zero).

Examples include great scientists like Einstein and industries such as railroads or early aviation, where competition or structural factors prevented wealth capture.

Two main categories where value capture was successful:

1. Vertically integrated monopolies (e.g., Ford, Standard Oil) require complex coordination and capital investment.

2. Software businesses, benefiting from near-zero marginal costs and rapid adoption.

• Psychological and Cultural Aspects of Competition:

Society often romanticizes competition, seeing losing as a personal failure, but Thiel argues that competition itself is a form of losing, as it destroys value and capital.

Human nature is mimetic (imitative), leading to overcrowded markets and irrational competition.

Real success comes from escaping competition by finding unique, overlooked opportunities.

[Market Rebellion @RebellioMarket]

Sell 50% When outlook changes from confirmed Uptrend to Uptrend Under pressure:

[R @AlphaWizarDD]

Mark Minervini explained the Holy Grail of trading any stock.

Serious traders must watch it.

[Danny @danielwaelty]

@MapleStax Trade

[Danny @danielwaelty]

So sieht Europa aus wenn ChatGPT / Copilot eine Karte von Europa zeichnet 😂

[Julian Komar @BlogJulianKomar]

How I Select High-Potential Stocks 👇

[Danny @danielwaelty]

Ich bin die #326 im "The Leap"!
Es ist der Papierhandel-Wettbewerb von TradingView und TradeStation mit Echtgeldpreisen.

Mein Profit aktuell: +35,36% (+$35.361,70) - besser als 99 % der Teilnehmer.

@Tradingview: https://t.co/bY6rqRA19v

[The Long Investor @TheLongInvest]

Long Term Investing is always the way.

Out of 74 years, there has only been 16 negative years.

[Danny @danielwaelty]

Tesla FSD im Schnee!! v13.2.1 ❄️❄️❄️ https://t.co/dxhgUL2Vqv via @YouTube

[Mags @thescalpingpro]

#Bitcoin Simple Strategy 🤝

1) Buy Bitcoin 500 days Before Halving
2) Hold & Do Nothing
3) Sell 500 Days After Halving
4) Repeat

[Danny @danielwaelty]

Ich bin die #1175 im "The Leap"!
Es ist der Papierhandel-Wettbewerb von TradingView mit Echtgeldpreisen.

Mein Profit aktuell: +2,51% (+$6.269,17) - besser als 98 % der Teilnehmer.

@Tradingview: Jetzt registrieren und beim "The Leap" teilnehmen https://t.co/bY6rqRAyZ3

[Market Rebellion @RebellioMarket]

When to sell a Winner:

[Market Rebellion @RebellioMarket]

Oliver's 10 Trading Principles.

[Market Rebellion @RebellioMarket]

You don't have to sell all at once: Try to sell in phases.

[Michael Dell 🇺🇸 @MichaelDell]

Fascinating #Bitcoin

[Danny @danielwaelty]

@CryptoCrewU No one takes care about the 2W chart. 1W looks good as long as BTC >61493

[Danny @danielwaelty]

@KielerFinanzen Das Militär hat zur Übung Flugzeuge dort Landen und starten lassen, wurde heute im Radio erklärt. Zuschauer wurden nicht zugelassen.

[High Signal AI @HighSignal_AI]

Airbnb Founder, Brian Chesky on the best advice he ever received from Paul Graham:

[Altcoin Daily @AltcoinDaily]

Coinbase is launching a $15 million TV ad campaign