#BOOM 168/1 TREBLE LANDED!
3 from 3 on the day!
1.30 Chester ROMAN DRAGON 10/3 1pt win
2.05 Chester DONNEGAL ROSE 5/1 1pt win
4.10 Chester LETS DREAM 11/2 1pt win
0.25pt Win Trixie
ROMAN DRAGON doesn't need much explaining. He's a course specialist who won this race last year and comes into it this time around on the same mark. That is courtesy of a bit of a poor campaign in Bahrain, and a clear non trier last time out at Leicester. That run at Leicester was clearly used to get his mark dropped for this, he didn't come off the bridle, nor was he ridden out to the line (in fact his jockey eased down in the last 50 yards despite the horse closing). This will have been his target once more and Murphy, who rode him to win last year, is back in the saddle. Every single one of the last 14 winners of this, and 18 of the last 20, have been drawn in stalls 1-5, with that we are likely to see wide drawn horses declared as non runners.
Again, Hugo and Oisin won this race last year and DONNEGAL ROSE looked tailormade for this race when making her debut on that same Leicester card. She showed good pace early on to lead from the gates but was badly hampered late on by a horse coming across her, she's have been a lot better than her eventual 5th. With that run under her belt, plus the fact that she is quick from the gates and will get further, she looks more than likely to play a huge part in this.
Michael Bell targets this meeting and, given he won this race 2 years ago with a break returner, it's likely that this has been the plan for some time for LETS DREAM. A winner at this meeting, last year, he finished the year with a big handicap success at York too, having loads more left than the winning margin suggested. He idled in front that day, having waited for something to come to him and went again. Proven fresh, proven around here, drawn well and has won under Hector Crouch too, I think he's the one to beat in a wide open race.
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#boom plot job landed!
Weโre off and running with the first tip of the day with another day of profit bagged
1.30 Chester ROMAN DRAGON 4/1 1pt win
ROMAN DRAGON doesn't need much explaining. He's a course specialist who won this race last year and comes into it this time around on the same mark. That is courtesy of a bit of a poor campaign in Bahrain, and a clear non trier last time out at Leicester. That run at Leicester was clearly used to get his mark dropped for this, he didn't come off the bridle, nor was he ridden out to the line (in fact his jockey eased down in the last 50 yards despite the horse closing). This will have been his target once more and Murphy, who rode him to win last year, is back in the saddle. Every single one of the last 14 winners of this, and 18 of the last 20, have been drawn in stalls 1-5, with that we are likely to see wide drawn horses declared as non runners
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New #007FirstLight giveaway!
In collaboration with @IOInteractive, weโre giving away an exclusive James Bond rubber duck ๐ฆ โ not available to buy anywhere.
Follow us & repost this post to enter.
Good duck, Mister Bond.
#boom the first tip of the day is a winner
IT JUST TAKES TIME lands a tidy gamble from the front under a great ride by Jack Garrity for @mwalfordracing
4.08 Beverley IT JUST TAKES TIME 7/1 1pt win
With deep ground no issue, a great draw in stall 3 for a front runner and coming into the race in form, IT JUST TAKES TIME looks to have every chance here to repeat his win in last years running of this, off a 1lb higher mark. Defying that higher mark this year shouldn't be an issue, as he won twice after that win last season, latterly off a 5lb higher mark than he races off of today. Having not win this season is a little bit of a concern, but it wasn't until this race last year that he recorded his first win of that campaign too and with his last run working out so well, the risk is somewhat negated. That run at Thirsk was a lot better than the bare result, having been forced to race out wide and staying on well, under a gentle ride, in a race that saw the winner go on to win the Portland Handicap at Doncaster and is now rated 12lb higher. A return to this trip will be much more suitable, the course will be riding soft and being toward the front around here is always a big advantage.
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#wallop massive gamble landed
JANEY MACKERS HACKS UP ADVISED AT 20/1
She goes off 11/2 to land us a big touch
5.15 Newbury JANEY MACKERS 20/1
JANEY MACKERS was tipped at Goodwood last time out, but she came out of the stalls a good 10 lengths late and the rain that she needed fell a few hours after it was forecast. It was a complete non event. I'm a little concerned that the ground seems to be drying all the time here, but it was genuinely soft on Wednesday and the going stick reading of 4.2 on Thursday morning suggests its closer to heavy than it is good ground. She's put up for the same reasons as before.. Highly regarded, felt to be of listed class and expected to improve in the Autumn this year. Obviously, there is a risk given how little she's run this year and the start last time out, but she ought to be a big enough price that the potential reward outweighs that risk.
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#bosh
First tip of the day hacks up
3.05 Ayr BEAUTIFUL DIAMOND 3/1 1pt win
BEAUTIFUL DIAMOND has obviously had an issue this season because she's been off a long time since her seasonal debut, back in May when only running averagely in a Group 3. Provided she's over whatever has kept her off, she looks to have a very good chance of winning this race once more for her trainer and upkeeping her 100% strike rate at the track (2 from 2). Shes a multiple listed winner, both came at Ayr, and she's placed in Group 2 company in the past too. The yard couldn't be in finer fettle and she is proven fresh too. Again, she looks to be drawn on the right side of the track.
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#wallop itโs another good day but weโve all been robbed of a 70/1 double!
MUNSIF was the best bet of the day and lands members a tidy gamble
5.15 Doncaster MUNSIF 11/2 1pt win NAP
MUNSIF is a little more straight forward and should be a rock solid bet in a deep race. Unraced at 2, he wasted no time as a 3yr old, winning twice and finishing 3rd in his first three runs. He suffered an injury in defeat on the 3rd start, when 3rd to a horse that has franked the form since, winning again next time out and is now rated 94. The 4th, 5th, 6th and 7th have all won since too. Only midfield at Goodwood last time out, he came into the race off a slight injury as previously mentioned and he wasn't beaten too far in another race that has worked out well. The rain softened ground at Doncaster will be perfect, and the trip is fine too. Roger Varian has fitted the hood for the first time, has a brilliant 20% strike rate when applying it first time, and this mark of 87 looks very achievable based on form and pedigree. Ray Dawson, who has a 23% strike rate for the yard this year, has been booked.
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#boom another lovely winner to see the day out
CANNONS HOUSE WINS WELL AT 9/1 UNDER A QUITE BRILLIANT RIDE BY @jomason90 !
8.45 Southwell CANNONS HOUSE 9/1 1pt win
CANNON HOUSE is another that has been better than the bare result of his last two starts and had excuses in both. He racked up a hat trick before only finishing mid division at The Curragh in a deep race. He made the running at a mad pace that day, over a stiff 6.5f, and had the whole field beaten at the furlong pole, until fast fractions took their toll and he folded. He was next out down in trip at Goodwood, in a race that couldn't have worked out any better, but racing off the pace and down the middle of the track left him with no chance back in 5th. He beat home a next time out listed winner that day. In this race, being held up should be no issue because there is a crazy amount of early pace in the race. Tattersall, Clarendon House (if he leaves the stalls), Against The Wind, Emperor Spirit, Paddy's Day and Regal Envoy are some of the speediest 5f handicappers about and all like to make the running. Hopefully Jo Mason, who has a chance of some decent prize money in the jockeys championship here, will have this lad just off the pace as he usually is and given he has won over 6f, he should see the race out well too. Based on those last two runs, he's certainly got another big run in him
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#BOOM THE BEST BET IF THE SAY IS A WINNER
1.50 Goodwood TRIBAL CHIEF 13/2 1pt win
TRIBAL CHIEF may be a non runner on this ground, but if he does take his place he ought to have an outstanding chance in here. He was last seen finishing 6th in the Golden Mile at Glorious Goodwood, the group miles clear of the 7th. The 2nd and 5th have come out and won huge handicaps since, the 3rd races in the 5.20 at York today. Whilst the 9th was an unlucky loser in a Group 3 earlier today too. But for a slow start, the selection may have gone very close on that occasion and this is a fair drop in class. The ground is the issue, but it's a no loss scenario if he doesn't run.
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#boom itโs a great start to the week for members who didnโt have a bet Monday or Tuesday
STAR OF MEHMAS wins at a tidy 12/1 to set up a nice double!
4.45 York STAR OF MEHMAS 12/1 1pt win
STAR OF MEHMAS has been running in listed company all season, against the boys, and running huge races until her last start, over C&D. She was sent off a warm order 4/1 shot that day, but lost her race before she even went into the stalls, having sweated up and boiled over in the prelims and running flat. Now, York can do that to horses and there is a slight worry that she will do the same here. However, she has run well here before and had previously showed no signs of that, so I'm hoping it was a one off. For all she finished last, it is worth remembering that she was sent off as one of the market leaders in a race that featured the aforementioned JM JUNGLE, WASHINGTON HEIGHTS, ROSY AFFAIR & MISS ATTITUDE who are all Listed and Group race winners. She steps back into handicap company for the first time in here career here and she's up against her own sex too. She does have to shoulder a lot of weight, but that's simply because she's the best horse in the race and the booking of Ryan Moore is no negative either.
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#BOOM THERE IT IS
ITS BEEN COMING! GREAT START TO SUNDAY, FIRST LEG OF A 230/1 DOUBLE LANDS!
2nd LEG BEEN HAMMERED!
1.31 Deauville MISS ATTITUDE 9/1 0.75pt ew
MISS ATTITUDE Was a huge eyecatcher at Goodwood last time out, on ground that she would have hated and getting no run whatsoever, to fly home late on. The ground at the time of typing is good at Deauville and they've had a dry day today, followed by a dry one tomorrow too so we should be on perfect ground here. The issue will be the amount f water that they put on the track, because at Deauville they always over water, but as long as it's good racing ground she has to go close. Her 2nd in listed company the time before was franked by the 3rd that day, JM Jungle, winning a group race at Goodwood last week.
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#boom perfect start to the day
RED MIRAGE WINS AT A TIDY 14/1
4.20 Doncaster RED MIRAGE 14/1 1pt win
RED MIRAGE'S run last time out, although far from unlucky, can be upgraded somewhat and a better run might just be on the cards here. He simply went too fast in front, into a fierce headwind at Ayr on that occasion and was found wanting in the latter stages. The run also came with headgear on too, and given that he's never as much as placed when wearing headgear, it's pleasing to see that connections have ditched it today. He's down another 2lb for that run, which puts him 6lb lower than his last winning mark now. With next to no wind forecast at Doncaster, and very little pace in the race, Jason Hart can ride him to best effect from the front here once more. None to reliable, this does represent a drop in class from what he has been used to throughout his career. He ought to be able to capitalise.
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#bosh first tip of the day an easy winner, members grab all the value
6.40 Naas SKY MAJESTY 2/1 1.5pt win
William Haggas rarely brings his horses over the water and even less so to Naas racecourse but, of the 6 that have come over, 2 have won and one lost on a photo. On weights, measures and form, SKY MAJESTY looks the horse to beat given that the in form yard have sent just the one horse over to Ireland and Tom Marquand has flown over for the ride too. Admittedly, she's not been at his best this year, having come into the season unbeaten, but can be excused her two runs this season for a few reasons. Firstly she was simply caught out, first time out, by a bit of speed around Chelmsford with the winner of the race getting first run on her. From there she was pitched into Group 1 company at Royal Ascot and despite only finishing 8th, against the boys, she finished 2nd of those that raced on the far side of the course, beaten only by the race winner. Down massively in grade here, and back against her own sex, she comes into the race as the top rated horse by some way and, put simply, if she runs to her mark (even a couple of lb below it), she'll win.
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