Um where would Hilter fall under his definition? Competent evil lead to the slaughter of 6 million people. Sometimes the words sound good but under scrutiny are just flat wrong. And I’m a Thiel fan, an absolute genius with one of the more interesting minds on the planet. However he’s not a deity, sometimes the arguments just don’t hold up.
@Plinz Go at some point has a finite set of moves. A closed system. Words and ideas are infinite. So the question becomes is new knowledge a combination of ideas we already know or something entirely beyond any idea before it?
@ScrooogeUncle Do we know whether collab has anything to do with the successful phase 3 trial Moderna just had with the mRNA cancer vaccine? Or are they unrelated?
In principle, if language was the basis of all knowledge couldn’t the machine just guess enough times to write those words? If the explanation could be put into words then eventually the machine could theoretically find it. Just a thought, not saying this is the case but I do wonder.
Google Deepmind argues that LLMs can never make real scientific discoveries.
They published a paper breaking down Albert Einstein’s private view of scientific discovery.
In a famous letter to his friend Maurice Solovine, Einstein drew a diagram of how science actually happens.
It is a cyclical loop.
First, you experience raw sensory data. Then, through a mysterious, non-logical act of intuition, you make an intuitive "jump" to abstract axioms. Finally, you use strict logical deduction to derive consequences from those axioms.
Generative AI has completely mastered two-thirds of this loop.
• Induction: Statistical pattern matching across billions of tokens.
• Deduction: Formal proof generation, like AlphaProof solving complex math Olympiads.
AI can crunch data and it can prove theorems.
But it cannot make the jump.
The paper argues that AI completely lacks Abduction, the generation of novel explanatory hypotheses when observational data is scarce.
The prevailing tech myth says that "creativity is just data compression." That if you feed an LLM enough text, scientific breakthroughs will naturally pop out.
Einstein’s formulation of General Relativity proves that is a delusion.
When Einstein formulated relativity, the observational data didn't demand a new physics framework; classical mechanics was still massively successful. The breakthrough required a conceptual rupture. An intuitive leap from physical reality to a brand-new set of foundational axioms.
An LLM can execute the math once the axioms are given. But it is structurally incapable of formulating those premises on its own.
It can interpolate inside existing human thought, but it cannot transcend it.
The translation of physical reality into formal axioms remains the absolute, hard bottleneck of artificial scientific invention.
We can build models with trillions of parameters. We can scale compute into the stratosphere.
We can make the calculator infinitely fast.
But until we solve grounding, the machine can process all the data in the universe.
It still can't make the jump.
Thomas Sowell: There are no solutions, only trade-offs.
David Deutsch: Problems are soluble. Problems are inevitable.
Sowell wants to kill the idea that politicians can do magic, offer a free lunch, create heaven with no side effects. Policies have benefits and they have costs, and as a voter and citizen, you ought to know what they are.
So far, so good. But, that maxim is horribly false, or at least incomplete, as progress one area does not always come at the expense of another. Progress can improve all areas at once. The king and the peasants can both have ice cream if somebody invents refrigerators.
So, Deutsch is nearer the truth. You can really solve a problem and make things better, generally leading to a new and better problem, perhaps a new and better trade-off.
Interested in your thoughts on time crystals inside the core of Google's Sycamore quantum processor? When I read “The Beginning of Infinity” it seems you are open to the idea that the 2nd law could be violated as new explanations are the essence of sciencfic discovery but I’ve also read from you that it is impossible for the 2nd law to be violated. What am i missing?
https://t.co/TJ9LAhLYYA
@PersianFutbol 100. Messi his first two World Cups did nothing. Him missing this one at 31 is one of the biggest lost opportunities in Iranian soccer. A complete sham.
Why would the Hornets do this when things started to finally turn around for them? Is this attitude or work ethic related? Maybe he doesn’t defend at a high enough level to win a championship? This puts a ton of pressure on Coby White. White, Miller, Knueppel, Bridges and Reed still really nice but still shocking.
@SharpFootball Let’s make this SAT analogy question.
Myles Garret: Jared Verse
A) Matthew Stafford:Jared Goff
B) Jim Kelly: Frank Reich
C) Aaron Rodgers: Brett Farve
D) Steve Young: Joe Montana
Correct answer: A