We (ie. @tobylunt) made a district-level COVID forecast for India: https://t.co/avTssKmBk3
A lot of places are past the peak of the second wave. In a lot of places, case counts are still rising.
We show Rt calculated from a model based on Bettencourt and Soman (2020). 🧵1/3
I grew up across Jharkhand , West Bengal and Orissa. In 7th grade I convinced father to send me to a boarding school way beyond our means. He took an 11 yr old seriously bc he swears by intergenerational mobility having spent a lot of his childhood at refugee camp! 1/n
Are night lights (NL) a reliable proxy for local GDP?
An answer, in our paper “Development Research at High Geographic Resolution” aka the SHRUG paper (forthcoming at WBER). 🧵1/14
TL;DR: don’t trust existing GDP elasticities. With @paulnovosad @tobiaslunt @ryu_matsuura