Retired from prop trading (TMG ’13-’21 energy futures). P2P gambling. Chess and poker fan. Love/hate relationship w Kelly criterion. DK bafoon13 MAYC 9149
@lastmenproxy Love this Tony! You guys are doing great things in the ecosystem, glad someone is finding new ways to add value to their customers in the proxy space.
Obv this is laughable, but it’s interesting how much this is called out while a proxy service charging $1k for 10 lineups is seen as acceptable. Median entry survives 3 weeks. So a proxy charges $100/entry to click 3 buttons. And then they expect a 5-10% tip if you actually win!
Some people don’t like my prices because they want me to be a Sucker and give everything away for free, just because thousands of people follow me on Twitter. I’m not that stupid. If you’re cheap you’ll get free information about 30% of the weeks.
@Suntanbird@JeffreyBenson12@Boilers121@coversvanzack@grpwins eh, maybe not. misread thought he had to make it to week 11, not get past week 11. Will he pick average 78% average win rate teams is the question. He certainly will go full chalk once he's down to 2-3 lineups left, but will probably spread out to worse teams in starting weeks
@DogandJoefund@JeffreyBenson12@CircaSports@stadiumswim I agree that they don't have to offer the perks to get to the 4mm, but they could've upped the guarantee to $7.5-$10mm and kept the perks. I would've thought the perks would bring some whales in to gamble a lot on property during their stay and make money for Circa.
@JeffreyBenson12@DogandJoefund@CircaSports Not trying to hate since everything is rake free, but why are the perks for Grandissimo so much lower than last year? Seems like most of what you got rid of were soft comps that wouldn't affect the bottom line.
@mattkalish@BlackincBets The funny part is that you’re making the argument that more people need to be market making on PM, not less.
Tough to wrap your head around coming from a company that tried to create a duopoly and squeeze out all competition.
@ShipMyMoneyDFS@FrankSterling22 https://t.co/cSkXDUpP74 and https://t.co/gaJsXbl7Uc are most popular places.
Would play against humans from the beginning, or against computers. Once you play a few games you’ll get an Elo and matched against other players with same skill level.
@johnarnold The state legislature will just say that the billion comes from money that was previously lost to offshore betting that went completely untaxed. Whether or not that is true is a different story.
@JonAguiar@masonnystrom Don’t forget anyone with a pulse who is limited to pennies on DK while losing whales get their limits set to infinite.
DK didn’t even make their own odds until
2022, it’s pathetic to think the oligopoly of sportsbook deserve 100% market share with an inferior/high cost product.
@Kalshi with the dumbest moves I've ever seen a fin ex make by reducing golf tick size to 1/10c 36 hours before the most traded event of the year with no warning to any stakeholders (MM's, etc.) Better hope they trust their devs. This could break as bad as DK MMA DFS late swap.
@RufusPeabody My takeaway from this is: guy who gets queue thinks it’s a bad idea and guy who sucks at getting queue thinks it’s a good idea.
Shockingly, both opinions favor the side that will individually make them more money. Yet they both mask it with “logic” as to why their side is right
@rickjeff78@Crushers_GC Agreed with strategy. But I’m a 10 handicap and I don’t think I could hit 18 green with a 7 iron at a high frequency. More likely in a bunker and under the pressure I probably blade or chunk the bunker shot
@AbnormallyDist And Im wrong that UIGEA “clearly stated it’s legal”. But it clearly stated that it was considered a game of skill rather than gambling.
@AbnormallyDist States still have a choice whether or not to allow it, but the federal government had a carve out that fantasy football was a game of skill, not gambling. Because of that, payment processors wouldn’t be breaking the law like they would be with online poker sites.