@bucketshopcap IMO Capex from hyperscalers wont stop unless there is evidence of structural demand change . Til then, capex flows straight to commitments for semis. hyperscalers/mag7 have sufficient fcf to bet on this. Think semis plateau when we have chip efficiency or capex pullback
@calvinfroedge Thanks for sharing. How do you foresee the normalization process to unfold?
The divergence between reality (ongoing conflict and energy disruption) and financial markets are ever-widening.
@resourcebull It stands to reason that production response come when forward curve is sufficiently high to warrant the increased production. It seems that the price response so far is in spot. At least that is my bullish thesis
hindsight compresses probability space into a single narrative & tricks you into thinking it was inevitable.
in reality the tree of possible outcomes was sprawling & only looks pruned after the fact.
the only real skill that matters is being able to recognize beforehand what will look obvious later.
@BowTiedBull There is a biological motivation to marry a hot wife too so your daughters can inherit your wifeโs beauty and extend bloodlines. As long as one brings intelligence, the other can afford to bring beauty