I believe @cfosilvia is the fastest growing finance product for multi-millionaires.
@shaincodes and I break down the product, the underlying technology, frequently asked questions, and how users can get the most out of Silvia.
Try it here: https://t.co/587F3GzJzR
If Adobe goes to $85, Iโd buy it.
If Salesforce goes to $65, Iโd buy it.
If ServiceNow goes to $45, Iโd probably buy it.
Until then, there simply isnโt enough margin of safety.
All software is vulnerable. You have been warned repeatedly.
Buy the disruptors, not the disrupted
After listening to the $CRDO earnings call for a second time this morning and reading through the transcript... when you think about the second half inflection... hyper-scaler customer base... adding more hyper-scalers (talks about 6 of them)... starting to add neo-clouds (could be 20% of total revenues in near future).. and a few more breadcrumbs... there's no way $CRDO does less than triple digit revenue growth in FY2027 which means eps will also be growing triple digits because margins are expanding... perhaps eps growing above 110% which means $CRDO got down to 25x NTM EPS at the AH lows... already up +19% from those lows... just upset I didn't get a chance to do more adds below $190 because I think $CRDO is a $300-350 stock in the next 12 months.
$CRDO also mentioned they have no plans to raise additional capital through an offering because they're already sitting on $1.4B of cash.
If the 6-7 hyperscalers are going to spend $800B+ on capex this year... perhaps going to $1.2B+ of capex next year... $CRDO will continue to be a big beneficiary because they have AECs, Retimers and Optics.
New podcast on vibe coding - A Return to Code.
A Return to Coding 00:20
The Personal App Store 03:17
Vibe Coding Is a Video Game with Real-World Rewards 06:22
Pure Software Is Uninvestable 10:33
A Place for Each Model 14:22
AI Is Eager to Please 17:57
Why Math and Coding? 22:10
The Beginning of the End of Appleโs Dominance 24:17
Coding Agents As Customer Service Reps 27:55
My conversation with Samuel Hartzmark (@SamHartzmark), who may be the most knowledgeable person on irrational investor behavior related to dividends.
We cover:
โข ๐๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฒ ๐๐ถ๐๐ถ๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ป๐ฑ๐ ๐๐ฎ๐น๐น๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ - Dividends are ๐ฏ๐ฐ๐ต passive income
โข ๐๐๐ถ๐ฐ๐ถ๐ป๐ด - Mutual funds purchase stocks before dividend payments to artificially increase their dividends
โข ย ๐๐ถ๐๐ถ๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ป๐ฑ ๐ ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ธ๐ฒ๐๐ถ๐ป๐ด - Investors are willing to pay 15-20% higher expense ratios for a fund marketed as "Income" or "Dividend Focused"
โข ย ๐๐ฒ๐บ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ ๐ณ๐ผ๐ฟ ๐๐ถ๐๐ถ๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ป๐ฑ ๐ฆ๐๐ผ๐ฐ๐ธ๐ - Demand changes based on interest rates and recent market performance
Announcing my new thing:
I'm launching a new public venture fund
USVC is built by AngelList with @naval shaping our investment strategy in the technology companies building our future
And unlike traditional venture funds, everyone can invest along with just $500:
Announcing: USVC
AngelList exists to power the innovation economy.
To date, we have powered $125 billion in assets, 25,000+ funds, and 13,000+ startups.
Today, weโre opening it for retail access.
@usvc_ is a regulated fund that holds stakes in promising private companies.
There are no accreditation requirements and anyone can get started with as little as $500.
Early portfolio includes xAI, Anthropic, OpenAI, Sierra, Vercel, Crusoe, and Legora.
Own a stake in the companies defining the future.
Learn more: https://t.co/5zqSuqpVU8
surprise episode with balaji out now
relatively short listen
we chat:
- bitcoin -> ethereum -> solana -> zcash
- east vs. west
- usa vs. china
- crypto vs. the state
- rome and christianity
- how to write bangers
enjoy!