Global strategic foresight research into the futures of disasters, extreme events & crises | Exploring future vulnerabilities & risks | #disasterfutures
"The focus was the financial response to the concurrent event of a 7.5-degree earthquake, a country-wide tropical storm, an outbreak of bird flu, & a cyber-attack on the financial system": really interesting example of multi-risk/multi-hazard simulation... #disasterfutures
"We believe that, from a policy perspective, it can be helpful to look at all of these threats together, similar to the all-hazards approach that many governmental emergency programs use..." #disasterfutures
Hello X-verse! We are happy to announce Global Shield as the world’s first international advocacy organization devoted to reducing all-hazards global catastrophic risk (GCR). Give us a follow and learn more about us at our website. https://t.co/5lBWtVVMUD
A challenging next 48 hours anticipated for Canada's Northwest Territories & British Columbia. For #NWT & the Yellowknife evacuation, the 'Incident Response Group' has been stood-up... 1/2 #disasterfutures https://t.co/RpfzpSsvnq
"AI's capacity to process vast data in real-time & its innate adaptability make it instrumental in elevating the effectiveness & efficiency of DRR strategies. However, its assimilation into DRR poses certain challenges..." #disasterfutures https://t.co/uA1zfjaufq
Hazard modification: "Some country (or group of countries) with serious climate exposure & enough capacity to finance SRM is going to run through the above logic, suffer a serious disaster, & go for it out of desperation..." #disasterfutures
“Thanks to accelerating sea level rise, China has something like ninety-three million people at risk of annual flooding by 2050, along with most of its core economic production complexes containing trillions upon trillions in infrastructure.” https://t.co/3wLpRP5ipZ
Hazard modification: scientific uncertainties, technological risks & a range of direct-indirect implications challenges. Interesting commentary & paper from @aawktang et al... (1/2) #disasterfutures
Can we really turn a cyclone into a normal storm? Scientists from @ANU_ICEDS explore the potential risks and viability of techniques to weaken cyclones 🌀 (via @ConversationEDU) https://t.co/s4N4v03Pxn
Opportunity for those of you involved with #EWS: "We want to hear from emergency management, business continuity, and organizational resilience professionals who design and implement early warning systems around the world..." 1/2
In collaboration with @sust_coalition and @ucl, @ResilienceFirst is conducting analysis of #WorldRiskPoll data to identify the factors influencing people’s trust in sources of information about disasters, as well as their levels of preparedness. Read now: https://t.co/wCBM1TLL85
"We emphasise that the reporting of disasters should routinely address not only the weather-related hazards & humans’ role in changing the odds, but also vulnerability in order to guide disaster risk reduction and avoid risk creation processes..." https://t.co/MzLZ5BvZOu
Many weather-related disasters this decade have been harbingers of what is to come - new paper with @EmmanuelRaju7 explores what we learned & still need to learn to safe livelihoods https://t.co/PTMGjvMV9V
Evolutionary EWS: the aspiration for precision forecasting capabilities through a '5 Ones' approach is mentioned: @chinadialogue offer more details on Guangdong’s current 31631 early warning systems model... 2/2 https://t.co/KSXQpBWFMG
"If repeated extreme weather events have alerted the world to the onset of the climate crisis, leading to a 'climate awakening,' then witnessing extreme weather events become a far more regular should inspire a 'disaster awakening'....” 1/2 https://t.co/qfSQ4HGRpD
Reposting to ask #EMGTwitter#ClimateTwitter#drr#Resilience practitioners and researchers to help us with our survey on risk and vulnerable communities. Your responses are anonymous. https://t.co/cScY8X7a5V
"By the end of this year, we will put together Disaster Resilience Goals to better anticipate & prepare for large-scale & cross-border disaster risks": EU's Civil Protection Mechanism to be supported by new cross-sectoral & cross-border disaster scenarios https://t.co/VVrOUbU79I
By the end of 2022, we'll put together disaster #resilience goals to better anticipate and prepare for large-scale, cross-border risks. Underpinned by scenarios by @EU_ScienceHub, they'll cover key areas of concern.
Addressing #FERMA2022 on #foresight 👉 https://t.co/SR0jknAy9Q.
Despite recent progress made in #DRR, the danger of leaving hundreds of communities behind is real🚨.
Only 1/2 of 🌏 is covered by #EarlyWarning systems: it’s time to do better ✊
Today, we celebrate #DRRDay with 1 goal: #EarlyWarningForAll!
👉https://t.co/LunG9bEwwi
#3: Excellent overview from Wells, Boden, Tseytlin & Linkov: 'Modeling critical infrastructure resilience under compounding threats: A systematic literature review'... #disasterfutures 3/3 https://t.co/1wVJzovduQ
Useful recent publications: #1 "[R]isk assessment needs to be a continuous adaptive process where new knowledge is included, & risk is re-assessed & mitigated..." 1/3 #disasterfutures https://t.co/kdOdsu02NT
Are our current risk assessments really suited for the Anthropocene?
Centre researchers Emmy Wassénius and Beatrice Crona have looked at it and point out five reasons for why risk assessments don't work. Explore them on our webpage: https://t.co/6EBhgKkNTS
#2: "Climate risks need to be understood in terms of their interaction with social, political & environmental vulnerabilities on the ground". Including a really useful approach to visual cascade mapping... h/t @LaurentAlfonso#disasterfutures 2/3 https://t.co/qGURh4S1Mo
With the next two @UN climate negotiations to take place in the Middle East and North Africa region (MENA), @Glada_Lahn highlights the climate risks in this uniquely exposed region.
#COP27#COP28
🔎 Click the link to find out more:
https://t.co/orIX5RL2cE