Unlike many investors in crypto, I did not pivot to AI in the last few years. However, since 2020, I built some of the deepest understanding in this industry on the intersection of AI and decentralized networks (crypto, web3).
From the start, it was very clear that AI models are a centralizing force and the biggest target for government control. That point became market fact last night, with @AnthropicAI’s export control compliance.
As an investor in decentralized AI, I know that d-networks are a counterbalance to this state of affairs. In particular, the starting point of sovereign, open, public, decentralized AI is the seemingly insurmountable compute problem.
How are people supposed to source more industrial compute for frontier training than these huge trillion dollar companies? The answer is simple: there is enough commodity GPU compute in the world to compete on the frontier, but to make use of it we need new algorithms for training.
That’s what a few companies like @gensynai@PrimeIntellect@bageldotcom@Pluralis@NousResearch@MacrocosmosAI@covenant_ai set out to research, while everyone on the planet told them it was impossible.
The result is that it is not only possible, but it can be cheaper and nearly as efficient as the alternative process.
The second major problem is economic sustainability. Open source models are great, however, they are not economically viable as they don’t have a business model. So far in decentralized AI, only @Pluralis has an answer — by breaking up the weights of the model among participants, we create a business model for tokenized AI models.
This is the moment of truth — will AI become fully centralized and fall under censorship and unilateral government control? Or will the AI world realize the importance of public AI on open decentralized networks?
@zamdoteth Most of the investors I’ve ever met in my life would immediately cut me loose if I ever suggested anything like this!
Then again - Something in a decent co-working location amongst other sector players is epic for that in person magic both with the team and people around us.
I’ve had a number of conversations with folks inside and outside government about the current situation with Anthropic, and here is what I believe to be true:
— As we know, Anthropic publicly released its Mythos class models earlier this week under the commercial name Fable.
— Fable is Mythos with guardrails. But if those guardrails fail, then you’ve exposed Mythos and its advanced cyber capabilities to people who shouldn’t have them. (Keep in mind that Anthropic itself widely promoted the idea that Mythos was a cyberweapon and needed to be regulated as such. They asked for government regulation of Mythos and championed the guardrails on Fable. If there is a vulnerability — big or small — it is Anthropic’s responsibility to patch.)
— A highly credible trusted partner of both Anthropic and the USG who was testing Fable came forward with a jailbreak of those guardrails. The Admin asked Dario to fix the jailbreak or de-deploy the model. Dario refused.
— In their blog post, Anthropic defended its decision by saying the jailbreak isn’t serious. That is not what the trusted partner and the USG believe; nor is that kind of minimizing language consistent with Anthropic’s brand as the AI safety company. It’s difficult to fathom how they could claim a jailbreak allowing operability of a cyber weapon could be defined as not “serious.”
— In the past, Anthropic has always said that safety must be top priority and taken super seriously. In this case, Anthropic prioritized the continued offering of the consumer model over safety.
— In reaction, the Admin issued the export control. The Admin did this reluctantly. It’s been very surprised that Anthropic hasn’t wanted to cooperate with a reasonable safety request (ie fixing the jailbreak issue). Anthropic’s reaction is very much at odds with their branding and ethos as a safe AI research community.
— The Admin’s hope now is that Anthropic remediates the safety issue, the export control is lifted, and Fable goes back into general release. The Admin wants all of this to happen as soon as possible. It is frankly bewildered that Anthropic hasn’t wanted to comply with safety requests that it previously said were its highest priority.
— Those trying to misdirect and tie this action to the prior DoW/Anthropic issues are wrong. The Admin values Anthropic’s technical capabilities and feels that this issue, while serious, should be easily resolved. The ball is in Anthropic’s court.
Hi Al - My understanding was that DBT was working on this? Because I’ve been approached to help on exactly this issue!
“What we don't have is the power stations to run the data centres, the planning system to build them, or the industrial base to make the chips. “
It seems to be on the roadmap - But every day is a day we fall behind on this issue.
This is true, I’m in total agreement with you James - Almost 20yrs in Private sector globally and as I said to Emran of DSIT via a recent message, it’s purely because of the tone, signal and clear overall direction of DSIT put out by him that I felt fully compelled enough to even think it was worth applying for a DG role because it’s clear that old norms didn’t apply any more in DSIT when it comes to Tech and how this country harnesses it, felt the same with ARIA when I applied there recently also.
The mission is clear for the UK right now and it’s key that people that have got that willing, passion, experience and vision are rolled into the mix asap to keep us driving forward while the momentum/capital/talent is there - It’s a catalyst for the whole country if done right, serves London of course but with the DSIT/DBT mandate/signal/infrastructure alongside supporting orgs like AISI/Sov/ARIA, it has a real national catalytic effect for so many communities so they get pulled forward.
The traditional parties always talked about “levelling up” for areas outside of London - It can happen with AI and enabling talent/startups/communities outside of London to also participate (which DSIT/DBT I can see are enabling via their regional locations)
That top down national signal is what’s been needed & it needs to be constant 24/7 so everyone who isn’t in our little world realises where this is all going & what it can do to generate wealth and better services for communities, increase service accessibility and upward economic mobility for millions and provide true careers for people for the future.
I’m excited for the country.
@connorpaton There are no rules for walking on sidewalks. Aside from if you want to be slow walking anywhere, stay left. Then on escalators (like the tube), if you want enjoy the ride, stay right so everyone can pass on the left.
Meantime, have fun and enjoy it!