🚨 Wake up. UMA is going to KILL prediction markets forever.
Constant scams. Max extraction. That’s exactly what murdered the memecoin trenches, and we are letting it happen all over again.
We’ve normalized corruption. We actually glorify investing in straight-up scams just to "ride the chart." Look at where crypto is right now. We are literally cannibalizing our own industry. 🩸
Aristotle said courage is the FIRST virtue. Why? Because without it, you stand for nothing. It’s easy to act brave when there is absolutely nothing on the line. It takes actual guts to look at a rigged game, call out the rot, and do the deeply uncomfortable thing when everyone else is quietly taking their cut.
Do not stay quiet about what is going on.
Stop feeding this vicious, endless extraction cycle. Find your spine. Speak up. Refuse to support the net-negative garbage that is destroying everything we built.
That is the ONLY way we ever make it to Valhalla. ⚔️ Have some balls. Let's fix this.
Polymarket, I will never forget this.
A market asking whether MSTR sold BTC before the deadline was settled as “NO,” even when the entire dispute came down to whether the platform wanted to respect the actual rules.
Remember this: some consequences arrive faster than you think.
@Polymarket
Polymarket isn't a prediction market it's the most efficient insider trading machine ever built, and the chain leaves fingerprints
First, the money was never random, only 7.6% of @polymarket wallets are ever profitable, that's roughly 120k winners against 1.5M+ losers, in early 2026 around 80% of all participants lost money while the platform pushed 1.5B in weekly volume, money that size doesn't get won, it gets funneled to people who already know how the event ends
Next, meet the soldier, Master Sergeant Gannon Van Dyke, US Army Special Forces, read into the classified op to capture Maduro, he spun up a fresh polymarket account in late december, dropped about 33k across Maduro and Venezuela contracts, then the raid hit and every one of those markets resolved yes, profit roughly 409k, he wired most of it to a foreign crypto vault and tried to delete the account, that's the first criminal insider trading case in prediction market history, trial set for december
And now the corporate version, Michele Spagnuolo, a staff security engineer at Google, traded under the handle AlphaRaccoon, he sat on Google's internal Year in Search data, bet d4vd would be the most searched person of 2025 before the public reveal, and walked with about 1.2M, now charged with commodities fraud, wire fraud, and money laundering, out on 2.25M bond
And here's the part that should end the debate, polymarket literally listed a market on which company ZachXBT would expose for insider trading, that contract pulled around 40M in volume, then 12 brand new wallets piled into Axiom right before the reveal and cleared over 1M combined, 8 of the top 10 wallets looked like insiders, 3 of them only ever traded that single market and each cleared 100k+, meanwhile 50+ other wallets lost 1.23M, people insider traded a market built to catch insider trading
So here's the real edge, the house was never the platform, the house is whoever holds the information, and because every position settles on polygon you can literally watch fresh wallets front run reality in real time, that's not a bug in the system, that is the system
regulators finally caught up, the CFTC and SDNY are now applying the Eddie Murphy Rule to these contracts, Ritchie Torres filed the Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act, and polymarket is rushing out market integrity rules to look clean
The market was never predicting the future someone already knew it
$345m in iran bets will not be settled by iran. it'll be settled by nine wallets.
polymarket's "permanent peace" market is in dispute. the way it resolves: UMA token holders argue in a discord, then vote. bloomberg found nine anonymous wallets control more than half that vote.
it gets worse. 60% of active voters also hold polymarket positions. across 300+ disputes, at least one voter had money on the outcome they were judging. vote against the majority and you lose part of your stake.
so the incentive isn't to be right. it's to guess what everyone else says and pile on.
when you trade a market like this, your counterparty isn't the other side of the book. it's the oracle. and the oracle has a position, a quorum of nine, and no name.
To all victims of unfair Polymarket resolutions:
On Polymarket’s sixth anniversary, there is one thing we should do: make sure X is filled with what they have done.
Do not let more people be misled. Do not let future users think this was just another trading loss or a normal market dispute. What we experienced was not simply a bad bet. It was a platform choosing, at the most important moment, to disrespect its own rules, its users, and the words written in its own contracts.
A platform can grow for a while through hype, funding, marketing, and beautiful narratives. But it cannot build a real future on the silence of its victims. Polymarket has no future, because true market trust is not created by valuation. It is built through fair resolutions, clear rules, and respect for users.
In the East, we believe in feng shui. A company that disrespects its own customers, damages trust, and treats users as disposable will not have a good fate. Its energy will turn. Its luck will fade.
In the West, the same truth applies. History has shown this again and again. Enron once looked untouchable. FTX once called itself the future of finance. But once trust collapsed, everything collapsed with it.
They will not succeed. From this moment, their decline has already begun.
What we are doing is not hatred. It is documentation. It is not noise. It is evidence. We will make sure people know what happened, who was harmed, who stayed silent, and who chose to stand up.
Happy sixth anniversary, Polymarket.
This time, we will make sure the truth is seen.
This is amazing.
You can now get up to $150K in funding to trade on Polymarket, just like the whales.
You can now get up to $150K in funding to trade on Polymarket.
I know many of you see my 6-figure PNLs and wonder how you can ever get that kind of size, well now you have the opportunity.
Instead of needing $100K+ of your own capital to make real returns on Polymarket, you can pass an evaluation and trade with their capital for as low as $124.
I already got scammed by polymarket once
strategy sold its bitcoin
the market asked if they sold
it resolved NO
i lost
i told myself it was a one off
Then Polymarket just resolved a 440M peace deal market YES on a deal that was not signed, not permanent, and not even public yet
the rules were clear, a qualifying deal had to explicitly end hostilities permanently, temporary ceasefire extensions were excluded by name
what actually existed by june 15 was a memorandum of understanding that extends the ceasefire 60 days and reopens the strait of hormuz, the signing is june 19 which is four days after the deadline, the text only hit the public june 17 via CNN
so it resolved a permanent deal before it was signed and before anyone could read it
how, a UMA token vote, 99.70% YES, 491 anonymous wallets deciding where 440M lands
underneath it bloomberg found nine wallets control half the voting power across 6400+ addresses, 60% of voters also hold polymarket accounts, in 300+ disputes a voter had a direct stake in the market they judged, vote against the whales and you lose your stake
we have seen this movie, ukraine minerals went 9 to 100% YES with nothing signed, strategy bitcoin resolved NO when the sale actually happened, now iran, same fingerprints
nearly 2000 contracts hit dispute votes this year, april settled 230 worth over 1B, the reforms got paused
prediction markets have exactly one product, credibility, the moment a whale can override the rules that product is worthless, and i am not watching from the outside, i trade these markets and i build around them, when resolution gets decided by whoever holds the most tokens instead of the facts every honest user eats it, me included
@Polymarket@mustafap0ly the people who read your rules and bet NO did everything right and lost to a discord vote
fix the oracle or admit the house picks the winner
The backlash of Iran betting markets on @polymarket is heating up. Their Discord channels and online threads are full of how bad the Polymarket actually is.
The system in short:
Once a handful of whales decide an outcome it will stick despite reality.
#polymarketscam
🚨 A new UMA scam attempt is taking place 🚨
UMArocks whales are trying to rug the "Will Iran agree to end Uranium enrichment" market
In the last days since the MoU has been leaked, the have been accumulating massive amounts of YES shares.
Their plan is to force resolution to yes based on a frivolous interpretation of the MoU text, as soon as it's signed.
Point 9 of the MoU says :
"Pending the final deal. The Islamic republic of Iran will maintain the current status quo of it's nuclear program"
They want to pass it off as saying Iran has agreed to end enrichment during the negociations.
This is ridiculous.
Iran is currently :
- enriching at 3.67% for nuclear reactors
- enriching at 20% for medical isotopes
- enriching at 60% for potential weapons
This is the status quo.
This is the entire reason there is a war.
If the current "status quo" is that Iran does not enrich Uranium as part of it's nuclear program then why is the previous point mentioning negotiations on Iran's nuclear enrichment ?
Point 9 even says that *the US and Iran* must both maintain the status quo, which is understood as "the US must not impose additional sanctions". No one in their right mind would think it implies that the US has agreed to end all sanctions during the talks
It's obvious to any honest observer that "maintaining the status quo" means not expending their nuclear program, for example, not to start enriching uranium to 90% during the talks.
But it is exactly why they are betting against it. They know that traders will fill their orders.
As soon as the deal is signed, they will propose using their Whitelisted wallets and use their control of UMA to pass their made up resolution.
If a consensus of credible reporting announces that Iran agreed to pause all uranium enrichment during the talks, then let it resolve to YES, but it is not what is happening there.
@Polymarket must issue a preventative clarification saying that this alone will not suffice for resolution or a ton of traders will get burned before they step in
@shayne_coplan@mustafap0ly
🚨VOTE CLOSED: UMA voted 90% YES on the Iran peace deal. But for the first time, the market has NOT been resolved on Polymarket itself.
The UMA vote concluded with an overwhelming majority backing “Yes.” Yet the $480M contract remains frozen. The market page shows a “Yes” outcome, but the payout hasn't been executed.
What’s happening?Polymarket is under intense pressure. The platform has never delayed a resolution after a UMA vote like this before. @Polymarket support is stalling likely due to the massive backlash and the legal exposure they now face.
The facts:
Trump himself called it an “interim accord” and a “memorandum of understanding” not permanent peace.
9 wallets control half of all UMA voting power on Polymarket disputes.
At least 60% of active UMA voters can be linked to live Polymarket accounts.
Roughly 1 in 5 disputes had at least one UMA voter with a direct financial stake in the contract they were ruling on.
Class action lawsuits are being prepared. This is bigger than one market this is about whether a handful of anonymous whales can override clear contract terms and steal $480 million from thousands of traders.
The world is watching. @Polymarket support cannot ignore this forever.
#Polymarket #UMA #CryptoScam #SEC #CFTC #Justice #IranPeaceMarket #WhaleManipulation #ClassAction
https://t.co/PGF5qZzqrL
@Polymarket Guys do not support this site, its a huge SCAM! They just Defrauded users out of 470 Million Dollars declaring the US Iran MOU is considered a Permanent Peace deal They will use their UMA and Whale power to sway any trade in their favour, trust me DYR on how they resolve didputes
Hello, world! I and thousands of other market holders are asking you to intervene in the unbiased, fraudulent dispute surrounding the "US x Iran Permanent Peace Deal by June 15" market on #POLYMARKET. Currently, #UMA (whales) is voting against clear market rules. (https://t.co/ssvRjbmKRS)
This is a real financial crime. Its a pyramid scheme. We need to investigate. Polymarket has crossed the line. Polymarket has long been known as a risky and dishonest exchange, but such sums have never been reached. @Polymarket support is ignoring all requests. This is a real #RUGPULL
$360 MILLION ON THE LINE 🚩
Today, I stand before you not as a trader, not as a gambler, but as a witness to a fundamental betrayal of trust. But what is happening now is not a market. It is a manipulation and corruption. A small group of UMA token holders - just a handful of anonymous whales - are preparing to override the clear, unambiguous rules of this market. They are about to decide the fate of $360 million based not on truth, but on their own financial interest.
To the Regulators of the United States:
I am calling on the @dojphofficial, the @SECGov, the @CFTC to investigate what is unfolding on @Polymarket. This is not a decentralized utopia. This is a rigged game. A handful of anonymous voters hold the power to steal $360 million from thousands of traders who played by the rules. If this is allowed to stand, it sets a precedent that no market is safe, and that the rule of law can be bought and sold by a few whales.
To the World:
This is bigger than one market. This is about whether we allow a private, unregulated platform to hold the power of a court, without any oversight, without any accountability. We must demand that the DOJ and the SEC step in before it is too late.
To the @Polymarket Administration:
You have a choice. You can stand with the truth, or you can stand with the whales. Release a binding clarification that the June 15 announcement does NOT meet the market's criteria for a "permanent peace deal." Stop the UMA vote. Do the right thing before history judges you.
This is not a game. The world is watching. We will not be silent. We will not be robbed.
@Bloomberg is now covering this dispute (https://t.co/fIovgLmL5D). This is no longer just a Polymarket comment thread — the entire financial world is watching. A wrong resolution here doesn't just damage Polymarket, it calls into question the legitimacy of every DeFi prediction market that relies on UMA. 9 anonymous wallets deciding $360M under global media scrutiny is the worst possible look for this industry.
This is our moment. Share this. Tag everyone. Let's make them listen. I ask everyone to repost this and make sure we are heard and seen.
P.S. I will soon publish a detailed, step-by-step analysis of why this market MUST decide "NO" - based on official market rules, real news, and legal definitions.
This will include:
1) The exact wording of the market criteria.
2) Why the June 15 announcement does NOT meet the requirements.
3) How the UMA voting system is being abused.
Watch this space. The truth will be told. Justice will not be silent...
@FoxNews@CNN@WSJ@washingtonpost@nytimes
#PolymarketScandal #CryptoJustice #WhaleManipulation #IranPeaceMarket #SEC #DOJ #CFTC
@shayne_coplan SCAM ALERT!! 🚨
Poly: https://t.co/0FNHjAtGr9
It’s NO, here is a proof of words, meanwhile Poly is at 99.9c on YES now. Wth Shane?
Trump video: https://t.co/lhqTRRAKQu
Fox News: https://t.co/i3yWZzMtMY
Mario: https://t.co/UxKllwZqma